CA-Pres: Obama vs. Kerry

Obama beat McCain 61%-37% in California, performing 7% better than Kerry in his 54%-44% win over Bush. Here are the county-by-county percentages for Kerry and Obama and the difference between those percentages. Counties that flipped from Bush to Obama are bolded.

County Kerry Obama Diff County Kerry Obama Diff County Kerry Obama Diff County Kerry Obama Diff
Alameda
75.2%
78.8%
3.6%
Kings
33.8%
42.1%
8.3%
Placer
36.3%
43.4%
7.1%
Shasta
31.4%
36.0%
4.6%
Alpine
53.3%
61.0%
7.7%
Lake
53.2%
58.2%
5.0%
Plumas
36.9%
42.8%
5.9%
Sierra
33.2%
37.4%
4.2%
Amador
36.6%
41.6%
5.0%
Lassen
27.6%
31.5%
3.9%
Riverside
41.1%
50.3%
9.2%
Siskiyou
37.8%
43.3%
5.5%
Butte
44.2%
49.9%
5.7%
Los Angeles
63.2%
69.2%
6.0%
Sacramento
49.6%
58.5%
8.9%
Solano
57.2%
63.5%
6.3%
Calaveras
37.1%
42.2%
5.1%
Madera
34.8%
42.4%
7.6%
San Benito
52.7%
60.5%
7.8%
Sonoma
67.2%
73.7%
6.5%
Colusa
31.6%
40.0%
8.4%
Marin
73.3%
78.0%
4.7%
San Bernardino
43.6%
52.1%
8.5%
Stanislaus
40.4%
49.9%
9.5%
Contra Costa
62.3%
68.0%
5.7%
Mariposa
37.6%
42.5%
4.9%
San Diego
46.4%
54.2%
7.8%
Sutter
31.9%
40.8%
8.9%
Del Norte
41.4%
45.4%
4.0%
Mendocino
63.5%
69.6%
6.1%
San Francisco
83.1%
84.2%
1.1%
Tehama
32.1%
36.7%
4.6%
El Dorado
37.4%
43.7%
6.3%
Merced
42.3%
53.4%
11.1%
San Joaquin
45.9%
54.5%
8.6%
Trinity
42.8%
50.8%
8.0%
Fresno
41.7%
50.3%
8.6%
Modoc
25.8%
29.8%
4.0%
San Luis Obispo
45.6%
51.4%
5.8%
Tulare
32.9%
41.5%
8.6%
Glenn
31.7%
37.8%
6.1%
Mono
49.3%
55.6%
6.3%
San Mateo
69.5%
73.5%
4.0%
Tuolumne
38.6%
42.5%
3.9%
Humboldt
57.7%
62.3%
4.6%
Monterey
60.4%
68.2%
7.8%
Santa Barbara
53.2%
60.4%
7.2%
Ventura
47.6%
55.3%
7.7%
Imperial
52.5%
62.3%
9.8%
Napa
59.5%
65.2%
5.7%
Santa Clara
64.0%
69.5%
5.5%
Yolo
59.4%
67.1%
7.7%
Inyo
38.9%
43.9%
5.0%
Nevada
45.0%
51.5%
6.5%
Santa Cruz
73.0%
77.5%
4.5%
Yuba
31.6%
41.5%
9.9%
Kern
32.6%
40.2%
7.6%
Orange
39.0%
47.7%
8.7%

As you can see, a lot of the counties that showed the most improvement from 2004, including a lot of those that flipped, are in the areas of the state that experienced the fastest growth this decade. This is good news for us heading into the 2010 elections, because a lot of congressional and state legislative seats in these areas are ripe for the picking. This is also good news for redistricting, as the rapid growth of Democratic numbers gives the Democrats more room overall and allows for further gains by them.

You can also see that the counties in the multi-county Democratic stronghold of the Bay Area showed smaller Democratic growth numbers. This does not exactly mean that the region is trending Republican; rather, it has just pretty much maxed out its Democratic numbers. So just relying on our old strongholds in the Bay Area and L.A. County only takes us so far, and I am pleased to see the improvements in the fast-growing counties, which allow us to expand our playing field greatly.

Check below the flip for the juicy details on the numbers by districts.

The districts are colored by the party of their current occupants. Republican-held districts that voted for Obama are bolded.

Congressional District

District Kerry Obama Diff District Kerry Obama Diff District Kerry Obama Diff District Kerry Obama Diff
CA-01
59.7%
65.6%
5.9%
CA-15
62.9%
68.4%
5.5%
CA-28
71.0%
76.2%
5.2%
CA-41
36.9%
43.7%
6.8%
CA-02
36.6%
42.7%
6.1%
CA-16
63.4%
69.6%
6.2%
CA-29
61.2%
67.6%
6.4%
CA-42
36.9%
44.9%
8.1%
CA-03
40.8%
49.2%
8.4%
CA-17
65.6%
72.1%
6.5%
CA-30
66.1%
70.4%
4.3%
CA-43
58.1%
68.0%
9.9%
CA-04
37.4%
43.9%
6.5%
CA-18
49.3%
59.2%
9.9%
CA-31
76.9%
79.9%
3.0%
CA-44
39.9%
49.5%
9.6%
CA-05
61.1%
69.5%
8.4%
CA-19
37.9%
46.0%
8.1%
CA-32
62.3%
68.2%
5.9%
CA-45
43.1%
51.5%
8.4%
CA-06
70.3%
76.0%
5.7%
CA-20
50.6%
59.6%
9.0%
CA-33
82.8%
86.8%
4.0%
CA-46
41.6%
47.9%
6.3%
CA-07
67.1%
71.7%
4.6%
CA-21
33.7%
42.1%
8.4%
CA-34
68.8%
74.7%
5.9%
CA-47
48.6%
60.1%
11.5%
CA-08
84.2%
85.4%
1.2%
CA-22
31.0%
38.3%
7.3%
CA-35
79.0%
84.4%
5.4%
CA-48
40.4%
49.3%
8.9%
CA-09
85.9%
88.1%
2.2%
CA-23
58.3%
65.5%
7.2%
CA-36
59.0%
64.4%
5.4%
CA-49
36.5%
45.1%
8.6%
CA-10
58.5%
64.9%
6.4%
CA-24
43.1%
50.5%
7.4%
CA-37
73.5%
79.6%
6.1%
CA-50
43.9%
51.3%
7.4%
CA-11
45.3%
53.8%
8.5%
CA-25
39.9%
49.4%
9.5%
CA-38
65.3%
71.3%
6.0%
CA-51
53.4%
63.1%
9.7%
CA-12
71.5%
74.3%
2.8%
CA-26
43.7%
51.0%
7.3%
CA-39
58.5%
65.5%
7.0%
CA-52
37.7%
45.0%
7.3%
CA-13
70.9%
74.4%
3.5%
CA-27
59.3%
66.1%
6.8%
CA-40
38.4%
46.6%
8.2%
CA-53
61.2%
68.2%
7.0%
CA-14
68.3%
73.0%
4.7%

Board of Equalization

District Kerry Obama Diff
BOE-1
67.2%
72.1%
4.9%
BOE-2
42.7%
50.9%
8.2%
BOE-3
42.4%
50.6%
8.2%
BOE-4
65.6%
71.5%
5.9%

State Senate

County Kerry Obama Diff County Kerry Obama Diff County Kerry Obama Diff County Kerry Obama Diff
SD-01
38.6%
45.8%
7.2%
SD-11
68.3%
73.3%
5.0%
SD-21
63.2%
69.2%
6.0%
SD-31
41.6%
49.7%
8.1%
SD-02
63.3%
68.7%
5.4%
SD-12
47.7%
57.9%
10.2%
SD-22
74.1%
78.3%
4.2%
SD-32
58.9%
68.4%
9.5%
SD-03
77.8%
81.6%
3.8%
SD-13
67.4%
72.2%
4.8%
SD-23
65.0%
70.0%
5.0%
SD-33
36.3%
45.2%
8.9%
SD-04
36.9%
43.0%
6.1%
SD-14
34.8%
42.5%
7.7%
SD-24
64.4%
69.6%
5.2%
SD-34
46.6%
57.3%
10.7%
SD-05
53.7%
62.3%
8.6%
SD-15
52.5%
59.1%
6.6%
SD-25
72.3%
78.7%
6.4%
SD-35
40.3%
47.9%
7.6%
SD-06
55.6%
64.3%
8.7%
SD-16
49.5%
58.9%
9.4%
SD-26
81.6%
85.8%
4.2%
SD-36
34.5%
42.1%
7.6%
SD-07
60.9%
66.7%
5.8%
SD-17
39.9%
48.7%
8.8%
SD-27
59.5%
66.1%
6.6%
SD-37
41.2%
50.3%
9.1%
SD-08
73.9%
75.8%
1.9%
SD-18
30.2%
37.5%
7.3%
SD-28
61.6%
67.2%
5.6%
SD-38
40.3%
48.3%
8.0%
SD-09
81.1%
84.0%
2.9%
SD-19
48.4%
55.6%
7.2%
SD-29
41.8%
48.9%
7.1%
SD-39
57.6%
64.8%
7.2%
SD-10
67.3%
71.4%
4.1%
SD-20
65.4%
72.5%
7.1%
SD-30
62.3%
68.7%
6.4%
SD-40
52.9%
62.1%
9.2%

State Assembly

County Kerry Obama Diff County Kerry Obama Diff County Kerry Obama Diff County Kerry Obama Diff
AD-01
60.1%
65.5%
5.4%
AD-21
66.6%
72.0%
5.4%
AD-41
62.3%
67.8%
5.5%
AD-61
54.4%
63.2%
8.8%
AD-02
32.3%
38.0%
5.7%
AD-22
67.3%
72.1%
4.8%
AD-42
72.0%
75.5%
3.5%
AD-62
61.8%
71.3%
9.5%
AD-03
41.8%
48.0%
6.2%
AD-23
66.2%
71.5%
5.3%
AD-43
63.9%
70.3%
6.4%
AD-63
42.6%
51.1%
8.5%
AD-04
38.1%
45.2%
7.1%
AD-24
62.1%
68.0%
5.9%
AD-44
60.8%
67.2%
6.4%
AD-64
41.2%
50.0%
8.8%
AD-05
42.3%
51.1%
8.8%
AD-25
38.0%
44.9%
6.9%
AD-45
78.5%
80.6%
2.1%
AD-65
39.0%
47.0%
8.0%
AD-06
71.0%
76.2%
5.2%
AD-26
41.8%
50.7%
8.9%
AD-46
80.6%
83.9%
3.3%
AD-66
34.4%
43.7%
9.3%
AD-07
65.1%
70.7%
5.6%
AD-27
66.7%
71.8%
5.1%
AD-47
80.7%
85.3%
4.6%
AD-67
39.6%
46.1%
6.5%
AD-08
55.6%
63.3%
7.7%
AD-28
59.8%
68.3%
8.5%
AD-48
86.0%
89.1%
3.1%
AD-68
38.4%
47.4%
9.0%
AD-09
66.0%
73.4%
7.4%
AD-29
36.3%
44.4%
8.1%
AD-49
61.2%
65.3%
4.1%
AD-69
52.7%
64.4%
11.7%
AD-10
42.5%
51.1%
8.6%
AD-30
42.2%
51.1%
8.9%
AD-50
70.6%
76.9%
6.3%
AD-70
42.0%
50.9%
8.9%
AD-11
64.3%
69.7%
5.4%
AD-31
52.8%
62.2%
9.4%
AD-51
75.5%
81.4%
5.9%
AD-71
34.4%
44.6%
10.2%
AD-12
79.1%
79.0%
-0.1%
AD-32
28.7%
35.8%
7.1%
AD-52
86.1%
90.8%
4.7%
AD-72
38.3%
47.3%
9.0%
AD-13
85.6%
87.5%
1.9%
AD-33
43.1%
49.5%
6.4%
AD-53
56.9%
62.4%
5.5%
AD-73
38.5%
46.5%
8.0%
AD-14
80.6%
83.8%
3.2%
AD-34
32.6%
40.6%
8.0%
AD-54
56.6%
61.9%
5.3%
AD-74
42.4%
50.2%
7.8%
AD-15
49.6%
57.6%
8.0%
AD-35
59.7%
66.9%
7.2%
AD-55
63.0%
69.4%
6.4%
AD-75
43.2%
51.3%
8.1%
AD-16
85.6%
87.9%
2.3%
AD-36
38.4%
49.3%
10.9%
AD-56
55.1%
62.1%
7.0%
AD-76
59.6%
66.2%
6.6%
AD-17
49.7%
59.5%
9.8%
AD-37
43.8%
51.0%
7.2%
AD-57
58.8%
66.2%
7.4%
AD-77
35.8%
42.7%
6.9%
AD-18
69.7%
73.8%
4.1%
AD-38
43.6%
51.4%
7.8%
AD-58
60.8%
66.4%
5.6%
AD-78
51.2%
60.2%
9.0%
AD-19
69.3%
72.9%
3.6%
AD-39
69.9%
76.4%
6.5%
AD-59
39.6%
46.6%
7.0%
AD-79
56.0%
65.0%
9.0%
AD-20
65.9%
70.3%
4.4%
AD-40
60.3%
66.9%
6.6%
AD-60
38.4%
45.8%
7.4%
AD-80
51.6%
59.6%
8.0%

3 thoughts on “CA-Pres: Obama vs. Kerry”

  1. Just one question.  What the heck is the “Board of Equalization” and why does it have 4 members?  Since it’s composition is 2 Dems/2 Reps what happens in tie votes?

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