So, our friends over at RRH think they’ve found a flaw in the way PPP are conducting their polls. Too many liberals and not enough independents they say. The assumption is they are somehow skewing their results in favor of Democratic candidates. Since November we haven’t really seen much polling from firms other than PPP. But there have been some, particularly with regard to Senate races. I thought it might be worth bringing them all together here to compare and contrast.
Florida – Incumbent Bill Nelson (D)
In December PPP found Nelson leading Connie Mack by 8, Mike Haridopolos by 12, Adam Hasner by 16 and George
LeMieux by 11.
In February Mason-Dixon found Nelson up by 5 on Mack, by 21 on Haridopolos, by 22 on Hasner and 14 on LeMieux.
The latest PPP numbers find Nelson leading Mack by 13, Haridopolos by 16, Hasner by 16 and LeMieux by 15.
Michigan – Incumbent Debbie Stabenow (D)
In December PPP found Stabenow up by 1 point on Pete Hoekstra.
In February EPIC-MRA found Stabenow up by 2 points on Hoekstra.
The latest PPP numbers have Stabenow up 12 points on Hoekstra.
Montana – Incumbent Jon Tester (D)
In November PPP found Tester trailing Denny Rehberg by 2 points.
In January Opinion Diagnostics found Rehberg leading by 6 points.
In March Mason-Dixon found Tester leading Rehberg by 1 point.
Nebraska – Incumbent Ben Nelson (D)
In December Magallan found Nelson trailing Jon Bruning by 14 points and Don Stenberg by 6 points.
In January PPP found Nelson trailing Bruning by 11 points and Stenberg by 4 points.
New Jersey – Incumbent Bob Menendez (D)
In January Fairleigh Dickinson University found Menendez leading Tom Kean, Jr. by 10 points and Kim Guadagno by 21 points.
In January PPP found Menendez leading Kean by 2 points and Guadagno by 15 points.
Pennsylvania – Incumbent Bob Casey, Jr. (D)
In January PPP found Casey leading Rick Santorum by 7 points, Jim Gerlach by 16 points and Charlie Dent by 20 points.
In February Municipoll found Casey leading Santorum by 12 points, Gerlach by 14 points and Dent by 19 points.
Massachusetts – Incumbent Scott Brown (R)
In December PPP found Brown leading Mike Capuano by 16 points.
In March Western New England College found Brown leading Capuano by 13 points.