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Thursday, July 01, 2004

Kerry Lead Shrinks in Maine

Posted by DavidNYC

From Strategic Marketing Services - check out those March trendlines. Gack!

Kerry: 44 (51)
Bush: 41 (38)
Nader: 5 (4)
Undecided: 11 (8)
(MoE: ��4.9%)

A thirteen-point lead shrinking to a three-point lead? Yikes. Even Patrick Murphy, the head of SMS, said he was a "bit surprised" at the results. Quoting from the story linked above, Murphy "suggested that the numbers may reflect Republican advertising that Kerry had yet to respond to as well as the blanket news coverage of former President Ronald Reagan��s funeral."

Okay, so if it's the latter, that's understandable. But the former? Huh? I thought Kerry had been on the air in all the swing states, including Maine. So what gives?

Posted at 06:50 PM in Maine | Technorati

Comments

note that it's an old poll, June 5-12, right during Reagan week, where Bush did seem to enjoy a temporary bounce. Nothing to worry about I don't think.

Posted by: matt at July 1, 2004 08:29 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Strategic Marketing Services=Joke

Posted by: Al at July 2, 2004 08:37 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Al, what makes you say that?

Posted by: DavidNYC at July 2, 2004 10:11 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Because the poll asked a question about the spread of low carb diets... seriously.

Posted by: Al at July 2, 2004 05:43 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Hahah... yeah, I saw that. But Polling Report considers them good enough to include. (Which is more than you can say for Rasmussen or SUSA.)

BTW, Matt, good catch on the date. Though it was just released on the 30th, I missed the fact that it was conducted weeks earlier.

Posted by: DavidNYC at July 2, 2004 07:32 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Maybe the spread of low carb diets is related to Bush improving his numbers in Maine?

Posted by: Al at July 3, 2004 08:05 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Pretzels aren't low carb....

Posted by: DavidNYC at July 3, 2004 01:00 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

I am interested in feedback for swingstateresidence.com and swingstatevoter.com

I intend to offer a means for individuals to vote in swing states after establishing a swing state residence with the help of a swing state host.

Posted by: Aaron Petty at July 4, 2004 12:19 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Neither of those links works for me, Aaron.

Posted by: CrackRabbit at July 5, 2004 11:07 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment