Larry Sabato, professor of Political Science at the University of Virginia and director of the Center for Politics has updated his U.S. House predictions.
Overall, it is very good news for as. More over the flip.
Here are today’s changes:
AL-02 OPEN Leans R to Toss-up
AZ-03 Shadegg Likely R to Leans R
CA-04 OPEN Likely R to Toss-up
CA-50 Bilbray Likely R to Leans R
CT-04 Shays Leans R to Leans D
FL-08 Keller Toss-up to Leans D
FL-16 Mahoney Leans R to Likely R
FL-24 Feeney Toss-up to Leans D
FL-25 M. Diaz-Balart Leans R to Toss-up
ID-01 Sali Likely R to Leans R
IL-10 Kirk Leans R to Toss-up
IN-03 Souder Safe R to Leans R
KS-02 Boyda Leans D to Toss-up
KY-02 OPEN Leans R to Toss-up
LA-06 Cazayoux Toss-up to Leans D
MD-01 OPEN Leans R to Toss-up
MI-07 Walberg Toss-up to Leans D
MI-09 Knollenberg Leans R to Toss-up
MN-03 OPEN Toss-up to Leans D
MN-06 Bachmann Safe R to Toss-up
MO-06 Graves Likely R to Leans R
NE-02 Terry Likely R to Leans R
NJ-05 Garrett Likely R to Leans R
NM-01 OPEN Toss-up to Leans D
NM-02 OPEN Toss-up to Leans D
NY-26 OPEN Leans R to Toss-up
NC-08 Hayes Toss-up to Leans D
OH-16 OPEN Toss-up to Leans D
PA-03 English Leans R to Toss-up
SC-01 Brown Safe R to Likely R
TX-07 Culberson Likely R to Leans R
WV-02 Capito Likely R to Leans R
WY-AL OPEN Leans R to Toss-up
Things are looking for good for us. With today’s changes, Sabato is now predicting us to pick off 17 Republican seats. And that doesn’t include toss ups and upsets from the “likely Republican” and “leans Republican” columns. Nine Republican seats have moved to “leans Democratic” today alone.
Another eleven Republican seats have been moved to tossup status. In all, 30 Republican seats were moved in our direction. Addtionally, Don Cazayoux’s race has been upgraded to “leans Democratic.”
The only sour notes for us is that Tim Mahoney’s race was further downgraded to “likely Republican” and Nancy Boyda is now a tossup.