SurveyUSA (5/18-19, registered voters):
Tim Pawlenty (R-inc): 51
Matt Entenza (D): 37Tim Pawlenty (R-inc): 52
Tom Bakk (D): 34Tim Pawlenty (R-inc): 51
John Marty (D): 34Tim Pawlenty (R-inc): 50
Susan Gaertner (D): 36Tim Pawlenty (R-inc): 47
Mark Dayton (D): 43Tim Pawlenty (R-inc): 51
Paul Thissen (D): 32Tim Pawlenty (R-inc): 47
R.T. Rybak (D): 42Tim Pawlenty (R-inc): 48
Chris Coleman (D): 37Tim Pawlenty (R-inc): 51
Margaret Anderson Kelliher (D): 34
(MoE: ±4.3%)
And because you can’t tell the players without a scorecard (unless you’re a Minnesota political junkie)…
Paul Thissen, a Minneapolis-area state representative
Tom Bakk, a state senator representing parts of northeast Minnesota
John Marty, a state senator from Roseville
Margaret Anderson Kelliher, Speaker of the Minnesota House of Representatives
Susan Gaertner, County Attorney for Ramsey County
Matt Entenza, former Minnesota State House Democratic Leader and 2006 candidate for Attorney General
Chris Coleman, mayor of St. Paul
R. T. Rybak, mayor of Minneapolis
Mark Dayton, former U.S. Senator
Of course, the field is still very fluid here; it’s unlikely that all of the above names will strap on a pair and jump into the roller derby, and we can’t even be sure that T-Paw himself will run for a third term.
In the diaries, Populista offers a local take on the above numbers. It’s worth a look.
I mean . . . wow! Goes to show that once you are out of the limelight long enough, everyone forgets about how unliked you were.
Ryback is the only other person I am familiar with, good numbers for him and Coleman (D).
No repub sen for MN, right?
Wait a couple years….
All of them will be in the race except for Kelliher.
Everyone on there has already announced and filed except for her, and Rybak and Coleman since they have mayoral elections and Kelliher, well, we’ll see She has a lot of competition to give up her Speakership for, unless she runs and drops out when she sees she may lose and runs for her state house seat.
So actually, it’s extremely likely they’ll jump in (minus Kelliher), how many of them bother running until the endorsement convention is another question. I imagine several will drop out after the first few conventions once they see they aren’t getting shit for delegates ala Mike Ciresi.
But come December, there’ll be 8 candidates, all legit ones at that. Come March, that may be down to like 4 after all the state reps and senators flee back to their legislature seats.
Here’s a question for any Minnesotans. How did Marty get to be the nominee in 1994 and still have his still state Senate seat? I really dont like how the endorsement process makes it possible to run for a seat and then back out and run for ones old seat in the primary, it makes the entire thing confusing. Like last year in 08, all sorts of state reps and senators announce their retirement at the end of session, well all of their senate district conventions have already occurred, so do these new candidates running for an open seat only running in the primary then?
will we get from DFL to choose the wrong candidate?
I realized at work they forgot a candidate, Steve Kelley.
http://www.stevekelley.org/vid…
House from 1993-1996 and then senate from 1997-2007 representing the really liberal burbs that border Minneapolis to the West and a few others in that area.
Ran for AG when Entenza had to step down but was beat by Swanson. He’s definitely in as well, hence the campaign website and that he currently isnt an elected official means he isnt waiting around like a few of the others, he’s in and has been campaigning.
So yeah, add in another one. Him not getting polled as well is a bit of a slap in the face I’d say. He probably has the worst chance on paper since all of the other current and former state legislators have either a unique base to bring to the table, are currently elected, or were once higher ups in the party.
But yeah, make that 9 candidates that Id say will be running and Kelliher being the only maybe.