Predictions Thread

Polls close in less than an hour in select locations, so let’s hear some predictions! Can Bill McCollum beat free-spending Rick Scott by virtue of being less unlikeable in the Florida governor’s race? Can Jeff Greene sail his vomit-covered yacht through the rapidly closing window in the Florida Senate race? Can J.D. Hayworth help you get free government grant money?

Closing times tonight:

Florida: 7 pm ET (except: 7 pm CT/8 pm ET in the Panhandle)

Vermont: 7 pm ET

Oklahoma: 7 pm CT/8 pm ET

Arizona: 7 pm MST/10 pm ET

Alaska: 8 pm local/midnight ET (except: 8 pm local/1 am ET in the Aleutians)

33 thoughts on “Predictions Thread”

  1. FL-Gov: McCollum 53%, Scott 47%

    FL-Sen: Meek 58%, Greene 32%, Other 10%

    FL-2: Boyd 63%, Lawson 37%

    FL-8: Webster wins by at least 5%.

    FL-24: Miller wins.

    AZ-Sen: McCain 72%, Hayworth 28%.

    AZ-3: Vernon Parker wins.

    AZ-5: Schweikert wins.

    AZ-8: Kelly wins

    VT-Gov: Markowitz wins.

  2. However, these predictions are for only races I care about:

    FL-GOP-Gubby: I wish a different result but Scott peaked too early and got exposed for the crook he is, so:

    McCollum- 55%

    Scott – 45%

    FL-Dem-Senny: Ditto GOP-Gubby but Greene is an even slimer slime ball than Scott and worse, he ran a shitty campaign anyway even though he could have buried Meek since the latter was completely unknown.

    Meek – 60%

    Greene – 40%

    AZ-GOP-Senny: Hayworth, someone even more distasteful than Scott and Greene combined, except he is a huckstering loudmouth bitchass, will go down in flames as McCain completely annihilates him with militant force, you kind feel sorry for the Hayworth da Slim-Fast Huckster (not).

    McCain: 65%

    Hayworth: 35%

    Other AZ races: Quayle comes third, and I can’t remeber who else is running in the rest of the races.

    Oh, last one:

    AL-GOP-Senny: Palm face Palin has less influence in Alaska than even she or the media realizes. Murkowski bitchslapps Miller back to the Ice Age.

    Murkowski-70%

    Miller-30%  

  3. i’m saying this disclaimer once: I had a dubie internship, that ended because school is starting.

    VT-GOV

    Shumlin 32%

    FL-Gov

    MC 52%

    Meek 55%

    AZ mccain 58%

    AK Murkowski 67%

  4. I should not even try but I will anyway. I am going to say McCain wins by a somewhat close margin of 57-43. I am going to say Glassman loses to what’s his name? I am going to say that Murkowski wins by a margin of 52-48. Against wisdom but be bold or go home. Florida, Greene pulls an upset and wins by a couple of points. McCollum survives by a small 51-49 margin. I think the LG loses the AG race if that makes since and I think Boyd wins by a 60-40 margin. I am also going to say Quayle loses, I know little about the race so I am just making the ever bold prediction that he goes down. I am not about to shed a tear for the privileged sob either. To Vermont, I will say the SoS but I am just guessing.  

  5. Is like being the most smartest model.

    I suck at predictions when I know little about the state(s) involved. But what the hell:

    FL-Gov:

    The RentBoy AG: 55%

    Evil Rich Dude: 45%

    FL-Sen:

    Meek: 48%

    Greene: 38%

    Ferre: 7%

    Others: 7%

    AK-Sen:

    Murkowski: 64%

    Miller: 36%

    AZ-Sen:

    Walnuts! – 62%

    Just Plain Nuts – 38%

    FL-Dem Primary

    Boyd: 60%

    Lawson: 40%

    I’m kinda meh on all the other races, so I’ll just leave it there.

  6. but I have company coming over soon so I won’t be checking in till fairly late. Hopefully there will still be some action then.

    I don’t really feel well informed enough to make predictions so I will just say that tonight will be great news for John McCain. Also because it would result in great lulz I will predict a Susan Bitter Smith victory in AZ-05 (R), even though that’s impossible because of the pure amount of win it would be made out of.

  7. Alaska: Parnell, Berkowitz, Murkowski, McAdams

    Arizona: McCain, Glassman, Gosar, Moak, Ward, Paton

    Florida: McCollum, Meek, Boyd/Southerland, O’Donoghue, Moise, Miller

    Oklahoma: Thompson, Lankford

    Vermont: Markowitz

  8. jaw strength.

    Take a look at that dude sometime, especially from the impeachment era. He looks like he could just, like, bite the cover off a baseball.  

  9. Not predicting without an incentive.

    Never do anything you’re good at for free. Good thing I’m a lousy lay.

  10. … for results in Florida. IIRC they don’t release any results until all the polls in the State have closed.

  11. Rubio, Meek in Florida

    McCain in Arizona (Seeing Hayworth would call for celebratory gunfire if I lived in some distant land)

    Murkowski will lay the smack down and show Wasilla’s Village Idiot whose boss.

  12. From the Primary preview thread:

    PRedictions

    With all the super crowded house primaries, I will not do all house races.

    AZ-Sen:

    McCain: 64

    Hayworth: 30

    Deakin: 6

    AZ-03

    Moak

    Parker

    Crump

    Gorman

    Quayle

    the rest

    I guess the winner wins with around 20%, or less.

    AZ-08

    Kelly: 54

    Paton: 45

    Fl-Gov:

    Scott: 51

    McCollum: 49

    Scott with late momentum, also hoping to put the GOPVoter curse on him.

    Fl-Sen

    Meek: 54

    Greene: 37

    Ferre: 6

    other: 3

    Fl-02

    Boyd: 60

    Lawson: 40

    Hoping the GOPVoter curse strikes twice in FL!

    Fl-05

    I think Nugent faces some backlash for being the handpicked candidate.

    Nugent: 55

    Sager: 45

    Probably wrong.  

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