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Thursday, April 29, 2004
General Election Cattle Call, 4/22-4/29
Posted by Chris Bowers[Note: I shuffled this post around a bit to put the most recent data at top and back data in the "Continue reading..." section. - David]
April 29
Bush: 50.0% of the national two-party vote
Kerry: 50.0% of the national two-party vote
Too close to call, swing states in play
Electoral Vote Projection:
Bush: 248
Kerry: 220
Too close to call: 70 (FL, IA, OH, OR, NH, NM, and WI)
In short, the latest polls, CBS in particular, hold good news for Kerry. In fact, today is his high-water mark thus far. However, we are a long way away from the election, and I imagine that some wild fluctuations will take place.
I first started making these calculations around one week ago, so for posterity���s sake here are the complete trends since I began this project. If a date isn���t listed, that is because there was no change from the previous day. From now on, I will update daily, as long as new polls warrant it.
April 28
Bush: 50.0% of the national two-party vote
Kerry: 50.0% of the national two-party vote
Too close to call, swing states in play
Electoral Vote Projection:
Bush: 248
Kerry: 210
Too close to call: 80 (FL, IA, OH, OR, NH, NM, and WI)
April 26
Bush: 51.3% of the national two-party vote
Kerry: 48.7% of the national two-party vote
Too close to call, swing states in play
Electoral Vote Projection:
Bush: 248
Kerry: 210
Too close to call: 80 (FL, IA, OH, OR, NH, NM, and WI)
April 25
Bush: 51.4% of the national two-party vote
Kerry: 48.6% of the national two-party vote
Too close to call, swing states in play
Electoral Vote Projection:
Bush: 248
Kerry: 210
Too close to call: 80 (FL, IA, OH, OR, NH, NM, and WI)
April 24
Bush: 51.3% of the national two-party vote
Kerry: 48.7% of the national two-party vote
Too close to call, swing states in play
Electoral Vote Projection:
Bush: 248
Kerry: 210
Too close to call: 80 (FL, IA, OH, OR, NH, NM, and WI)
April 23
Bush: 50.9% of the national two-party vote
Kerry: 49.1% of the national two-party vote
Too close to call, swing states in play
Electoral Vote Projection:
Bush: 248
Kerry: 210
Too close to call: 80 (FL, IA, OH, OR, NH, NM, and WI)
April 22
Bush: 50.6% of the national two-party vote
Kerry: 49.4% of the national two-party vote
Too close to call, swing states in play
Electoral Vote Projection:
Bush: 248
Kerry: 217
Too close to call: 73 (FL, OH, OR, NH, NM, and WI)
Posted at 07:35 PM in General Election Cattle Call | Technorati