Tag: SUSA polls

SUSA released another poll on this fascinating governor’s race:

9/23 (682 LVs +/-3.8%) 9/8 in parentheses:

Gregoire 50 (47)

Rossi    48 (48)

So it’s back to where it was just before the primary.  Rossi is still up 53-43 among independents, and the gender gap is small.  They are tied at 48 among men and Gregoire is up 51-47 among women.  I’m starting to think Rossi may have a big barrier at the 48% level that he needs to cross.  Maybe we can be a bit more optimistic on this race.

Bonus result:  Obama leads McCain in the state 54-43.

 

Survey USA (8/11-12, 718 LVs, July in parentheses):

Gregiore:  50% (49)

Rossi:     48% (46)

One week before the “beauty contest,” Rossi has closed the gap a bit further.  This is going to be very close, and I think who finishes first on the 19th will win in November.  Gregoire just can’t put the race away.  No surprises in the internals this time (shock!) but Rossi leads 50-44 among independents and leads 51-47 among the 42% who think the economy is the most important issue.

Also of note:

Obama’s lead in the state is down to 51-44, a nine point drop from last month.  

It’s 49-37 Smith in SUSA’s first poll of the Oregon Senate race.  

Gordon Smith leads among women 48-39, peels off 28% of Democrats, and wins 18-34 year-olds, 53-29%.  Sample is 100% white, and breaks down 41D-37R-21R.  Smith even leads in the Portland region.

This was taken just before Smith’s latest attack ads, and there are serious questions about Merkely’s financial ability to fight back.  So is this another screwy SUSA poll, or can this one be written off?