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Thursday, October 05, 2006

NY-26: NRCC Chairman Reynolds on Brink of Defeat

Posted by James L.

In the wake of scandalous headlines and embarrassing press conferences, it's no wonder that NRCC chair Tom Reynolds is reduced to a sweating, blubbering apologist for his role in the House Republican Leadership cover-up of Mark Foley's predatory advances towards congressional pages. Here's one more reason for Reynolds to toss and turn tonight (SUSA, likely voters, 9/28 in parens):

Jack Davis (D): 50 (43)
Tom Reynolds (R-Inc.): 45 (45)
MoE: ±4.6%

How sweet it is: the man in charge of co-ordinating the defensive strategy for House Republican incumbents this fall is on the path towards losing his own seat. Jack Davis, who captured a surprisingly good 44% of the vote here in 2004 (where he outperformed Kerry by 1%) and can self-fund this year's bid, is poised to strike a decapitating blow for Democrats this November.

PS: Sorry for the slowness this week--I have a huge economics exam tomorrow, so I'll be hunkered down in my vice-presidential bunker for a good 24 hours.

Posted at 04:11 PM in 2006 Elections - House, New York | Technorati

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Comments

It's nice to see we are ahead but...
We should have been up in the NY-26 by even more.

Immediately after the last poll, the Green Party candidate who took a strong 8% in that poll -- was thrown off the ballot.

Now 20% of the independent voters choose the Green Party.

And one would imagine if they were already planning to vote -- they are going to choose the dem now instead.

But somehow Reynolds held on to his 45% of the vote! How did no republicans change their mind about him with the scandal?

-- MrMacMan

Posted by: MrMacMan at October 5, 2006 08:57 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Jeremiah, Jack Davis is the reason why Reynolds is still able to secure so much of the vote. Davis has not spoken to the press or made a new ad to make people offended by what Reynolds has personally done. He is still campaigning on his one issue of trade, and this is a horrible strategy given the circumstance. He was given this race on a silver platter, and he seems to be ignoring the scandal all together.

Posted by: Bolanos87 at October 5, 2006 10:25 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment