NM-Gov, NM-01, NM-02: Martinez, Heinrich, Pearce Lead

Research & Polling Inc. for the Albuquerque Journal (9/27-29, likely voters, 8/23-27 in parentheses):

Diane Denish (D): 42 (39)

Susana Martinez (R): 49 (45)

Undecided: 9 (16)

(MoE: ±3%)

House numbers:

Martin Heinrich (D-inc): 48 (47)

Jon Barela (R): 41 (41)

Undecided: 11 (12)

Harry Teague (D-inc): 45 (45)

Steve Pearce (R): 46 (42)

Undecided: 9 (13)

(MoE: ±5%)

Here’s another state where things are staying pretty consistent over the last month. Over the course of September, Susana Martinez’s lead over Diane Denish has remained at 7, as they’ve both made gains from undecided, but Martinez is getting dangerously close to 50. (The basic story of this election is: what sounds better on your resume, “district attorney” or “Bill Richardson’s #2?”)

Likewise, things barely budged in the 1st, where Martin Heinrich added one point to his already decent-but-not-decisive lead. (It’s looking more and more like that SurveyUSA poll that gave a lead to Jon Barela a few months ago was quite the outlier.) The needle moved only a little more in the 2nd, where the polls have shown a true tossup… but the movement was enough to drop Dem incumbent Harry Teague from a surprising 3-point lead to a 1-point deficit (exactly where he was in a PPP poll a few weeks ago, too).