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Tuesday, February 28, 2006

NC House Races: Got `Em All Covered

Posted by DavidNYC

It was looking dicey there just a week or two ago, but as of today's deadline, Dems have filed to run against every incumbent Republican in North Carolina. Courtesy of RBH:

NC-01 (57/43 Kerry): Butterfield (D) unopposed
NC-02 (54/46 Bush): Etheridge (D) v. Dan Mansell (R)
NC-03 (68/32 Bush): Jones (R) v. Craig Weber (D)
NC-04 (56/44 Kerry): Price (D), Kent Kanoy (D), or Oscar Lewis (D) v. Steve Acuff (R)
NC-05 (67/33 Bush): Foxx (R) v. Mark Glen (D), Syndi Holmes (D), Roger Kirkman (D), or Roger Sharpe (D)
NC-06 (70/30 Bush): Coble (R) v. Rory Blake (D)
NC-07 (56/44 Bush): McIntyre (D) v. Shirley Davis (R)
NC-08 (54/46 Bush): Hayes (R) v. John Autry (D), Tim Dunn (D), Larry Kissell (D), or Mark Ortiz (D)
NC-09 (64/36 Bush): Myrick (R) v. Bill Glass (D)
NC-10 (67/33 Bush): McHenry (R) v. Richard Carsner (D)
NC-11 (57/43 Bush): Taylor (R) or John Armor (R) v. Michael Morgan (D) or Heath Shuler (D)
NC-12 (63/37 Kerry): Watt (D) v. Ada Fisher (R)
NC-13 (53/47 Kerry): Miller (D) v. John Hendrix (R), Vernon Robinson (R), or Charlie Sutherland (R)

Good work, NC Dems. Now we just need to win a few of these!

Posted at 04:33 PM in 2006 Elections - House, North Carolina | Technorati

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Comments

I must be really out of touch with where NC's district lines lay. I always David Price's district was in Chapel Hill and Durham, thus solidly Democrat, and thought Bob Etheridge's district was also Kerry country. And isn't Butterfield's NC-01 district in the Rocky Mount and Greenville area of northeast NC? I wouldn't have expected that district was as blue as it was.

And I definitely thought NC-08 was more GOP than 54-46 Bush. Tim Dunn could easily pull that district out with a soft partisan tide like that.

Posted by: Mark at February 28, 2006 05:07 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

We might forgive you for not having memorized the partisan splits of all 435 districts in the US. I stress might. :)

Posted by: DavidNYC at February 28, 2006 05:21 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

North Carolina's district lines are.. unique. That's why they have 6 Democrats and 7 Republicans when they would probably have more Republicans if the Republicans drew their lines.

Missouri's filing period started today, and you can view who has filed in real time.

The real time list

MO-1: Three Republicans have filed so far to face Lacy Clay. Clay will probably show up to file soon.

MO-2: Three Democrats have filed to face Todd Akin.

MO-3: Russ is the only candidate here so far.

MO-4: Three Republicans have filed to face Ike Skelton. One lost to frequent candidate Jim Noland in 2004, and the other has a "Hulk Hogan Mustache"

MO-5: Emanuel Cleaver doesn't have an opponent

MO-6: Sara Jo Shettles (D) and Graves (R) filed

MO-7: Two Republicans filed, and neither one is Roy Blunt. Mitchell Potts and Clendon Kinder are both challengers to Blunt. But, then again, they could back down too.

MO-8: Emerson has filed. No Democrats (as expected)

MO-9: Burghard (D) has filed. Hulshof hasn't.

And here's a brief note on the rules of ruling here in Missouri.

"First day filers (2/28/2006) selected a number by random drawing to determine their placement on the primary ballot. After the first day all candidates are placed on the ballot in order of their filing"

No real news so far. Unless the challengers to Blunt, or the lack of Talent, McCaskill, Blunt, or Hulshof filing means much.

Filing ends on the 28th of March.

Posted by: RBH at February 28, 2006 05:23 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

I remember the Republicans crying foul when Mike Easley and the Democratic NC Legislature drew up Pennsylvania-style gerrymanders favoring the Dems in 2001. That kind of underscores how desperately the Dems need to keep the NC statehouse in the next election.

Posted by: Mark at February 28, 2006 07:32 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

That's great news. It'll be nice if the (D)'s win 'em all in November, but I'll settle for a 7-6 majority.

Posted by: DH from MD at February 28, 2006 08:58 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Vernon Robinson decided to run in the 13th?

The wonders never cease when the "black Jesse Helms" is involved.

What a psychopath...

Posted by: Brian at March 1, 2006 09:39 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Mark...

David Price's district also includes the republican part of wake county. He only won that part of wake county 52-48 (even though he won the district with over 60% of the vote). So Bush probably won that part of wake county and thus the low partisan dif for Kerry.

Bob Etheridge's district is not solid Kerry country because it includes Johnston county which is pretty darn republican. Etheridge actually lost that county to Creech 48-52%. So Bush probably carried that county handily (and it had almost a quarter of the votes for the district).

G.k.'s district does have a small part of Rocky mount, but it goes up into the northeast part of the state. I believe it's the most rural and poorest district in the state with a heavy African-American population. Thus the Kerry votes.

Posted by: nada at March 1, 2006 10:23 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Just this note: Brad Miller's one of the best friends the blogosphere has, and in words as well as deeds. He's pushing a bill through Congress to grant Internet speakers the same "media exception" from campaign finance laws as radio/print/tv.

Posted by: Adam B at March 1, 2006 11:23 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Errr...I don't know when to admit this, but I guess this is as good a time as any. I think I'm actually related to Creech - my great Uncle or something like that. At least, that is what my Mom told me.

Yikes! A Republican Candidate in the Closet.

Posted by: chuckles at March 1, 2006 01:23 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

nada, thanks for the details. Is Brad Miller's district in the Raleigh area as well?

Posted by: Mark at March 1, 2006 03:47 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

As for Mississippi.

At the very least, we have 3 candidates in four districts, but also, there is nothing that says if anybody else has filed to face Pickering.

The filing will close at 5pm CST.

Expect a press release with a candidate list from the Mississippi secretary of state by this time tomorrow.

Posted by: RBH at March 1, 2006 04:44 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Mark..

Brad Miller's district covers central and north raleigh, goes through north central NC, and then jumps down to take in the blue-collar/liberal part of Greensboro (i.e. UNC-Greensboro and the textile and tobacco workers). I used to live in his district in Raleigh. I think though if I had lived 2 blocks away I would have been in Etheridge's district, or possibly evev McIntyre's. It's really split up to maximize the Democratic advantage. Sort of the opposite of Ohio where splitting up Columbus minimized the Democratic advantage.

Posted by: nada at March 1, 2006 06:54 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Tim Dunn dropped out of the 8th district race about one week ago and endorsed Kissel. (http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/03/21/AR2006032101696.html)

I met Autry and was not very impressed.

Posted by: CarolinaBlue at March 29, 2006 09:26 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment