SurveyUSA for KING-TV (9/12-14, likely voters 8/21-22 in parentheses)
Denny Heck (D): 43 (41)
Jaime Herrera (R): 52 (54)
Undecided: 4 (5)
(MoE: ±4.3%)
SurveyUSA takes its second look at the open seat race in WA-03 to replace retiring Dem Brian Baird, and they find that Denny Heck has narrowed the gap slightly, though Herrera’s already over 50%. This could be via better name rec for Heck via continued presence on the airwaves, or just float within the narrow band established by their last poll (and the cumulative Dem/GOP results (54 GOP-42 Dem) of the Top 2 primary).
This being SurveyUSA (and this being Washington, where their age skew always seems especially pronounced), you’re probably wondering how those young people feel about this race. Well, it seems like they’re really eager to take Herrera out for a malted and then to the sock hop, because she leads Heck 56-38 among the 18-34 crowd. Oldsters want Herrera to turn down that racket, though: Heck actually leads 48-46 among the 65+ crowd.
Young voters favoring the Republican might be more plausible here given that Herrera is 31 and Heck 58. The margin looks screwy, though.
like we do with the Rasmussen polls that almost no one in this community takes seriously?
Because in this particular environment, I don’t think SUSA is producing polls that are worthy of serious consideration.
I can’t find the link, but evidently Rothenberg has seen internal polling from both the Perriello and Hurt campaigns that all show a low-single-digit lead for Hurt. Meanwhile SUSA is showing a 26-point lead for Hurt. They’re on some other planet. (A planet that has no Democrats under age 35!) Why do their polls get their own posts anymore?
That is all. Especially in Washington & Minnesota. SUSA hasn’t had one good poll in either state the last two election cycles.
It’s been all the CfG 3rd party and Heck ads. I gather Herrera had some bio spot up, but haven’t seen it.
She pronounces her name “Jamie” but it is spelled “Jaime” which is a man’s name pronounced like Hymie. Interesting…