SSP Daily Digest: 2/10

AZ-Sen: This has to be a bit of disappointment for J.D. Hayworth, as he mounts a right-wing primary challenge to John McCain: South Carolina Sen. Jim DeMint, who’s been active in endorsing insurgent candidates in GOP primaries and whose stamp of approval has become the gold standard for aspiring wingnuts, has declined to get involved in the Arizona primary.

CA-Sen: Bringing to the table the business acumen and keen understanding of the law that made her such a smashing success at Hewlett-Packard, Carly Fiorina put forth a worst-case scenario solution for the cash-strapped state of California: declaring bankruptcy. One slight problem here: while municipalities may, states can’t declare bankruptcy.

IN-Sen: Former Sen. Dan Coats made his official announcement during a radio interview today, saying he’s “answering the call” to challenge Evan Bayh. Coats said he’s “off and running,” and by running, that means his staffers are running madly around the state trying to round up at least 500 signatures in each congressional district before the Feb. 16 filing deadline; so far, he has turned in no signatures at all (and his efforts may be greatly hampered by this week’s spell of inclement weather). At a more general level, Politico has a story today titled “The Nuking of Dan Coats,” a retrospective of all the damage Coats has sustained last week as the Dems (gunshy about a repeat of their asleep-at-the-wheel Massachusetts election) pounced quickly and rolled out pushback-free hit after hit on Coats’s lobbying past and residency.

CA-Gov: Democratic gubernatorial candidate Jerry Brown is sitting on more than $12 million, which would be enough to annihilate everyone and everything in sight in most states. But in freakishly-expensive California and facing billionaire Meg Whitman, who can cut herself a $20 million check the way most of us reach into the change jar on the way to the store, he needs a little outside help. He’s getting that from “Level the Playing Field 2010,” a coalition of unions and wealthy donors who are launching a $20 million independent expenditure effort of their own, to keep Whitman from dominating the airwaves here in the slow season.

MI-Gov: This is kind of surprising, considering that she’d been getting a disproportionate share of the gubernatorial buzz, some not-so-subtle encouragement from inside the Beltway, and a primary lead in recent polling. Denise Ilitch, UM regent and one-time pro sports magnate & pizza baroness, decided today against a run for the Democratic nod. She pointed to the late date, saying there was too much catching-up to do at this point, although she said she’d be interested in running for something in the future. This means the Democratic field is likely to be centrist state House speaker Andy Dillon and populist Lansing mayor Virg Bernero going mano-a-mano.

NY-Gov: You can tell it’s not shaping up to be a good week when it starts out with having to point out that, no, you’re not resigning. David Paterson batted down rumors about forthcoming resignation in the face of an allegedly-emerging sex scandal (which so far has yet to emerge), but something even more ominous is looming on the horizon: federal prosecutors are starting to look into alleged misdeeds related to awarding gambling contracts at the Aqueduct racetrack in Queens. The angle may be that the recipient, Aqueduct Entertainment Group, includes ex-Rep. Floyd Flake, still a prominent black leader in Queens and one who’d been pondering endorsing Andrew Cuomo instead in a primary, and that the contract may have been intended to curry Flake’s favor.

PA-Gov: Scranton mayor Chris Doherty may be looking for an exit, although he maintains he’s staying in the Democratic primary field. Rumors have abounded that he’s looking to downshift to the Lt. Governor position, and the decision by two locally prominent pols (Wilkes-Barre mayor Tom Leighton and Luzerne Co. Commissioner Maryanne Petrilla) to back rival Dan Onorato instead may hasten his decision. Doherty is also getting urged to drop down to the state Senate, in order to hold the Scranton-area seat being vacated this year by Senate minority leader Robert Mellow (who just announced his retirement) after decades in the Senate. (However, SD-22 is Democratic-leaning and probably doesn’t need someone of Doherty’s stature to hold it.)

RI-Gov: I’m not exactly sure where the rumors that Democratic state treasurer Frank Caprio was considering a switch to an independent or even Republican run for governor (presumably in order to avoid an irritating primary with more liberal AG Patrick Lynch, although polls have given Caprio the edge in that primary) were coming from, but Caprio tamped them down, confirming he’s staying on board as a Democrat. At any rate, regardless of how things sort out, it looks like Rhode Island will have a governor next year who’s in favor of gay marriage: Caprio, Lynch, and independent candidate Lincoln Chafee have all pledged to sign it into law. (Republican candidate John Robitaille won’t, although even he’s in favor of civil unions; polls have shown him to be an electoral non-factor though.)

AL-05: Suddenly the floodgates are open in the 5th for Democratic challengers to former Dem Parker Griffith. Taze Shepard and Mitchell Howie both confirmed they’ll run yesterday, and now a third person has stepped forward: Steve Raby, a political consultant whose biggest claim to fame is a long stint as the chief of staff to Sen. Howell Heflin. A fourth possible candidate, former Huntsville school board president David Blair, however, said that he won’t get involved in the race. The filing deadline isn’t until April 2.

CA-11: The establishment seems to be coming together behind attorney David Harmer as their pick in the GOP primary in the 11th, where there’s a wide assortment of Republicans, some of whom can self-fund, but none with an electoral background. Harmer, you’ll recall, ran in the special election in the much-bluer 10th last year and overperformed the district’s lean against then-Lt. Gov. John Garamendi. Harmer just got the endorsement of Reps. Wally Herger and Buck McKeon, as well as CA-11’s 2008 loser, former Assemblyman Dean Andal.

CT-04: Ex-Rep. Chris Shays is starting to seem like he wants to run for something this year, seeing as how Republican fortunes are improving. He’d previously been linked with a gubernatorial run, but today’s rumor has him interested in a rematch against Rep. Jim Himes, who knocked him out in 2008. Shays would be a more imposing foe than the state Senators currently in the GOP field, but would still have an uphill run against the district’s D+5 lean.

MA-AG: If politicians had to have professional licenses in order to practice, Martha Coakley’s would have been revoked for gross political malpractice. Instead, though, she’s free to run for re-election… and that’s just what she’s announced that she’s doing.

OH-AG: A Republican internal poll from Newhouse gives ex-Sen. Mike DeWine a sizable edge over incumbent Democratic Richard Cordary in the Ohio AG’s race, 50-32. That’s actually plausible, as DeWine, who spent two terms as Senator, has much greater name recognition than Cordray, who filled in mid-term in the wake of Marc Dann’s resignation.

NY-St. Sen.: The state Senate actually sacked up and did it: they expelled Hiram Monserrate, several months after his assault conviction. The vote was 53-8. A special election has been called for March 16 (in which Monserrate plans to run anyway); the compressed timetable is largely because Monserrate’s absence means the Dems are down to only a 31-30 edge in the Senate, making it impossible for the Dems to move legislation on party lines (as bills need 32 votes to pass).

NY-St. Ass.: Bad news for suburban New York Democrats, who lost two separate Assembly seats in special elections last night (although one, in Suffolk County, is close enough that it could be salvaged through absentee ballots). The victory of Republican Robert Castelli in AD-89, centered on White Plains in affluent Westchester County, may be particularly alarming for Democrats, especially when coupled with the surprise loss of Westchester Co. Exec Andy Spano in November. It’s a bellwether-ish but generally Dem-leaning part of suburbia, and if it’s turning right, that could endanger state Sen. Andrea Stewart-Cousins (complicating Dem plans to expand the Senate majority) and possibly even NY-19 Rep. John Hall (who represents a further north, but more conservative, part of Westchester as part of his district). Assembly control, however, is hardly hanging in the balance: Dems now control the chamber 105-42-3.

120 thoughts on “SSP Daily Digest: 2/10”

  1. Still, the fact a colleague isn’t explicitly supporting the standard bearer of his party at the last election for re-election does say something.

  2. very excited about the gay marriage thing, although all three have been publicly in favor for a while now. Come 2011 there is still the problem of the legislature (the RI Dem establishment is very douchey), but having a pro-equality governor helps a lot. Though Lynch and Caprio are both insider candidates, I think the upside of that is that they would probably hold more sway among the establishment because they’re Democrats.

  3. Kanjorski is a disaster waiting to happen and needs to go. Doherty sounds like the perfect replacement.  

  4. If Doherty is really looking to bail on the Gov’s race, is there any chance he might drop down to challenge Kanjorski in the Dem primary?

    Corey O’Brien is already in the race, but I don’t have a sense of how he’s doing/ He’s raised just over $200,000 – respectable, but not knocking the socks off against an entrenched (and deeply flawed) incumbent.

    Has anyone heard much about how O’Brien’s challenge is going?

    There is no excuse for losing this seat to an a-hole like Lou Barletta. We need the strongest possible candidate to hold the seat – would Doherty be the right guy, or is O’Brien up to the job?  

  5. I wouldn’t worry too much about Westchester…it’s pretty liberal but always seems to elect a few republicans every now and then. Plus, New York is in pretty bad shape, the Tappan Zee Bridge is about to fall into the Hudson, Metro-North and the MTA (White Plains’ economic savior) are threatening cuts in service, and the state Democratic Party is a mess (see Paterson, David and Monserrat, Hiram). Just like Connecticut, Long Island, and Jersey, Republicans can win here locally and then usually lose soon after. Plus, who actually voted on the eve of a blizzard for something as lame as a special election for State Assembly? White Plains nightlife is too good to pass up…

    As for Coakley, we should have run her for governor. The buyers remorse in Massachusetts is going to be greater than the buyers remorse afforded Ned Lamont, the next governor of Connecticut.

  6. Right when I throw down a marker and say “You know what, I’m pretty sure he’ll run for CT-Gov” this comes out. I’m fully convinced that this former 11-term congressman has only changed his plans to contradict some guy on the Internet, that is, me.  

  7. Posting here who doesn’t view this as anything but a very a challenging cycle for all Democrats. Only you seem to see it all as akin to the end of the world. Please cut it out.

  8. Dems really lost 3 out of 3 Assembly elections yesterday. The 4th which David Weprin the Democrat won was a contest of 2 Dems running against each other (the Republicans sat out the race and gave their line to a Democrat).

    The Dem running on the GOP line was bascially running to stop the Weprin brothers from swapping seats (the vacancy occured when Mark Weprin took David Weprin’s City Council seat).

    Scary to think that if the GOP ran a real candidate they might have been able to compete for this seat too in a VERY Dem Queens district.

  9. All Tekzilla does here is to troll and be pessmistic like worrying about losing a couple of seats in a already supermajority chamber. Bet you 2 to 1 like always Tez won’t respond like what Tez always does when someone called him out in his BS.

  10. FEC forms don’t ask for residential addresses – you put your campaign address. I mean, the whole point of these disclosures is so that the FEC (and citizens) can contact the people putting out the reports. So of course you’d list your campaign HQ and not your home address.

    I mean, Kirsten Gillibrand doesn’t live in a P.O. Box, and she’s not trying to pull a fast one over on anyone, either.

  11. Because in a three way race Kanjorski wins by splitting the anti-incumbent vote. Happens most of the time.

  12. Although I’d wonder if Doherty could convince O’Brien to drop out (I doubt it). A 3 way primary would give Kanjorski a much better chance of winning, and wouldn’t be advisable.  

  13. I am most certainly not a troll.

    I am just disturbed by Netroots Democrats ignoring this cycle’s threat for the longest time.  People still have it in their head that the Economy will save us and we will only lose 5-10 house seats.  I wish that was true, but it is not.

    I don’t think being pessimistic is illegal.  And I’m as liberal as they come so its not like I gain something by doing it.

  14. we have nothing to worry about because the economy will save us.  I do see plenty who think we are screwed unless the economy saves us, however.

  15. Nonsense. Some people may still think that way but not many. And the economy may yet improve and save some seats. Frankly, I don’t get that sense at all from the netroots. Most are extremely pessimistic about the economy and what it means for November. Which is a self-fulfilling prophecy because if progressives ignore good news what hope is there that the wider electorate will catch on?

  16. You know EXACTLY that is not the complaint. Nobody here lives in la-la land, however, you CONSISTENTLY W/O FAIL do the chicken little dance like it’s in your DNA. Admit it, you are nervous nellie who sees the worst in just about anything. You are like my second-cousin Avi who practically masturbates just whining about everything ALL the #^$^% time..GOD!!!!

  17. Even though I just registered i’ve been coming here for awhile and one suggest your not a liberal or a mole from RedState. People question you and ignore you because your pessismistic about everything in Dem politics and I mean everything that’s why you rub people the wrong way. Pessmistic isn’t illegal but it’s annoying and can start trouble with members on any board/blog if they get sick and tired of it like what you do. Also maybe they wouldn’t ignore if you actually brought something to the table but you don’t. Any time a poll comes out seeing a Dems trail by 1-3 points you always freak out and think it’s the end of the world. That’s why you get discredit sometimes.

    Oh any BTW NO ONE AND I MEAN NO ONE has ever suggested that just lose 5-10 seats, no one. I am the most optimistic person here and I know were looking at a 30 seat loss in the House and that’s alright but you must of been halluanating when you think members here think were just going to lose a couple of seats. As for the ecomomy, if it improves it will cushon the blow a bit, it won’t help us completely but it will help.  

  18. I still see us losing 30-35 seats in the House and 5 in the Senate. It’s not totally bad Andrew.

  19. But I don’t that they should be that pessmistic about November because losing 30-35 seats in the House and 5 maybe 6 in the Senate isn’t that bad given the environment but you still make valid points.

  20. But is there any substance to it? Why do you think a “real” Republican might have been able to compete effectively (of course, simply running a candidate would literally be competing, but I don’t think that’s what you mean).

  21. Hi!  I’m a Hong Kong transplant who has been attuned to US Politics since the 2004 Presidential election.  While I’m an avid reader of this website, I regard it as a major resource for elective races at all levels, as I know this is a highly left-leaning space.  Ideologically, I’m a left-leaning independent who’s not registered with any major political party, vote Democratic for federal races but willing to vote for the right Republicans at local, state legislative, governor and statewide cabinet races; as long as that candidate does not hold socially polarizing views, not extremely pro-rich/pro-business in economics and sufficiently committed to good government.  In short words, I’m a good government voter.  

    Ocassionally, I can vote on a more conservative Republicans if his/her qualifications suits a particular post well (Disclaimer: I had vote for Republicans for County Commissioner, State Representative and Ag. Commissioner in Florida.  In particular, I find Charlie Bronson really qualified and that Florida is one of the few Southern States where state Democrats ressembles fairly closely to national Democrats, in part of the Northeastern transplants in SE Florida and in part due to that state’s high degree of urbanization.  As a result, most rural politicans with intimate knowledge on agricultural issues are now Republicans; since most Democrats who vote their party here are urban liberals).  By the same token, I’m open to voting for Adam Putnam for Ag. Commissioner in this year’s race.

    In term of CD’s, I used to live in FL-19 & part-time in FL-08; but had voted only in the former.  I now resides in MS-02.  Both districts are similarly uncompetitive, but for different reasons (FL-19 is heavily Jewish & MS-02 is majority-black).  My state House and Senate districts in Florida (HD-85 & SD-27), however, are swing districts; maybe with some Democratic tilt.  And my Palm Beach County Commission District has a Republican commissioner (Warren Newell) until very recently, when he switched to become a Dem, then indicted and imprisoned on public corrpution charges.  And the former state representative in HD-85 (Shelly Vana), is his current successor after unseating his appointed replacement (Bob Kanjian); whom I had voted for.  Meanwhile, my state Senator Dave Aaronbergis running for the state AG, leaving his seat open to a takeover bid by the GOP, as it also contains GOP-tilting Lee County (Fort Myers).

    Turning to my analysis on the the GOP legislative pickups in 2010, my take on alabama’s HD-40 is that it’s simply hostile territory for Dems (Anniston etc.)  Also, the supposedly well-funded Dem candidate is backed by the local teacher’s union, which is probably a bad fit with this conservative district.  It also seems that voters in conservative rural legislative districts throughout country seems to rever local buinesspeople as political candidates, as they are frequently part of the local civil fabric and people seems to appreciate their road to wealth and their community contributions.  Finally, legislative Dems in Alabama have been embroiled in scandals of sorts, which enables the GOP to protrait itself as the more ethical party after Democratic domination since Reconstruction.  The circumstances surrounding the former Democratic incumbent in HD-6 certainly helps the GOP to pickup the seat, while the Dem candidate for SD-7 formelly held by party-switching Rep. Parker Griffith is seen by many whites in the district as a black urban liberal.  Together with her own ethical baggages, contribute to the GOP pickuo of that district as well.  Interestingly, both districts are in the Huntsville area.

    As for the NY Assembly races in AD-03 and AD-89, it shows that in close races or swing districts, it does matter for a candidate to get/lose the endorsement of the minor party under NY’s fusion ballot.  Just look at the final AD-03 resultin Suffolk County:


    Republican 3,305  38.29%

    Conservative 886  10.26%

    School Tax Relief 205  2.37%

    Total 4,396  50.93%


    Democratic 3,513  40.70%

    Independence 487  5.64%

    Working Families 236  2.73%

    Total 4,236  49.07%

    Adapted from Suffolk County Board of Elections at

    If one looks into the major party lines only, Thoden should win by 208 votes or about 2.4%.  However, when one takes the Conservative Party vote share, Murray easily erases the Democrat’s lead.  Also, the Conservative vote for Murray alone exceeds the Independent & Working Family votes for Thoden by 163 votes.  On the flip side, the Independent line kept Thoden close.

    Now look into Westchester County’s AD-89:

    DEM PETER B HARCKHAM 5,329 42%  

    WOR PETER B HARCKHAM   310 2%  

    PETER B HARCKHAM  Totals 5,639  45%

    REP ROBERT J CASTELLI 5,244 42%  

    IND ROBERT J CASTELLI   804 6%  

    CON ROBERT J CASTELLI   918 7%  

    ROBERT J CASTELLI  Totals 6,966  55%

    Again, if looking for major party lines alone, Harckham the Dem would barely lead by 85 votes.  However, the Independent (IND) support of Castelli the GOP is as critical as the Conservative (CON) endorsement for him, as their combined contribution to his vote share way exceeds the Working Family (WOR) vote for Harkham.  If all the Independent votes went to Harckham, he would retain the seat for the Dems by 281 votes.  Also, the Conservative Party voters seems to be really energized in both cases; no doubt in part by the Tea Party protests (In fact, Murray in AD-03 is a self-professed Tea Party protester).

    In these suburban NYC races, the same popular revolt against high property taxes that led to the ouster of the Democratic county executives in Nassau and Weschester counties seem to be in play again, and Harckham in AD-89 is a county legislator.  He seem to suffer from guilt-by-association with the ousted County Exec. Andy Spano.  I also learn that he may have caused voter backlash for being obstructionist against the new GOP County Executive’s reform measures.

    Sorry for my lengthiness, but here are my few cents.

  22. Every Dem should have these tatooed on their forehead.

    I still maintain the most important figure is the monthly job loss/creation reports not the actual unemployment rate because of the distortion caused by people entering or leaving the market.  

  23. Would you say by my comments that i’m moving the goalposts? But yeah your right, people should pay more attention to the jobs created/lost reports than unemployment rates because the jobs created/lodt reports are more specific and aren’t as gray as umemployment rates.

  24. Not you. Just in general. Some of the online commentary is quite exasperating when I see clear signs of recovery in the data.

  25. progressive party reformer in the state legislature to run against Coakley. That’ll be the only way Coakley can be kept from any higher office ever again.  

  26. Though I highly doubt she has any desire to ever run for a promotion again, I imagine Martha Coakley will be kept away from any higher office by a furious Massachusetts Democratic Party. While we’re on the topic of buyer’s remorse though, I would expect that Mike Capuano will have first dibs on the 2012 Senate nomination.

  27. I thought you were talking about me for a sec. But your right because should do like what you do and read the specific of good signs that the economy is recovering rather than just looking at the enemployment number.

  28. Victor Rawl, a Charleston County Councilman and former Circuit Judge and State Rep, is pondering a run against DeMint. He has a facebook page.

    If he runs, it will probably be for naught, but at least is is from the best region possible, and has held elected office.  

  29. I’m as frustrated as anyone about the way she screwed up the Senate campaign (spent the last week on the ground in western MA – it was a horror show!).

    But she has been a fairly good AG, progressive on most issues, and there is no reason to throw her out. She is NEVER going to run for higher office again after this crash and burn effort – she’s smart enough to realise that.  

  30. I will give you or anyone here $500 to look through the SSP archives to see who said that all well lost is 5-10 seats. I’m dying to know where Tek got this nugget from.

  31. On the “Good AG” comment. Screw that. She was absolutely NOT a good AG. She was the worst kind of AG, whipping in the political wind, not challenging any of the bad governance going on for fear of alienating political allies, and feeding hysteria instead of looking dispassionately for justice. Her greatest hits, via Wikipedia…

    During the Aqua Teen Hunger Force bomb scare in January 2007, Coakley was widely quoted in the press defending the reaction of Boston’s emergency services.[8]

    Coakley has refused to investigate Thomas M. Menino, Mayor of Boston, and his office for allegedly violating laws in regards to destruction of public e-mail records. Coakley denies all accusations of misconduct.[20]

    She also declined to reprimand the state’s District Attorneys in relation to false statements they allegedly made regarding the effects of the Massachusetts Sensible Marijuana Policy Initiative in an attempt to defeat the ballot question, as well as allegations the District Attorneys misused state resources and failed to file as designated ballot committee in a timely manner while receiving contributions, as required by law.[21]

    She was on that committee of DAs, too, btw, and didn’t think it was a conflict of interest that she was the one deciding whom to investigate. Oh, and she sucked as a DA, too….

    In 2001, Coakley successfully lobbied Gov. Jane Swift to deny clemency to Gerald Amirault, a defendant in the Fells Acres Day Care Center preschool trial, whom many regarded as a victim of day care sex abuse hysteria. Prior to this, clemency for him had been recommended unanimously by the Massachusetts Parole Board,[4][5] and his co-accused mother and sister had already been released from custody.[6]

    Coakley’s actions as District Attorney in the sexual abuse case of a 23-month old girl in 2005 have drawn sharp criticism. Coakley, who oversaw the grand jury for the case, did not indict Keith Winfield, a Somerville police officer. Later, after a criminal complaint was filed by the parents of the victim, she requested that he be released without cash bail. The DA succeeding Coakley subsequently secured a conviction awarding two life sentences for the crime.

    She sucks at life. Period.

  32. To be fair I saw comments like this post-Election day and not more recently.

    I’ll try and cut back on the pessimism.

  33. I mean that. That’s all we ask that you cut down from the pessmism and calm down a bit on your comments. Glad to admit your fault.

  34. Isn’t that category reserved for Creigh Deeds?

    Seriously though after what she said about terrorism in Afghanistan, she deserved to lose.

  35. was surprised during the last two weeks of the campaign Scott Brown or his allies didn’t air an attack ad calling Martha Coakley soft on crime. Glenn Beck and Sean Hannity could hardly conceal the joy it brought them when they called Coakley an incompetent, soft on crime attorney general on Fox News. I suppose Scott Brown knew he had enough momentum to carry to victory so there was no need to bring out the soft on crime card. Coakley also sabotaged her own campaign in the final weeks.

  36. to a charismatic, well-funded, and popular statewide elected official.  Coakley lost to a no-name State Senator in Massachusetts.

    Deeds sucked, but to compare him with Coakley is ludicrous.  Deeds ran a poor campaign.  Coakley ran the worst campaign for anything in the past eight years.

  37. In her last television debate January 11, 2010 at the University of Massachusetts, when asked about the prospects of victory in Afghanistan, Coakley stated, “I think we have done what we are going to be able to do in Afghanistan. I think that we should plan an exit strategy. Yes. I’m not sure there is a way to succeed. If the goal was and the mission in Afghanistan was to go in because we believed that the Taliban was giving harbor to terrorists. We supported that. I supported that. They’re gone. They’re not there anymore. They’re in, apparently Yemen, they’re in Pakistan. Let’s focus our efforts on where Al Qaeda is.”

    The fact is there are terrorists in both Afghanistan and Pakistan that and the Red Sox gaffe and failing to file her finsncial disclosure forms made her look dumb and incompetent. I.E, the female Creigh Deeds.

  38. GOP took 2 overlapping Queens council districts in 2009. If they could elect a Pagan to office than they might be able to elect anyone!

  39. I believe as well Martha will be blackballed from running for any other office again. And yes in 24 months I see a Brown vs. Capuano race WITHOUT any Dem primary opposition unless Stephen Lynch wants to challenge him from the right.

  40. could still screw this up in 2012. If Capuano and Lynch get into a no holds bar primary fight that leaves them bloodied and with sky high disapprovals among independents and blue collars. This could turn into D’Amato’s reelection 1992 where Dems were poised to kick him out, but a very nasty primary fight allowed D’Amato to squeak by in November before finally being defeated by Schumer in 1998.

  41. But I doubt it. I think the party will do everything posible to prevent a primary at all. Plus Lynch coud run but there’s not absolute he’ll get the nom because he filed to run for the seat but withdrew because of lack of support. You coud very well see that again in ’12.

  42. That sounds like a lot of pandering to the base and trying to win progressive votes.

    Heck, I could come up with a better answer than that, and I don’t even watch the news much.

    “What are the prospets of victory in Afghanistan?”

    I think the prospects of victory are definitely there.  I believe we can win this, in terms of leaving Afghanistan with a stable government and civil society, but as for expert judgement as to whether we are headed in the right direction toward that goal, and how long it will take us to get there, I will defer to our commander-in-chief and his military advisors.  I will add, though, it’s plain to see that Bush neglected Afghanistan, and I think it’s a very good thing that we’re now putting our attention, time, and effort toward it today.

  43. On Afghanistan, it really is. If only Martha was smart enough to come up with that she could be in DC while Brown would still be in the superminority in Beacon Hill.

  44. I’ve seen proposals here to eliminate Lynch in the redistricting. If that happens then he’ll run for the Senate.

  45. Both are experts in the finsncial market. Yes Reich was Clinton’s labor secretary during his first term but knows alot about finance and the markets so the comparison makes sense.  

  46. The little fact that Jon Stewart does not want to make out with Robert Reich. And Elizabeth Warren has that thing where she’s like crazy smart and knows what’s up but can talk to “normies” without making it seem like pandering and/or talking down. Because it’s not, it’s patient explaining. Reich can do it to, and i agree with the comparison.

    If Warren ran, I’d imagine she could get progressives on board with her stick-it-to-the-banks plain-talkin’ and the financially conservative moderates who want someone who’s not a total hippie socialist. Hell, I’d give her money if she ran. Both of my dollars.

    Good God, Robert Reich, though, how great would HE be for Treasury Secretary instead of ole Fivehead? Reich would eat Jamie Dimon for breakfast.

  47. I just compare the two because thry both ran shitty campaigns thats all. Coakley had a better chance of winning than Deeds if she would of just kept her mouth shut. Now look what happened, she lost to a no name State Senator who’s claim to fame outside of that was posing nude for Cosmo and having a daughter being on American Idol.

    Oh by the way I love how he’s now trying to be a faux moderate without really taking true moderate stances. He was on one of the political shows and was asked about abortion and he says he’s pro-choice and supports a woman’s right to choose but it againist partial birth abortion, government funding for it and for parental concent. So basically he’s for abortion but is againist most ways women can get one. What an inept maroon. But hey you know the saying: “Elections have Consequences”. Well get our revenge in 24 months. Scott Brown won’t mind staying that short of a time because he served and made MA political history. You know there will be books on this.

  48. As for whatever I support Warren for Senate in MA in 2012, can’t say. I have heard her speak and everything you said about her is true and I was impressed with her but I do like Capuano if he ran and would likely support him over Elizabeth.

    I agree Reich would of made a excellent secretary (and MA Governor if he would of gotten the nom). I read his stuff on TPM and on the markets he’s smart as a whip but it seems like he didn’t want the job and was happy just advising Obama and blogging on TPM.  

  49. And excellent beer. So, Stephen Lynch then, as the most conservative member of the delegation, his district should be the Republican vote sink as much as possible.  

  50. Is that despite his Conservative positions, everyone really seems to like him on a personal level, both in the legislature, and in the rest of the delegation. He works incredibly hard and is basically what Scott Brown tried to portray himself as during the campaign(social-right leaning working-class populist).

    Neal, Olver, and Tsongas have much worse relations with the state’s political class and would all come in for pain in redistricting before he would.

  51. Since Delahunt lives in Quincy, his district basically can’t be meaningfully modified since it has to stretch from the cape to his house. Hence his district is pretty much required to be the Republican vote sink in order to avoid drawing him out. If it’s true that he has a home in Plymouth then that makes life much easier.

  52. That’s why I was for him over Coakley. He came off as Ted Kennedy’s true successor while Coakley came off as a inept milquetoast pollitican.

    Here’s Capuano’s ratings from Progressive You be the judge on whetever you like him or not.


  53. Capuano inspires the voters to get out and vote for him. Coakley was as exciting as a history teacher lecturing about something half the class doesn’t care about.

  54. When I see Capuano talk on the House floor. He talks with passion, fire and emotion. That mixed in with his strong progressive record and his blue collar roots will certainly motivate the base to GOTV and go to the polls for him. Coakley is the exact opposite. She’s a milquetoast Dem that has no blue collar roots, would seems like to vote like a moderate (something that isn’t necessary in MA) and comes off like a career politican that’s as exciting as watching a chess match. Your right on the money with your statement Stronghold.

  55. we could certainly end up gaining a seat or two in the Senate.  Not likely whatsoever but they’ve got some great shots and we’ve got some great shots.

    The House, well, anyone whoever thought we would gain seats had to be downright kidding themselves.  There are still plenty of seats left for us to win, except they all have pretty entrenched incumbents.

  56. even if economic situation improves dramatically. I would consider 3-seat loss in Senate quite an achievement and 2-seat loss – a miracle.. Corresponding in House; 20 seat loss – achievement, 15 – miracle)))

  57. This would have been a perfect place for Marco Rubio to land. Charlie Crist’s bad luck Rep. Lincoln Diaz-Balart didn’t announce this earlier. He could have made him a US Senator and Rubio could have ran for his congressional seat in a Special Election.

    Looks like this just isnt Charlie’s year.

  58. Olver would be pretty easy to eliminate. His district is the slowest-growing one in the state and he’s getting up there in age, so while combining his district with part of Neal’s might leave Olver with an advantage of having more of his turf in there, Olver might choose to retire rather than have to wage a real campaign for the first time since the dinosaurs went extinct.

  59. Hint 2: We had a nice riverview.  Much nicer than the one I’m currently at.  I can’t see the river here; all I can see is the park and Harlem.

  60. I went to school in Cambridge, actually.  Now the “not little red brick schoolhouse” bit might be more relevant.

  61. I don’t know why but I did. Oh well took a shot in the dark and the shot mised.

    To answer the other poster, I did not know Holyoke was a girls school. I just know it’s a college in MA. There’s so many good universities in MA that it’s hard to keep up.

  62. I never said I was a guy either.  Though guys pretending to be girls seems to be more common on the internet than girls pretending to be guys.  (And girls with gender-neutral names are more common than either of those.)

  63. Man that never crossed my mind. Come to think of it I never thought of it. I’ll remember that when i’m replying to a comment/diary you write in the future

  64. I’m actually a guy.

    Man, I feel like a woman! I like messing with people’s heads online over completely unimportant topics.

  65. but I will comment that it is true that MIT students do sometimes refer to Harvard as the little red brick schoolhouse up the creek.

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