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Saturday, June 19, 2004
General Election Cattle Call, June 19
Posted by Chris Bowers(June 18 Results in Parenthesis)
National Two Party Popular Vote Projection
Kerry: 50.27
Bush: 49.73
Status: Too close to call
Electoral Vote Projection
Bush: 279 (279)
Kerry: 259 (259)
States Changing Hands from 2000: Nv, NH and WV for Kerry; NM and WI for Bush
The Bush trends continues. The latest Harris trial heat was particularly bad news for Kerry, but it is sitll only one poll and, as such, has limited impact. The real worry will be if a 6-10 point Bush lead is replicated after next week.
Bush's "solid" base is now larger than Kerry's. Also, both Arkansas and Tennessee are on the brink of becoming solid for Bush. Further, Kerry only leads in NH and NV by 0.1. Worrisome stuff.
Posted at 05:43 PM in General Election Cattle Call | Technorati
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