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Monday, May 24, 2004
General Election Cattle Call, May 24
Posted by Chris Bowers(5/23 numbers in parenthesis)
National Two-Party Vote Projection
Kerry: 52.0 (51.9)
Bush: 48.0 (48.1)
Status: Lean Kerry
Electoral Vote Projection
Kerry: 320 (311)
Bush: 218 (227)
States Changing hands: Bush wins IA, Kerry wins FL, MO, NH, NV and OH
I���m going to step out of myself for a moment and go ahead and call the election for Kerry. I will continue these projections, and I could end up looking like an idiot, but I really believe all evidence points to a huge victory for Kerry.
Posted at 10:35 PM in General Election Cattle Call | Technorati
Comments
But, the good numbers don't mean we should lighten up the pressure. We need to turn it up! .. so that the margin is even wider! Get all of your friends and neighbors and co-workers involved so that there's a clear message sent on November 2nd.
Posted by: Phil at May 25, 2004 03:23 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment
I hope you are right about this. But, since most people aren't even paying attention to politics now. I thinkn that things will change somewhat between now and november.
Posted by: red meat democrat at May 25, 2004 11:43 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment
Have you ever predicted one of these before???If you are predicting a win for JK, do you think we will take back the house???
Posted by: steve at May 25, 2004 07:38 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment
I was reading something just yesterday about how tired swing state voters are of hearing about the campaign and being subjected to a barrage of ads. Therefore, in states that still haven't been decided, voters probably are fairly aware of politics now.
However, I agree that it's too early to make a prediction. There's a lot of time left and I expect there are plenty of surprises left to come.
Posted by: LiberalAce at May 25, 2004 07:41 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment
Don't miss this article:
http://www.newhousenews.com/archive/tilove052504.html
Posted by: Ralph at May 26, 2004 03:29 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment
Why is it that on coservative/Republican/Bush websites they are predicting a victory for Bush, whereas on liberal/Democrat/Kerry sites, the prediction is for Kerry? And not only that, but these sites proclaim not just a victory, but a "landslide" for their respective candidates? Not saying I don't believe you and your methodology... but it can't be a landslide victory for both if you get my point!
Posted by: TeacherKate at May 27, 2004 11:16 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment
Any objective reading of the current polls shows that Kerry is ahead.I don't know of any liberal web site predicting a landslide. Conservatives predict wrong things because they are ALWAYS wrong. I.E. ( Cutting taxes will eliminate the budget defecit etc,) That's why they are Republicans. They are stupid, ignoraant, and Bigoted.
Posted by: Alan Snipes at May 27, 2004 02:31 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment
Kate,
Actually, conservative websites who do actual analysis seem to be projecting Kerry ahead by even more than I am. Check this one out:
Posted by: Chris Bowers at May 27, 2004 03:42 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment
That guy that does the "Election Projection" site is indeed very conservative, and he is also really fair in crunching the numbers. I check this site and that one every day and they agree...
Posted by: steve at May 27, 2004 04:30 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment
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Posted by: Missy at November 11, 2004 11:53 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment