Bill White, the former Mayor of Houston, is sitting on $5.4 million for the general election. Roughly twice as much as either Rick Perry or Kay Bailey Hutchinson.
Kay Bailey Hutchinson
1.1M raised
8M spent
2.3M Cash on Hand
Rick Perry
850K raised
8.8M spent
2.5M CoH
Debra Medina
450K raised
228k spent
291K CoH
Bill White
2.2M raised
2.7M spent
5.4M CoH
Farouk Shami
1.1M raised
5M spent
1M CoH
Thanks to the BurntOrangeReport for the numbers
http://www.burntorangereport.c…
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I hope I’m wrong, but I think a state that’s capable of electing a crazy secessionist who is leading a pretty hard-right U.S. Senator who’s merely sane and is getting primaried by someone even further to the right will not elect a Democrat statewide so soon, regardless of how much he spends.
But knowing that politics often has as much to do with the way particular candidates’ personalities strike the voters as anything else, I don’t think it’s completely impossible that White could catch fire.
between choices ‘No’ and ‘Not in a cycle this favorable for the GOP’?
Sheesh, what a flawed pole…
I would currently project…
Democrat – 35%
Republican – 35%
Independent – 30%
Perry – 5/85/45 = 46%
White – 95/15/55 – 54%
If White wins, he’s going to win it 51-49. There would have to be a huge black turnout for Dallas to go 57% for White. I think 54-55% is doable. I do think the older and outer suburbs hold the persuadable and independent voters who will tip this election. The Dems now at least have a good list of activists who can reach these voters in Collin, Denton, Williamson, Montgomery because of the senate/county conventions in 2008. White will have some problems in east texas due to his stance on guns as Mayor of Houston. White’s name id in metro Houston will be a big boost in the ring of counties around Houston.