NH-SEN: Novak Says Shaheen 70% In

If Bob Novak is correct, then John Sununu must be looking for a new pair of pants. The Prince of Darkness is reporting that Former Governor Jeanne Shaheen is very likely to enter the Senate race.

New Hampshire: Former Gov. Jeanne Shaheen (D) and her husband are telling supporters that she there is about a 70 percent chance that she will run for Senate against Sen. John Sununu (R). There is no need for her to move too quickly, since the state is currently consumed with presidential politics, and she already has universal name recognition there.

I hope she announces soon so the other canddiates can decide what to do. Until Shaheen confirms this herself, I wil continue to support Steve Marchand. Either way, New Hampshire is looking blue in 2008.

NH-Sen: New Polls Shows Swett, Marchand Nipping at Sununu’s Heels

A new WMUR/CNN poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center shows Republican Senator John Sununu, a desperately out-of-touch enabler of the Bush Administration, performing badly in a series of hypothetical Senate match-ups:

Jeanne Shaheen (D): 54
John E. Sununu (R): 38

Steve Marchand (D): 38
John E. Sununu (R): 42

Katrina Swett (D): 39
John E. Sununu (R): 43

Jay Buckey (D): 28
John E. Sununu (R): 44

MoE: ± 4.3%

You can view the full polling memo in PDF format here.  While it is yet another poll showing Shaheen with a commanding lead over the floundering incumbent, challengers Swett and Marchand have a lot to be pleased about with this poll, too.  Despite having much smaller profiles than Shaheen (a former Governor), Sununu is mired in the low-40s: extremely dangerous territory for an incumbent to be.  Whether Shaheen mounts a bid or not (and I’d still be surprised if she didn’t, at this point), Sununu has set course for a world of hurt next year.

A big hat-tip to Dean over at Blue Hampshire.

Second Quarter Fundraising Reports Trickling In

(If you’ve got any other Q2 numbers, post them in the comments. – promoted by James L.)

[Originally posted today at Senate 2008 Guru: Following the Races.]

Q2 Fundraising: Second quarter fundraising figures are beginning to trickle in.  The Hill reports: Thad Cochran (R-MS) dropped to $275,000; Katrina Swett (D-NH) raised “about” $700,000; Jon Bruning (R-NE) took in over $720,000; Mike Ciresi (D-MN) raised over $735,000; Steve Marchand (D-NH) brought in about $100,000; Steve Novick (D-OR) took in $190,000; and, recovering Senator Tim Johnson (D-SD) neared a goal of $600,000.  UNO Dems reminds us that “Bob Kerrey’s still got about $400,000 cash on hand from his old Senate campaign account.”  Norm Coleman (R-MN) raised around $1.5 million.  Larry LaRocco (D-ID) raised about $80,000.

Also: John Warner prepares us for another notoriously low fundraising quarter.  (Retirement announcement on the way?)

NH-Sen: New Poll Shows Sununu in the Dumps

The big chatter among Al Gore enthusiasts tonight is the new Suffolk University Poll showing him edging Hillary Clinton in a hypothetical New Hampshire primary by a 32-26 margin.  But, as Dean notes, the real nugget may be this (likely voters):

Re-elect Sen. John Sununu (R): 31%
Time for someone else: 47%
(MoE: ±4.38%)

I don’t see how a textbook Bush Republican like Sununu can survive in New England next year.  His time is up.

NH-Sen: Shaheen to Decide In September

From the Boston Globe:

Former New Hampshire Governor Jeanne Shaheen will decide in September whether to enter one of the country’s most closely watched US Senate races, her husband says.

Shaheen’s husband, Billy, told the Globe she will make up her mind in September because, “it is only fair to those currently running that she have her mind made up either way”.

This is the first time either Shaheen had given such a firm deadline for a decision.

I would have preferred a slightly earlier decision by Shaheen, because her noncommittal status will undoubtedly depress fundraising for the current field–funds that will be crucially necessary in order to beat Sununu next year should Shaheen take her name out of consideration.  But the more buzz I hear from the Beltway and elsewhere, the more I’m convinced that Shaheen is really interested in making a race of this.  And with polls like these showing her with a 10-point lead on Sununu, the opportunity to whallop another Bushleaguer has got to appear tempting for the Governor.

Mark your calenders.

(Hat-tip: Dean Barker at Blue Hampshire)

We need a change–right now.

[Cross-posted on DailyKos and MyDD.]

Greetings to the national Netroots.  I’m Steve Marchand and I’m running for the U.S. Senate in New Hampshire to challenge John Sununu in 2008.

I’m writing today because I want to extend the dialogue I’ve begun with our New Hampshire Netroots to the national level.  As a longtime reader of national blogs like DailyKos, MyDD and Swing State Project, I value the open forum you’ve created, a forum that enables some of the most productive progressive dialogue in America today.

I’m running for U.S. Senate because we need a change in our nation’s direction. In my recent New Hampshire Democratic State Convention speech, I spoke about my experience and my vision for America.  You can watch the video of that speech on my website.

More below the fold

In my speech, I said what I strongly believe: we need to end the Iraq War right now.  We need to end it because it was fought under false pretenses and has been conducted with reckless leadership by the Bush Administration.

I applaud those members of Congress (including New Hampshire’s own Rep. Paul Hodes and Rep. Carol Shea-Porter) that stood up to the administration and refused to issue them a blank check for this war with a NO vote on the recent Iraq funding bill.  We need to see real withdrawal progress–right now–or we need to stop funding failed policies.

There are other battles, however, that we also must not lose sight of.  We need to guarantee affordable, quality healthcare coverage for every American, rich or poor.  As someone who has lived through the consequences of the national healthcare crisis, I understand what lack of coverage can mean.  Let me explain a bit more.

I grew up on the working-class West Side of Manchester, New Hampshire.  My father, a carpenter, and my mother, a millworker, came to this country from Quebec to build a better life for their children.  We didn’t have much, but more than anyone, they helped me understand the value and the power of hard work.

In the early 1990’s, however, New Hampshire’s economy was hit hard and our housing market crashed.  My father was left with a home that he couldn’t sell.  My family went without income for an entire year.  In this time of crisis, my parents did what millions of Americans have been forced to do: they dropped their expensive health insurance so that they could afford to feed their family.

And then, in her late thirties, my mother suffered a heart attack.

We were lucky; she recovered and is still well today.  But my Mom and Dad were forced to declare bankruptcy just to keep their home. These are the consequences of not having healthcare coverage when you need it most.

So when John Sununu says that we need to “stop complaining about healthcare,” well, I dare him to tell that to my parents and the millions of Americans without healthcare coverage living paycheck to paycheck.

We also need a Senator who knows that global warming is a problem and that we need real solutions to it–right now.  As Mayor of Portsmouth, New Hampshire, I’ve fought to make sure that our city is taking important, meaningful steps to become more green.  We aren’t waiting for the federal government to take the lead.  We’ve built the only Leadership in Environmental and Energy Design (LEED)–certified public building in New Hampshire, our new public library.  We’ve converted our city fleet to biodiesel.  And we’ve begun energy audits of all public buildings so we can make real changes to our energy use. 

The best part is, these changes in Portsmouth are saving taxpayers money.  Indeed, I’ve gained a statewide reputation for earning the trust of taxpayers by delivering value for their tax dollars.  We’ve shown that you can be fiscally responsible and socially progressive at the same time.  Those are values that I will take with me to the U.S. Senate.

And finally, as the recent Supreme Court decision shows, we cannot take Roe v. Wade for granted.  As the only 100% pro-choice candidate in this race, Democrat or Republican, I will always defend a woman’s right to make her own choices about her own body.

I look forward to being actively engaged with you here and in our New Hampshire blogs.  I appreciate your consideration, welcome your feedback, and encourage you to learn more about my campaign at my website, www.stevemarchand.com.  Together, we can bring real change to the U.S. Senate.

NH-Sen: Americans United For Change Hit Sununu Hard

Is it just me, or are ads produced by Democratic-allied groups getting stronger and stronger?  The Hill takes a look at three ads by Americans United for Change targeting Republican Senators Collins (ME), McConnell (KY) and Sununu (NH).  And while the ads against McConnell and Collins are both pretty good, the Sununu edit takes the prize:

Damn.

I’m feeling pretty good about this race.  Given New Hampshire’s rapidly shifting partisan composition, Sununu’s steadfast support for Bush’s disastrous and unnecessary war in Iraq, and support from his new best friends at the extreme-right Club For Growth, I’m feeling pretty pumped about the chances of any challenger who isn’t a Lieberdem with a crappy electoral track record and a name that rhymes with Boba Fett.

Race Tracker: NH-Sen

NH-Sen: Ominous Signs For Sununu

It must be tough to be John Sununu, the Junior Republican Senator from New Hampshire who faces his first re-election test in 2008.  As if last November’s elections were bad enough for his longevity, with Granite State voters turfing Republicans up and down the ballot last November, the AP is giving him a few more reasons to worry (emphasis added):

New Hampshire’s independent voters – those unaffiliated with either political party – have doubled in number since 1992. They make up 44 percent of registered voters, more than Republicans or Democrats, and can vote in either primary, making them a potentially powerful force in 2008.

In a recent poll, 68 percent of undeclared voters likely to vote in the presidential primaries said they plan to vote for a Democrat. That’s a significant shift from 2000, the last election with contested races in both parties, when about 60 percent of the independents who turned out voted in the Republican primary.

Andrew Smith, director of the University of New Hampshire Survey Center, which conducted the poll, attributes the shift to three factors:

-Changing demographics have made New Hampshire more Democratic, like the rest of New England.

-Increasing opposition to the Iraq war has made voters generally more interested in Democrats as members of the party most likely to end the war.

-Candidates Hillary Rodham Clinton and Barack Obama have attracted enormous media attention on recent trips, raising the profile of the Democratic contest.

New Hampshire independents helped push Democrats Paul Hodes and Carol Shea-Porter over the finish line in their House races last November.  It’s becoming increasingly clear that these voters aren’t going anywhere, especially as the White House fails to offer any meaningful course change in Iraq.

(Hat-tip to SaucyIntruder.)

Race Tracker: NH-Sen

NH-Sen: Club for Growth Endorses Sununu

Originally at Blue Hampshire, but I wanted to put it here so that the insanely smart people who come to SSP can give us some insight into the CFG.

I’ve said all along that Johnny is a free market radical extremist, and the Club for Growth’s ringing endorsement, their first of the season, cements that position.  After all, he scored a solid 100% on their “no one should pay taxes for anything ever” 2005 Scorecard.

As the Hill reports, this is “unusual” for the group, since they typically target incumbents, not support them.  I take this to mean that they are wise to the fact that Sununu is in deep doo-doo for ’08, and they will try to play up his libertarian side in a state friendly to that.  Personally, though, I don’t see how that will help him against either announced candidate Portsmouth Mayor Steve Marchand (who is pro-business) and possible contender Stonyfield Farm Yogurt Baron Gary Hirshberg (who is business).

Been awhile since you last heard of the “Club”?  Well, here’s a refresher.  The CFG spent a million dollars trying to replace Arlen Specter with Pat Toomey, who ultimately lost and is now the head of  the Club.  They’ve also run ads against Snowe and Voinovich and Chafee.

In other words, they are the definition of an anti-RINO group

Ergo, through their very  endorsement, they utterly destroy any semblance of Sununu’s “moderate” persona.

And who can forget this:

But CFG does not simply target moderate Republicans; they also attack Democrats, including the party’s presidential candidates who CFG refers to as “liberal losers.” They have been particularly obsessed with former Vermont governor Howard Dean. CFG has run a series of negative ads about him in several primary states, including one in which an elderly couple angrily tells Dean to “take his tax-hiking, government-expanding, latte-drinking, sushi-eating, Volvo-driving, New York Times-reading . . .body piercing, Hollywood-loving, left-wing freak show back to Vermont, where it belongs.”

Expect more of the same well-funded pap to be heading our way from this malign entity.

Thoughts?

(Oh, and if you are interested in more on Sununu, please feel free to visit our Sununu tag at Blue Hampshire.)

Senate Recruitment Thread #3 (NC, NE, NH, NM, OK)

Alright, let’s keep the ball rolling here.  Every Thursday, the Swing State Project is taking a look at five GOP-held Senate seats that are up for grabs in 2008, and asking you to submit your recruitment suggestions for each of these races.  (The first one was here and last week’s was here.)

Here is this week’s shortlist up for discussion.  Links are to the 2008 Race Tracker wiki for inspiration, and incumbents are in parens:

11) North Carolina (Elizabeth Dole)

12) Nebraska (Chuck Hagel)

13) New Hampshire (John Sununu)

14) New Mexico (Pete Domenici)

15) Oklahoma (James Inhofe)

Like David said the first time:

Don’t limit yourself to politicians. Businesspeople, community leaders, activists – even athletes or celebrities (think Heath Shuler or Al Franken) – are all fair game. Even seemingly outlandish suggestions are welcome. Would you have ever predicted that the guitarist from Orleans would now be a Congressman-elect?

However, as usual, please do limit yourself to the five races listed in this post.  I know everyone is excited to discuss the whole load of upcoming races, but the quality of discussion is enhanced greatly when we stay focused on just a few Senators at a time.  I’ve really enjoyed some of the suggestions that you have submitted so far.

So, whaddya got?