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Friday, June 03, 2005
WV-Sen: Shelley Moore Capito vs. Senator Robert Byrd Polls
Posted by Bob BrighamWhile some people are worried about the West Virginia 2006 Senate race, I'm fairly confident that Senator Byrd's re-election is looking good. There was a new poll today, but it didn't change my views on the race.
First of all, there was an NRSC poll March 15-16, 2005. N=500 likely voters statewide. MoE ± 4.3. From the subscription-only side of Polling Report:
"If the election for the U.S. Senate were held today and the candidates were Democrat Robert Byrd and Republican Shelly Capito, for whom would you vote?"Byrd: 52%
Capito: 42%
Unsure: 8%
At the time this came out, I was 102% positive that this Republican poll was trying to make the race appear tighter than it really is. Now compare it to today's poll, RMS Strategies, May 11 & 18, 401 registered-voters (computer automated) MoE ± 4.9:
Byrd 46%
Capito: 43%
Undecided: 11%
So yeah, I'm going to call bullshit. I still think the NRSC poll was overly optimistic and this RMS poll has little value other than as a joke.
Byrd is looking just fine.
Posted at 05:17 PM in 2006 Elections - Senate, West Virginia | Technorati