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Tuesday, July 11, 2006
2Q Fundraising Reports Open Thread
Posted by James L.(Bumped. Updated info at bottom.)
The second fundraising quarter ended a week ago, and campaigns have another week to submit their reports to the FEC, but there have been a number of fundraising totals floating around already. I'll be tallying up the notable ones in this thread (which I will bump up as more numbers come in). Please feel free to share any numbers you've seen, both for House and Senate candidates. As always, we'll be particularly interested in races with open seats, Republican incumbents, and vulnerable Democratic inumbents.
Here's what I've got so far:
CO-07:
Ed Perlmutter (D): $300k raised ($515k cash-on-hand)
Peggy Lamm (D): $243k raised
Rick O'Donnell (R): $305k raised ($859,000 cash-on-hand)
(Perlmutter's keeping a good pace, but he has a spirited primary to win against Lamm, and O'Donnell has a $1000/plate fundraiser with the President on tap this month. This is an open seat formerly held by outgoing Rep. Bob Beauprez (R), who's running for governor right now.)MN-01 (subscription-only):
Tim Walz (D): $198k raised ($250k cash-on-hand)*
Gil Gutknecht (R-Inc.): $190k raised ($800k+ cash-on-hand)*
(*These numbers are estimates only--I'll watch out for an update. The good news for Walz is that he's outraised Gutknecht, and incumbent congressman, for the second quarter in a row. The bad news is a cruel cash-on-hand disadvantage. Still, after the first quarter, it was a 6-to-1 disadvantage. Now it's well under a 4-to-1 disadvantage. It's not stellar, but he's closing the gap.)NY-20:
Kirsten Gillibrand (D): $500k raised ($750k cash-on-hand)
John Sweeney (R-Inc.): $479k raised ($1M cash-on-hand)
(Gillibrand is on fire. She came close to matching Sweeney's 1Q fundraising, and now she's taking the lead. That's fantastic for a first-time challenger against an established incumbent.)
PoliticsPA also reports Democrat Chris Carney raising $170k in the last three weeks of the quarter and having $290k cash-on-hand. That's good news for Carney, who's challenging incumbent Republican Rep. Don Sherwood, a truly odious man who barely survived a primary challenge against a no-name, no-spender. Sherwood's victory gave Carney a huge lift.
More updates as I get them.
UPDATE:
WA-08:
Darcy Burner (D): $581k raised ($754,800 cash-on-hand)OH-01:
John Cranley (D): $470k raised ($750k cash-on-hand... impressive)OH-06:
Charlie Wilson (D):$275k raised ($235k cash-on-hand)$397k raised ($290k cash-on-hand)
Even more, this time from the AP in Pennsylvania:
PA-06:
Lois Murphy (D): $740k raised ($1.4m cash-on-hand)
Jim Gerlach (R-Inc.): $453k raised ($1.3m cash-on-hand)
(Wow.)PA-10:
Chris Carney (D): $210k raised ($295k cash-on-hand)
Don Sherwood (R-Inc.): $333k raised ($479k cash-on-hand)
(Carney started the quarter with $90k cash-on-hand, while Sherwood has just treaded water, considering how he had to spend over $300k just to fend off a weak primary challenge. Good movement for Carney.)
Another update:
PA-07:
Joe Sestak (D): $700k raised ("nearly" $1m cash-on-hand)
Curt Weldon (R-Inc.) $400k raised ($1.14m cash-on-hand)
(Absolutely stunning numbers. It's rare that a challenger outraises an incumbent, let alone by the fat margins that Lois Murphy and Joe Sestak are starting to do. Weldon's campaign is undoubtedly startled by this show of strength.)
Nebraska Update:
NE-01:
Maxine Moul (D): $310k raised ($360k cash-on-hand)
(All in all, Moul, a former NE Lt.-Gov., has raised $520k in her campaign this year--a record for a Democrat in this district.)NE-03 (open seat; from sources close to the campaign):
Scott Kleeb (D): $203k raised ($277k cash on hand)
(Good numbers for a youngster like Kleeb in a deep red district that's had a couple of close calls with Democratic representation over the years. Kleeb's raised $386k in total.)
Posted at 12:00 PM in Fundraising | Technorati
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Comments
Here's the text of the (a?) Walz piece, sent to me by the Walz comm. dir.:
WASHINGTON -- House challenger Tim Walz, a Democrat from Mankato who is facing U.S. Rep. Gil Gutknecht this fall in the 1st Congressional District, expects to have outraised the six-term incumbent during the second quarter.
Final tallies by both campaigns are not due to the Federal Election Commission until July 15 and could change slightly. Still, Walz looks to have raised at least $198,000 over the quarter, compared to about $190,000 for Gutknecht, based on interviews with the campaigns.
Walz will continue to trail the congressman in cash on hand, however. He will have about $250,000 in the bank, said spokeswoman Meredith Salsbery, while Gutknecht, a Republican from Rochester, will have more than $800,000, his campaign manager Nels Pierson said.
Salsbery portrayed the numbers as a positive sign for Walz, who she said is attracting crossover backing from people who intend to vote for Republican Gov. Tim Pawlenty, but are also ready for a new southern Minnesota representative. "If we are able to hold our own (with Gutknecht), then we are really excited," she said.
Pierson attributed the relatively close fundraising numbers to the congressman's schedule in Washington, especially since he limits his special-interest political action committee donations to a third of his total fundraising. PAC donations are often sought at Washington fundraisers when lawmakers are in session.
"The congressman has a full-time job in Washington, D.C.," Pierson said, and noted that Walz is on a leave of absence from his high school teaching position. He said the congressman had a "healthy" fundraising quarter.
-----
Sour grapes from Pierson!
Posted by: JelloAbode ![[TypeKey Profile Page]](http://www.swingstateproject.com/nav-commenters.gif)
at July 7, 2006 02:01 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment
I haven't been able to find fundraising numbers for Ben Nelson (NE-Sen) for this quarter, but I saw an ad today that's making me get nervous about this race.
Back when he was running in the GOP primary, Pete Ricketts just made himself out to be the best of 3 stooges, with ads that really, just made him look stupid in an attempt to make ordinary Nebraskans think he was down-to-earth, or at least as down-to-earth as a multimillionaire can be. Not anymore. He's campaigning on the fact that if Ben Nelson stays in the Senate, then the Democrats could gain a majority, which would mean "higher taxes, more government spending, and liberal judges."
Now, there's many points I can refute in that ad, but most people reading this already know the counterarguments. Ricketts has poured almost $5.5 million into his campaign so far. Compared to other states that may not seem like much, but it goes a long way in Nebraska where the media buy is much cheaper. I live here and I know the people here. Nelson's not out of the woods yet, not by a long shot.
Posted by: StuckInRedNE at July 7, 2006 07:28 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment
StuckInRedNE:
I doubt (hope?) that argument wouldn't stand up over time. I would think Nelson could draw attention to the fact that Ricketts must think the people he wants to represent are stupid and don't realize that the president is a conservative republican (whom has praised Nelson in the past, which btw will be shown in Nelson ads) who probably would not be keen on raising taxes. As for government spending...talk about lobbing a big 'ol softball over the plate to trash this republican guvment and its spending!
I think Nelson is lucky to be running for reelection this year. If this were a presidential year, I think we'd have to be more worried because then Ricketts argument would hold more water. There WOULD be a potential for liberal judges and the like if the country elected a democratic president. But since Bush is in there for 2 more years, Nebraskans can vote for the most popular senator in the country and not have to worry about handing over the federal government to a bunch of pointy-headed libruls.
Posted by: nada at July 8, 2006 10:01 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment
It just scares me a lot because I've lived here all my life and know what the majority of people here fear. He's speaking to their fears, just as President Bush has been doing in regards to terrorism to strip our civil liberties. You have to remember that Nelson lost the 1998 Senate race to Chuck Hagel while Nelson was a popular sitting governor. Reminding them of what Nelson's done to help them doesn't seem to go as far in conservative Nebraska. I hope I'm just overreacting.
Posted by: StuckInRedNE at July 8, 2006 12:48 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment
We talked to Luke Blocher, campaign manager for John Cranley (OH01), this morning. He told us that they raised around $500k last quarter and now had about $800k cash on hand.
Posted by: bluehighwayblog at July 9, 2006 07:10 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment
Bluehighwayblog,
That's a really big chunk of change. Is there any internal polling for OH-1 which shows Cranley at least neck-and-neck with Chabot?
Posted by: dpinzow at July 10, 2006 12:17 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment
Former Lt. Governor Maxine Moul (running against freshmen Jeff Fortenberry in NE-01) just reported raising $520,000 for the first six months of the year (which means, by my count, that she raised $310,000 for the second quarter). That shatters the previous record for a Democrat running for this district (State Senator Matt Conneally, in 2004, raised about $330,000 in the first two quarters. That's less than Moul's *cash on hand*). In fact, it shatters the record for any Democrat running for any House seat in Nebraska (set by State Senator Nancy Thompson, also in 2004, who ran against Lee Terry in the second district. She raised $466,000 in six months).
As for the discussion about nelson, I really think StuckinRedNE needs to take a chill pill regarding Rickett's attack ads. They are actually rather stunningly stupid and, as the World Herald said, an "insult [to] the intelligence of Nebraska voters". I think nelson would have been better served letting voters figure that out for themselves, but his response ad was very effective, combining clips from the overwhelmingly negative reaction in the press to Rickett's attacks with a video clip of the President (pretty passionately) portraying Ben Nelson as a man above partisanship and politics.
Ricketts scared me with his cutesy-wootsey commercials in the primaries, where he was running on the theme that he was 1)just a regular guy and 2)a political reformer (an agent of "Conservative change", as he says), not just another politics-as-usual. That's a potentially deadly theme for what is turning out to be a very anti-incumbent year. But his general election theme (that this race is really about liberal boogeymen like Ted Kennedy, John kerry and Hillary Clinton) completely undercuts his message that he'll be an iconoclast the likes of other Nebraskan senators, like Norris, Zorinsky, Exxon, Kerrey, Hagel or even Nelson.
Posted by: everrpa at July 10, 2006 11:05 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment
Sounds like Moul's performance was strong enough to move her up a tier in Beltway estimates.
Cranley had already drawn "Red to Blue" status from the DCCC,
and the numbers cited indicate he deserves national support.
Posted by: Christopher Walker at July 10, 2006 12:05 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment
On the OH-01: He told us that internal and public polling put Chabot's re-elects in the low-40s and the race in a dead heat "or with John [Cranley] slightly ahead... when a positive introduction to each candidate is included."
cite (pdf): "In the Ohio 1 race between Republican Representative Steve Chabot and Democrat John Cranley, the initial vote is 52-43 for Chabot. The horserace becomes 49-47 after voters hear the candidates’ biographies."
We also got updated numbers for the race - 775k COH and 470K raised this quarter.
On the OH-06: We spoke to the campaign, who told us their second quarter numbers would be 275k raised and 235k COH.
Posted by: bluehighwayblog at July 10, 2006 04:42 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment
On the OH-01: He told us that internal and public polling put Chabot's re-elects in the low-40s and the race in a dead heat "or with John [Cranley] slightly ahead... when a positive introduction to each candidate is included."
cite (pdf): "In the Ohio 1 race between Republican Representative Steve Chabot and Democrat John Cranley, the initial vote is 52-43 for Chabot. The horserace becomes 49-47 after voters hear the candidates’ biographies."
We also got updated numbers for the race - 775k COH and 470K raised this quarter.
On the OH-06: We spoke to the campaign, who told us their second quarter numbers would be 275k raised and 235k COH.
Posted by: bluehighwayblog at July 10, 2006 04:46 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment
I think you mean Sherwood, not Gerlach in the last sentence.
Posted by: dantheman at July 11, 2006 10:46 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment
Good catch. Fixed. Thanks.
Posted by: James L. at July 11, 2006 11:49 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment
Sestak took in $700,000 to Weldon's $400,000. Sestak has now raised $1.1 million.
Posted by: jonahinnyc at July 11, 2006 12:15 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment
Holy shit. Awesome numbers...
Thanks Jonah.
Posted by: James L. at July 11, 2006 12:45 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment
In a surprise, new AZ-01 Dem candidate Ellen Simon raised $500,000 in six weeks. ($200,000 was her own money.)
Posted by: Nonpartisan at July 11, 2006 09:21 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment
I don't see it mentioned anywhere here yet, so I'll tell you that the Nick Lampson campaign told a group of bloggers on Sunday that he had raised $600K for the quarter. His goal had been $500K before DeLay dropped out, and $400K afterwards. Needless to say, he zoomed past both totals. Go Nick Lampson!
Posted by: Charles Kuffner at July 11, 2006 09:27 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment
Ron Klein running for FL-22, though he did not outraise his opponent did pull in $800,000 in the second quarter alone. Cook Report moved the seat to 'toss-up'.
Posted by: jonahinnyc at July 12, 2006 08:58 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment
Kleeb's numbers in NE-03 do him credit, considering what a tough district that is for a Democrat.
Unfortunately, each of the three front-runners for the nomination on the other ticket
had raised more than that by the March filing.
The hope will have to be that the ugliness of their primary
damages the local fund-raising capabilities of the winner, Adrian Smith,
and that the Club for Growth's attention will move on to other contests,
content with their win in the GOP primary and unable to imagine that the seat is really contested by a Democrat.
Their cannibalisitc frenzy is focused on Joe Schwartz in MI-07 until August 8, anyway.
Posted by: Christopher Walker at July 12, 2006 11:21 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment
like the commenter above said, Ron Klein has announced that he raised an extroardinarily large amount of money this quarter, 800,000 dollars, making him most likely the Democrats top fundraiser nationwide, and at least in the top three. The only challengers I think could have done better are Tammy Duckworth and Patricia Madrid.
Posted by: ArkDem at July 12, 2006 12:23 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment
Comments on the NE Races
LT. Gov Moul and Rep. Fortenberry, quite honestly this is probably the biggest sleeper race in the nation. On one hand, you have Rep. Fortenberry a Louisianan who knows more about crawdads (and yes, Nebraskans call them crawdads not crawfish) than tractors. Rep. Fortenberry is quite honestly one of the luckiest politicos around, he moved to NE, around 10 years ago, fell into a council seat (in one of the few seats dominated by Rep) in Lincoln. Then runs for Congress and wins the primary by calling in his Club for Growth bullies to bash his two more deserving, more experienced primary candidates. He then caught a big 9/11/Bush tailwind which prevented his general election opponent (a genuinely good guy) from gaining any traction; moreover his general election opponent was from the rural portion of the district and failed to make enough headway in the Lincoln area.
This year is very different. Rep Fortenberry is faces an opponent who’s arguably better known throughout the district. Maxing Moul is a native of the district, worked extensively to help spur economic development and revitalization in those communities, as a business woman, the LT Gov and the State Director of Economic Development (an very visible position in NE). She is also extremely well known and genuinely liked in Lincoln, where she founded and served as President of the Nebraska Community Foundation and continues to reside. At a minimum she started out with at least equal name id and a campaign infrastructure much more developed than most challengers.
Three other things are, (admittedly a tea leaves prediction) breaking in her favor. First, with the exit of Coach/Rep Osborne (which in and of itself could have some backlash, playing into the Dem’s favor statewide) from the governor’s race, the Nelson race should be the marquee race. The feedback I’m receiving from people in the 3rd (that would be the Western 1/3 of your adopted state Rep. Fortenberry) is that Ricketts is a leaving a generally poor impression, even with many card carrying straight ticket folks. Many people continue to refer to Sen. Nelson’s loss to Sen. Hagel, that race was to some degree an anomaly, it was a presidential year and Sen. Hagel fit into the “cult of personality” type which Nebraskans truly adore (see G.W. Norris, Bob Kerrey, J.J. Exon). Pete Rickets is not cut from that cloth. Most importantly Sen. Nelson’s campaign failed to recognize and effectively respond to Sen. Hagel’s surge. He won’t make that mistake twice.
Ben Nelson is much admired, if not adored and has generally done the things he needed to do to hold the seat, there a pretty good chance that people will turnout to vote for him, by association this should provide some coattails to Maxine (Lt. Gov Moul). The key for LT. Gov. Moul is shaking as many hands and slapping as many backs as humanly possible and making sure she’s competitive in the media. This requires money, clearly she’s doing very well in that regard right now, but I’m certain we’ll see the Club for Growth et. al. pour tons of cash into this race the instant it starts to tighten. As a consequence she’ll have to more than repeat the numbers she posted in her first two quarters.
Scott Kleeb has been a pleasant surprise and feedback (again from the 3rd Dist) has positive or at least neutral regarding his candidacy. Moreover response to his opponent has been mild to neutral, with few people really clamoring about the guy. If he can get on the air, and stay on the air consistently he might have a shot. His biggest problem is that he (like Fortenberry) is a relative new comer, though his family roots run extremely deep. He could have rectified this by attending college in the state, but chose Univ. of Co and Yale and more than a few folks in the 3rd won’t look favorably on either choice. He also needs to stop trying to spin his stint at Yale as an effort to attend one of the premier programs on the history of ranching (something like that, can’t recall the exact phrase). Most Nebraskans will scoff or laugh at that assertion given that the most significant or at least widely known contribution from the East Coast to ranching since the pioneers has been the Buffalos Commons Theory. He’d be better off saying, “it’s a tough school to get into and it was supposed to be very challenging, so I wanted to see how I stacked up, turns out I managed to hold my own.”
Posted by: Pesudonym J at July 13, 2006 10:49 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment
A group of local bloggers from New York have gotten together to look at the second quarter numbers for competitive Congressional races in our state:
NY13 looks at CD13 - http://ny13.blogspot.com/2006/07/q2-fundraising-results.html
Daniel Millstone at Daily Gotham looks at CD19 - http://dailygotham.com/blog/daniel_millstone/taking_back_congress_retiring_sue_kelly_nys_19th
Democracy in Albany looks at CD20 - http://www.democracyinalbany.com/story/2006/7/17/63929/1912
WFP Blog looks at CD24 - http://wfpjournal.blogspot.com/2006/07/mike-arcuri-second-quarter-fundraising.html
Rochester Turning looks at CD29 - http://rochesterturning.com/?p=43
Posted by: Steve at July 17, 2006 01:54 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment