Swing State Project

« NY-20: Sweeney Blutarsky At It Again | Main | FL-Sen: Bense Not Running »

Tuesday, May 09, 2006

NE & WV Election Results Open Thread

Posted by DavidNYC

Polls just closed a few minutes ago in West Virginia. They are still open for a while yet in Nebraska - until 9pm Eastern time (8pm local time in the eastern part of the state, 7pm in the western half). Live results are here:

Nebraska

WV-Sen (GOP) | WV-02 (Dem) | All Races

The main races in Nebraska are the GOP senate primary (the winner gets to challenge Sen. Ben Nelson) and the GOP gubernatorial primary (a race with unusual dynamics - see here for more). In West Virginia, the GOP is deciding who gets to take on Robert Byrd (it'll probably be the unstable self-funder John Raese), and of course the Dems are picking a candidate to challenge Shelley Capito (as you know, I'm rooting for Mike Callaghan).

UPDATE: Hotline is calling it for Heineman. This is the best outcome we could hope for, for the reasons Mark lays out in comments here.

UPDATE (1:40 a.m.): Wow! Awesome! Mike wins! I just got done doing a spreadsheet projecting likely turnout in the remaining counties when I got an e-mail from someone affiliated with the campaign telling me the good news. (He also assures me that the one remaining county, Upshur, can't bring in enough votes to change the outcome.) This is just great! I admit, I was feeling down in the dumps about this one after I saw Hunt winning so many counties, so the feeling of joy and relief is tremendous. Go Mike!

Posted at 07:40 PM in Open Threads | Technorati

Trackback Pings

TrackBack URL for this entry:
http://www.swingstateproject.com/mt/mt-track-ssp.cgi/2339

Comments

I don't think the links are working still got 0 for everyone.

Posted by: D in FL. at May 9, 2006 09:25 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

I maintain that a John Raese candidacy could be a dream come true for the good guys if played right. With all the "God, guns, and gays" culture warriors the GOP could be foisting upon Byrd, West Virginia Republicans are going with a Cato Institute mouthpiece celebrating Gregory Mankiw talking points to a state full of government-dependent lower-income voters. The Dems could connect Raese's plutocratic worldview with incidents like the Sago mine disaster, or at the very least, with the average working person's increased struggle to make ends meet and possibly plant the seed in the minds of West Virginia "values voters" exactly the kind of people they're aligning themselves with.

Looks like Osborne has a lead against Heineman in Nebraska. Not that I care too much who wins, but it does appear to be a pretty exciting horse race for us poli sci junkies.

Posted by: Mark at May 9, 2006 09:49 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Osborne's lost the lead coming out of halftime. A bit over 50% reporting and he is down a few percent.

Posted by: The Professor at May 9, 2006 11:19 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Calhoun,down three hundred, but lots and lots still to report.

Posted by: Democraticavenger at May 10, 2006 12:02 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

With 84% of the vote in, Osborne now TRAILS Heineman by three points. He's in big trouble at this point. I'm actually glad to see Heineman poised to prevail here. Not only will it demoralize the Nebraska GOP, with Osborne squandering both his gubernatorial run and his early opportunity to challenge Ben Nelson for the Senate seat. Furthermore, I'm much more comfortable with Maxine Moul's chances in the Lincoln area without Nebraska icon Tom Osborne at the top of the ticket. I certainly was not expecting Heineman to pull this out against Osborne. Hopefully, it's a sign of good things to come in Nebraska.

Posted by: Mark at May 10, 2006 12:11 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Things aren't looking too good for Callaghan right now. I guess Hunt's self-funding made all the difference. Sigh. Hoping for a late-night miracle here.

Posted by: DavidNYC at May 10, 2006 12:16 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

It isn't that bad. The biggest massive county isn't in yet.

Posted by: Democraticavenger at May 10, 2006 12:34 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Callaghan isn't exactly blowing 'em away in WV-02. He has at least opened up a lead now, but there are still more than 100 precincts left to report.

Posted by: Mark at May 10, 2006 12:50 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Mark, what results are you looking at? The WV SoS shows Callaghan trailing right now, by well over a thousand votes.

Posted by: DavidNYC at May 10, 2006 12:57 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

A better link anybody heh..

Posted by: D in FL. at May 10, 2006 12:59 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Yeah it's offical on the NE-Gov Osbourne lost well that looks like the end of his political carrier unless Hagel either drops out or runs for president in 08.

Posted by: D in FL. at May 10, 2006 01:09 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

The Charleston paper reports that Callahan is leading per the AP count. That count includes votes form the two largest counties, which the SoS site counts as zero so far. Here is a link

http://www.wvgazette.com/section/News/200605106?pt=0

Posted by: hilltopper at May 10, 2006 01:50 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Here are the current Kanawha County totals. SoS has posted none of these as far as I can tell. This comes from a link on the newspaper's site.

US HOUSE OF REP CONGRESS DIST 2
(Vote For ) 1
RICHIE ROBB. . . . . . . . . . 6,266 38.49
MIKE CALLAGHAN. . . . . . . . . 6,191 38.03
MARK HUNT . . . . . . . . . . 3,824 23.49

On the SoS site, callahan trails Hunt by 1300. Here, callahan picks up 1300. According to the news story, callahan says he is leading elsewhere as well. Also, Kanawha Co has counted 158 of 183 precincts.

It will stay close.

Posted by: hilltopper at May 10, 2006 01:59 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

I'm writing a paper and I was getting bummed that it seemed like another good progressive was going to lose. I'm stoked that Mike won. Time for the general. WV a crazy place(I was there for Kerry in 2004) but hopefully we can stop it from its trend red.

Posted by: Green Eggs at May 10, 2006 02:03 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Mike's won for sure, though. He has a 2300 vote lead, and there's no way Hunt can come up with that many in Upshur county alone. Given that there are a grand total of 5,000 registered Dems (more or less) in Upshur, and given that turnout at best would be about 25%, even if Hunt won every vote in Upshur, it wouldn't be enough at this point.

Posted by: DavidNYC at May 10, 2006 02:40 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Anyone have any insight on what happened to Osborne? Everyone I know from Nebraska didn't even expect it to be close, now or in November. It's good to know being a football hero doesn't mean everything (though I certainly hope it does in Asheville...), but I'm surprised all the same.

Posted by: RamblinDave at May 10, 2006 07:26 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment