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Friday, July 14, 2006

Revenge of 2Q Fundraising Reports Open Thread

Posted by James L.

Well, the clock is running out for campaigns to file their 2Q fundraising reports, so let's give this topic a big ol' SSP-style goodbye in one last open thread. (Parts one and two can be found here and here.)

First off, what's one sure way to tell an incumbent politician's career is going down the tubes (and no, not those kinds of tubes, Senator Stevens)? Well, raising only $123,000 in the second quarter of the most dangerous re-election campaign of their career is one sure indicator. Just look at Bob Ney:

OH-18:
Zack Space (D): $308k raised ($204k cash-on-hand)
Bob Ney (R-Inc.): $123k raised ($420k cash-on-hand)

Ney's raised $1.3m in total during this cycle, but that pace is clearly on a precipitous decline. Afterall, what's the point in buying off a congressman with campaign donations when he's two breaths short of an indictment? Space may be behind in the available cash drawer for now, but it probably won't take long for that to change given this atrociously tepid showing by Ney.

Also, from the Columbus Post-Dispatch, some more Ohio nums:

OH-Sen:
Sherrod Brown (D): $1.6m raised ($3.7m cash-on-hand)
Mike DeWine (R-Inc.): $2.1m raised ($6.6m cash-on-hand)
(Once again, Bush shows his donor base power: DeWine boosted his figures by $750k based on a June 30th fundraiser with the President. I wish Bill Clinton would spend more of his free time doing events like these.)

OH-15:
Mary Jo Kilroy (D): $571k raised ($776k cash-on-hand)
Deborah Pryce (R-Inc.): $649k raised ($1.81m cash-on-hand)
(Kilroy has really amped up her fundraising pace over the last quarter. She pulled in $318k last quarter. Unfortunately, Pryce is keeping pace as well, but this still should be a hot race this season.)

OH-12:
Bob Shamansky (D): $68k raised + $250k personal donation ($262k cash-on-hand)
Pat Tiberi (R-Inc.): $360k raised ($1.72m cash-on-hand)
(This is an interesting situation: Shamansky is a ripened former one-term congressman from the 1980s, and he's making a shot at returning to Congress. Donations have been fairly dry, as you can see, but Shamansky is vowing to put his own green on the line--$250k this cycle and likely more to come. If anything, an effective run by Shamansky could soften up Tiberi and bleed his coffers a bit for 2008. This district is pretty competitive between Democrats and Republicans in Presidential races, and Cook rates it a competitive R+0.7. I can't see a change of hands this cycle, but it still could be interesting to see what Shammy can do.)

More updates as they come. What numbers have you seen today?

Nevada update:

NV-Sen:
Jack Carter (D): $482k raised ($1.1m total raised)
(I'm not sure what Ensign's raised, but probably a gazillion.)

Posted at 10:49 AM in Fundraising | Technorati

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Comments

In the IA-03, Leonard Boswell (incumbent) broke a campaign fundraising record. You can find the release and more information here. Thanks.

Posted by: Chris Woods at July 14, 2006 12:20 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

When's the last moment they can replace Ney on the ballot.

Even he may be starting to see the writing on the wall.

And Zach Smith may be the coolest name candidate of the cycle.

Posted by: dantheman at July 14, 2006 12:44 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

The Sherrod Brown CoH gap is making me ill. I seriously hope Chuck Schumer has the resources to airdrop serious moolah into this state.

Posted by: DavidNYC at July 14, 2006 01:13 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

I'd love to check up on my race (CT-02)..where do I look for the numbers? I tried the FEC site, but couldn't find any new information there.

Posted by: MVD at July 14, 2006 01:26 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

In VA-10, Judy Feder, the Democratic challenger, outraised the 26 year incumbent Frank Wolf again. She's outrasied him in 3 consecutive reporting periods. This year, she has outraised him by more than 195k.

Posted by: Greg Bouchillon at July 14, 2006 02:59 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Here's another one- NJ-07 Stender (from PoliticsNJ):

"Democratic congressional candidate Linda Stender has raised $899,739 in her race against GOP Rep. Mike Ferguson -- including $431,885 over the last quarter. The Stender campaign says their cash on hand is more than $650,000. (07/14/06)"

Posted by: Predictor at July 14, 2006 04:46 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

General PAC Fundraising Info (Mark Warner):

"Forward Together PAC has raised $8.2 million in the eight months since Election Day 2005.

Forward Together PAC has directly donated $860,500 to 108 candidates and committees from October 2005 to the end of June 2006.

Governor Warner has headlined 45 events in 17 states helping raise $4,940,000 for candidates and committees in this election cycle.

The combined fundraising impact for candidates and committees is about $5.8 million this cycle."

Posted by: Predictor at July 14, 2006 08:52 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Thanks to an intiative by the Working Famillies Party Blog, NY State bloggers will be rolling out Q2 numbers today for

CD 13, 19, 20, 23, 24, 25, 26, and 29

We will be linking to each other's postings as they come in. You can find CD13 and links here:
http://ny13.blogspot.com/

Posted by: jonahinnyc at July 17, 2006 12:26 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

HI-02:

here are the latest figures for "cash on hand" from the FEC filings that were due over the weekend:

Mazie Hirono:
$335,273.57

Brian Schatz:
$120,801.06

Colleen Hanabusa:
$113,370.69

Clayton Hee:
$47,355.61

Gary Hooser:
$29,420.60

Joe Zuiker:
$2,438.58

Matt Matsunaga:
$85.03

Source:
Federal Election Commission
http://fec.gov

Direct links to reports available in the July 17 post at:

http://www.ilind.net/2006/july/jul16-22.html

Posted by: raatz at July 17, 2006 10:09 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

CQ Politics article entitled "House: Democratic Challengers Thriving in Money Race":
http://www.cqpolitics.com/2006/07/house_democratic_challengers_t.html

Posted by: Predictor at July 21, 2006 11:12 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment