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Tuesday, May 02, 2006

IN, NC & OH Primary Results Open Thread

Posted by DavidNYC

Which races are you tracking?

IN results

NC results

OH statewide results | OH Congressional results

UPDATE: Tim Tagaris has a full run-down on the big races in OH over at MyDD.

Posted at 09:22 PM in 2006 Elections | Technorati

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Comments

As of 10:15 ET, Joe Sulzer isn't exactly blowing 'em away in OH-18....and I thought he was the frontrunner. Considering his home county's vote is all in and Sulzer is only in second place, I'm betting Zachary Space is the spoiler here. Know anything about him?

On the other hand, it looks like Wilson should prevail in OH-06. Where in OH-06 is Wilson from?

Any noteworthy contests in IN or NC?

Posted by: Mark at May 2, 2006 10:18 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Sure good to see Tim Tagaris back where he belongs....in the action....and out of the structure!

Posted by: Stuart O'Neill at May 2, 2006 10:31 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Regula is probably going to win, but with under 60%

Posted by: RBH at May 2, 2006 10:50 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Starting to look like Betty Sutton will win the OH-13 primary. Was that expected? I hope I'm not popping my champagne bottle too early about Capri Cafaro being defeated.

It definitely looks like Zachary Space will be facing Bob Ney. What's his story?

Good news on the OH-02 front as well as potentially vulnerable wingnut Jean Schmidt appears poised to squeak out a narrow victory.

Posted by: Mark at May 2, 2006 11:35 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Craig Foltin looks like he's gonna win OH-13 on the GOP side. I know there was some talk of a solid GOP candidate recruited for this seat. Was Foltin the guy? And what's his background? What's Sutton's background for that matter? I'm in the dark on this race having heard of neither of the winners. I hope we're not gonna be vulnerable here.

Posted by: Mark at May 2, 2006 11:45 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

It looks like Wilson made it very hard for himself, but will win the primary.

Posted by: safi at May 3, 2006 12:06 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Also, a lot fo people on the net were raving about Subodh Chandra in the Attorney General race. The guy got his butt kicked. He lost by a 2-1 margin.

Posted by: safi at May 3, 2006 12:09 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Did anyoneelse catch the fact that more people voted for Dems. than Republican in IN-02, IN-08 and IN-09? I think it's awesome because all of those district gave Bush 56% or more.

Posted by: D in FL. at May 3, 2006 01:09 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Also North Carolina 11th which voted 57% for Bush

Posted by: Democraticavenger at May 3, 2006 02:09 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Darn, darn, darn! I wanted to be the first to note that ALL THREE TARGETED INDIANA DISTRICTS 2, 8, and 9 had significantly higher turnouts for their contested Democratic primary contests than for their contested Republican primary contests. And thanks for the heads-up on North Carolina's 11th District where the same has happened. Why is this a big deal? While not a foolproof measure, primary election turnout can be a simple predictor of partisan turnout for an upcoming general election. Haven't checked out the historic voting patterns of these districts to see if that pans out in these particular districts. But think of these primaries predicting their generals like the Ohio presidential vote seems to predict the overall national vote. Let's not take these races for granted, either as definite wins or fruitless struggles, and work to make them successfully happen. But still... I swear that I hear a tidal wave in the distance!

Posted by: phonatic at May 3, 2006 02:38 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Umm, take a look at Regula's results in OH-16. While the turnout is higher for his contested primary than for the contested Democratic primary, he had a strong challenge and didn't break 60%. This man is vulnerable in the general!

And while Ney captured 68% against his primary challenge, that's still weak when put in perspective of his being a historically popular elected official. But the kicker in the OH-18 results is that while the contested Republican primary had a higher turnout than the contested Democratic primary, it was by only 3 to 4 thousand approximately (I'm doing a quick eyeball of the results). Approximately 48,000 voted in the Republican primary while approximately 45,000 voted in the Democratic primary (apologies now if I've seriously messed up simple arithmetic). With a strong push, I think this district is really winnable!

Excuse me while I grab my surfboard. I think I hear a wave.

Posted by: phonatic at May 3, 2006 03:04 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

take a look at Regula's results in OH-16. While the turnout is higher for his contested primary than for the contested Democratic primary..., take a look at Regula's results in OH-16. While the turnout is higher for his contested primary than for the contested Democratic primary...

With a big contested primary for Governor on the GOP side, turnout would be high in all the congressional districts. I'm not sue you can read anything into the congressional races from turnout.

Posted by: Jay at May 3, 2006 06:18 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

So, which showing is more embarassing?

Sawyer finishing third behind Cafaro and Sutton?or Sulzer finishing third behind Space and Stewart?

Posted by: RBH at May 3, 2006 09:01 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

As others mentioned above, it is VERY ENCOURAGING news that there was significantly higher voter turnout in IN 2, 8, and 9 -- these are the three seats we have a realistic shot at picking up. And it is even better news because these were not really competitive primaries (no disrespect to Gretchen Clearwater in IN09, but she never really had a shot at beating Baron Hill) -- nor was there anything on the statewide ballot to encourage Democrats to vote.

What is happening here is that the Indiana Republican Party is more disspirited than I've seen it in my 14 years of living here. People are pissed at the governor, at the GOP-held legislature, and didn't turn out to vote. In the election-night shocker here, Bob Garton, the Republican Senate Speaker Pro Tem (it's what we call the majority leader) was defeated in a primary -- he had been in the Senate for over 30 years (and actually was quite moderate by Indiana Republican standards), but for a variety of local issues became a symbol for people to take their frustration out on. It's too bad, as he wasn't a bad guy at all -- and it's a heavily Republican district.

Anyway, I'm even more confident going into November than I was before last night.

Posted by: IndianaProgressive at May 3, 2006 09:54 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Sawyer's political career is over. The only office he can run is Mayor of Akron. He was Mayor before getting elected to Congress. or Summit County Executive. His Akron District was eliminated due to redistricting.

Sawyer also did not raise or spend any money on campaign ads- His former collegues in the House and the DCCC supported Labor Friendly canidate- Betty Sutton. Cafri had a lot of money due to her families wealth.

In Sulzer's case- He had support from the DCCC. He was Mayor of a Chillocothe. He was Vietnam Veteran. Yet he came in 2nd place against two political neophytes.

Posted by: mrcharlesmburns at May 5, 2006 12:10 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment