SSP Daily Digest: 7/22

FL-Sen: Looks like Charlie Crist has decided that, despite mediocre polling and worse fundraising from Marco Rubio, he’s facing a bigger threat in the primary than he is in the general. Crist came out in opposition to the confirmation of Sonia Sotomayor yesterday, trying to shore up what remains of his conservative bona fides.

IL-Sen/Gov: Here’s an explanation for why Chris Kennedy has been dawdling on declaring for the Illinois Senate primary: he’s considering whether or not to jump over to the Governor’s race instead. This seems very odd… not that he’d have a good chance in either race, but it seems like he’d have a better shot in a primary in an open seat race against Alexi Giannoulias, who has some vulnerabilities, than against Pat Quinn, who’s fairly popular and has the benefits of incumbency. Apparently Giannoulias’s fundraising scared him off.

MO-Sen: Here’s an interesting tidbit out of Missouri, suggesting that former Treasurer Sarah Steelman is getting less and less likely to run in the GOP primary. Jeff Roe, who ran Steelman’s 2008 campaign, has started working for Rep. Roy Blunt. Blunt still faces a primary challenge from state Sen. Chuck Purgason, though, but he doesn’t pose the same level of threat that Steelman would.

NH-Sen: This is a big surprise, as he’s been pouring a lot of money into advertising (for his STEWARD organization, though, not as a candidate) and starting to build a staff. Anti-tax businessman Fred Tausch announced today that he won’t be running in the GOP Senate primary after all (or for anything, including the House). Considering that he was lobbing bombs at AG Kelly Ayotte just a few days ago, this is a sudden change of heart. Former Board of Education member and 1996 gubernatorial candidate Ovide Lamontagne may still provide a challenge from the right, though.

NY-Sen-B: Last night was the vaunted Bill Clinton/Carolyn Maloney fundraiser, which pulled in about $300K for Maloney’s House account. Meanwhile, the Albany Project has an interesting catch in this race. It turns out that there was one question from the internal poll in May that gave Maloney a 34-32 lead over Kirsten Gillibrand that didn’t get released to the public, and only came out in that City Hall News profile from a few days ago: “Asked whom they would vote for if they knew Gillibrand had the support of Schumer and Obama, people chose Gillibrand over Maloney 50-24.”

IA-Gov: A fifth candidate officially got into the GOP field in the Iowa governor’s race yesterday: little-known state Rep. and pastor Rod Roberts, who represents a rural part of western Iowa. Roberts polled a whopping 1% in a poll last week by the Iowa Republican blog of the GOP primary field; the poll found Bob Vander Plaats leading the field with 46%, trailed by Chris Rants at 16%, and Paul McKinley and Christian Fong each at 3%. Incumbent Democratic Gov. Chet Culver defeats Vander Plaats 48-39 and Rants 46-36.

NV-02: Ooops, back to square one in the 2nd. Douglas County school board president Cindy Trigg, who said she’d run against Rep. Dean Heller in 2010, has backed out, saying she needs to focus on the school board for now instead.

NY-23: The NRCC has gone on the air in the 23rd, launching pre-emptive TV attacks on state Sen. Darrel Aubertine before he’s even a declared candidate for the special election, for voting for new taxes in the state Senate. Meanwhile, word has leaked (perhaps from GOP rival Matt Doheny’s camp) that moderate Republican Assemblywoman Dede Scozzafava was in fact under consideration for the Democratic nomination, but that they were scared off by unpaid tax problems associated with her brother’s business (for which she’s listed as the COO).

VA-11: Home inspection company owner Keith Fimian has decided on a rematch with Rep. Gerry Connolly in the now-blue 11th. Fimian, who can self-fund, lost the 2008 open seat race to Connolly, 55-43.

NY-LG: A New York judge put the kibosh on David Paterson’s appointment of Richard Ravitch as Lieutenant Governor, issuing a temporary injunction to stop it, saying the state constitution does not appear to permit appointment to fill a vacancy in that position. Still, even if the appointment never goes through, it looks like it may have succeeded for Paterson, in terms of forcing Pedro Espada’s hand and breaking the state Senate deadlock.

OH-AG: As was previously leaked, former Senator Mike DeWine announced today that he’ll run for state Attorney General. He’ll face off against Democratic incumbent Richard Cordray.

Fonts: Ever wondered about the font that defined the Obama campaign in 2008? Here’s a profile of that “uniquely American” sans-serif typeface, Gotham.

46 thoughts on “SSP Daily Digest: 7/22”

  1. but watching to all these blue dogs from like R+5 and R+10 districts obstruct health care reform reminds me of how awesome Chet Edwards is.

  2. Y’know, I kinda wanted her to switch parties and run for Congress on the Dem ticket. Good cross over appeal in a decently liberal package.

    Doesn’t the GOP have to announce their candidate today?

  3. I am sick of Maloney’s shenanigans. If this is illegal, she should get some sort of a punishment – at least a public rebuke. Something financial would be even better.

  4. The Newark Star Ledger is reporting on nj.com that Chris Christie has extended his lead over John Corzine to 15 points at 53-38.  The site’s story reports no internals from the Strategic Vision poll but going to the Strategic Vision website, the previous poll  in June was 51-39.  

    Only 24 percent think the state is on the right track vs. 62 percent who think it is on the wrong track. The “issue” seems to be the state’s economy rather than the sleaze and the lack of anything but soundbites from the alleged “white knight”, Christie.  In my opinion, Christie makes Robert Toricelli look like Mr. Clean.

    The poll is instantly being portrayed as “Obama’s visit did not help.”  That seems like an over reaction, to me. Hey, Gov, all that money you threw at businesses to “create jobs” ($15 billion IIRC) was not a political help.  

    Threatening the property tax rebates, otoh, was deadly. Why do you keep doing this?  The $1,000 per year is very meaningful in these tight times.  Maybe not to the Wall Streeters but most people in this state don’t like to see this threatened.  The response is two fold.  Thank God for Codey (the legislature always forces Corzine’s hand)and Corzine is not to be trusted.  

    Businesses are not here for the tax breaks.  They are here for the customers, Jon.  Very few can easily re-locate.  NJ and CT have been neck-and-neck in recent years for the nation’s highest median income.  I’m not driving 30 miles to NY or 60 miles to PA to buy groceries.  Or most other things.

  5. of severely overestimating GOP chances in New Jersey by about 5-8% or so.  Keeping that in mind, Corzine’s still behind, but it’s not hopeless.

  6. I keep meaning to pull these together for a diary here, but I’ve been busy with other projects for the last week or so. Here are some pieces I wrote for Bleeding Heartland on:

    Rod Roberts entering the race

    Bob Vander Plaats as the GOP front-runner (please, make it so!)

    Christian Fong dusting off Barack Obama’s playbook

    Fong’s illogical but possibly politically advantageous stance on gay marriage

    A Republican poll’s findings on Chet Culver’s approval, favorability and re-elect numbers

    A poll commissioned by The Iowa Republican blog tried to create a sensation by polling Culver against former four-term Republican Governor Terry Branstad (Branstad led the matchup 53-37). I am skeptical for reasons I discussed here and here.

  7. That is odd. Why take on a popular incumbent when there’s an open seat available? While I’m not sure how well off he is, I have a hard time believing Chris Kennedy would be strapped for cash.

    I’m thinking he’ll dither for a while and then not run for anything. He’s done this before, apparently. When Jon Porter retired in IL-10, Kennedy thought about running and then decided not to. When Blago ran for governor, Kennedy thought about running for IL-5 but decided not to run.

  8. I have this crazy idea. Maybe if Chris Kennedy wants to get into politics he should start at the bottom like everyone else. Maybe he could run for city council, or something.

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