12:05am: Move along, move along, like I know you do.
12:05am: Prosser is now up by about 2,200 votes. With most of the precincts in Dem-leaning territory…but these precincts have to be substantive, and not empty, as we’ve seen plenty tonight.
12:01am: Eau Claire County may not give us as much of a boost as expected – most of the city of Eau Claire is reporting, with 11 of the 21 outstanding being from the city.
11:56pm: Looking at Marathon County, there could be good news left for KloJo – most of the outstanding precincts appear to be in the City of Wausau, which should help her recover her lead, or at least be empty (which is better than the 54-46 margin Prosser has there thus far).
11:53pm: Bad advance news from Racine County, which based on the County website is fully reporting and has KloJo losing by 6K votes, not 3k. This moves the needle to 4.90%.
11:46pm: Waukesha is now entirely reporting, with the last 68 precincts being all empty. The needle stands at 4.98% away from Prosser…or a 182 vote Prosser lead when all is said and done.
11:42pm: The Las Vegas Mayoral runoff spot has been called for Chris G, evidently.
11:40pm: We’re at 94.6%. It comes down to something as simple as this: how much of Waukesha and Ozaukee are actually reporting? Just think, if Waukesha is indeed all reporting, that brings us to a final projected margin of 175 votes for Prosser.
11:33pm: FUCK. A bunch of Dane precincts just reported, with no votes. This likely owes to the various tendrils of the city of Madison that have their own precincts…but no residents. This moves the needle to 3.87%…count me pessimistic.
11:26pm: Waupaca County just reported in bulk, showing a 7% swing to KloJo as has been characteristic of the Fox Valley/northeastern Wisconsin. The needle’s at 4.45%…where’s still just a little bit short of where we need to be.
11:23pm: I’ve been neglecting Las Vegas…where the Clark County is not showing any results for me. But, Carolyn Goodman is out in front, with Chris G and Larry Brown separated by 30 votes!
11:15pm: 90.4% reporting now, and KloJo is clinging to a 4K vote lead. The wildcard is still the Milwaukee burbs, which are lagging at 65% reporting…but who knows what’s actually reported.
11:11pm: Looking at FDL County, KloJo’s swings in the Fox Valley continue to be apparent: after having given Prosser 72% in the first round, FDL only gave him 61% this time around….a big improvement.
11:07pm: Before Professor Jeff gets into precincting procedures, it could be relevant that Wisconsin draws election precincts (which it refers to as “wards”), and that many of these precincts left could be empty. I’ll also note that very few MKE precincts are empty…and that the empty ones Milwaukee precincts are actually part of Waukesha (2) and Ozaukee (1).
The sucker in me likes being optimistic.