Tag: Paul Carmouche

KTBS:

Fleming received 48 percent of the vote to 47.7 percent for Carmouche, according to complete but unofficial returns. Fleming led by 356 votes out of more than 92,000 cast. Two independent candidates got the rest of the votes.

Fleming declared victory but Carmouche did not concede defeat.

Carmouche said he wants to see what happens when voting machines are rechecked on Tuesday. He said he also wanted to make sure that all provisional ballots — paper ballots cast when there is a problem at a polling place — have been counted.

Good for Carmouche. Right now we don’t know how many provisionals were even cast, and it’s conceivable there might be enough to make a difference here. Also note that the AP hasn’t called the race – they haven’t put that little red check-mark next to Fleming’s name.

Small though it may sound, 0.38% is a fairly tough margin to overcome. But I’m glad to see the Dems making sure every vote gets counted.

Internal polling for Caddo Parish District Attorney Paul Carmouche shows that he has a big advantage over his three challengers in the Shreveport-based, R+7 open seat. How big an advantage? Well, 13 to 19 points… but the release of the poll doesn’t give specific percentages of votes or tell which margin applies to which GOP challenger. Here’s what we know:

When paired with each of these three opponents on a trial heat, Paul Carmouche defeats all three, with leads ranging from 13 to 19 points.  Also, Independent candidate Chester “Catfish” Kelley holds 5% of the vote in all three match-ups.

The poll gives Carmouche very high name recognition (60%) and a 4-to-1 favorable ratio. The same poll also goes into some more detail about the Republican primary, which has three credible candidates (physician John Fleming, trucking company executive Chris Gorman, and former Bossier Chamber of Commerce president Jeff Thompson).

Kitchens Group for Paul Carmouche (7/16-21, likely voters):

John Fleming (R): 27

Chris Gorman (R): 20

Jeff Thompson (R): 14

(MoE: ±4%)

Result-wise, this matches Fleming’s own polling (although Fleming gives himself a much bigger margin of victory):

Southern Media & Opinion Research for John Fleming (7/25-27, likely voters):

John Fleming (R): 43

Chris Gorman (R): 17

Jeff Thompson (R): 15

(MoE: ±5%)

SSP currently rates this race as Lean Republican.