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Friday, June 04, 2004
General Election Cattle Call, June 4
Posted by Chris Bowers(Previous Numbers in Parenthesis)
National Two Party Vote Projection
Kerry: 52.2 (52.3)
Bush: 47.8 (47.7)
Status: Lean Kerry
Electoral Vote Projection
Kerry: 327 (327)
Bush: 211 (211)
States Changing Hands: AL, MO, NV, NH and OH
Finally, a new poll! ARG has come out with a national trial heat and a new job approval rating.
Still, this one poll has not dislodged the glut of polls released from 5/18-5/24 (CBS, ABC, Gallup, Fox and Q-poll all released numbers then), so there is little change in the overall calculation. At least one more national poll will be needed to shake things up a bit.
The Swing State Project is now the exclusive location for my commentary on General Election Cattle Call updates. Check out the President 2004 Outlook page at MyDD for more info. Hopefully, this will allow me to better differentiate between my two blogging gigs, and increase traffic for both sites.
Posted at 03:44 PM in General Election Cattle Call | Technorati
Comments
AL changing hands?? Are you sure you don't mean AR?
Posted by: Tyrone at June 4, 2004 06:37 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment
Yeah, no way in hell is Bama going for JK.
But the new Rasmussen has incredible numbers out of Virginia and NC!
Posted by: steve at June 4, 2004 07:01 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment
Yes, the numbers from NC and VA are intriging. I can see why Kerry is spending money in VA, and NC seems within reach, at least for the moment. Perhaps Edwards would be the right choice as VP. If Edwards can pull a few southern states into the Democratic column like VA, NC, and FL, it's over. There's not way in hell Bush will win this election without NC and VA.
Posted by: Rock_nj at June 4, 2004 08:27 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment
My mistake on AL. It should have been FL.
Still, that's kind of funny to think about.
Posted by: Chris Bowers at June 4, 2004 09:15 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment