Well I really liked Johnny Longtorso’s map of North Carolina, so I decided to expand on that and create a similar map while figuring out the partisan data for each district. Nothing fancy, just county level voting for the 2008 election. The map is 9-4-1, either 9-5 or 10-4 depending on whether a Democrat can defeat Myrick.
Unfortunately, according to the new census report North Carolina will probably not get a 14th district. Plus it probably violates VRA, but it’s an example of how the VRA hurts Democrats in redistricting. So this map is a bit useless, but I like it.
Congressional District 1: Butterfield (D)
| County | Obama Vote | McCain Vote |
|---|---|---|
| Vance | 13,166 | 7,606 |
| Warren | 7,086 | 3,063 |
| Franklin | 13,085 | 13,273 |
| Nash | 23,099 | 23,728 |
| Wilson* | 19,652 | 17,375 |
| Greene | 3,796 | 4,272 |
| Edgecombe | 17,403 | 8,445 |
| Halifax | 16,047 | 8,961 |
| Northampton | 6,903 | 3,671 |
| Hertford | 7,513 | 3,089 |
| Gates | 2,830 | 2,547 |
| Bertie | 6,365 | 3,376 |
| Martin | 6,539 | 5,957 |
| Pitt | 40,501 | 33,927 |
| Washington* | ||
| Total | 183,985 | 139,290 |
| New % | 56.91% | |
| Old % | 62.72% |
This is now a 41% Black district (still majority minority) down from 50.6%. And probably a violation of the VRA. Butterfield Got 70.28% in the old district. Likely Democratic (Safe with Butterfield).
Congressional District 2: Etheridge (D)
| County | Obama Vote | McCain Vote |
|---|---|---|
| Harnett | 16,785 | 23,579 |
| Johnston | 26,795 | 43,622 |
| Wake* | 110,410 | 76,809 |
| Wilson* | ||
| Total | 153,990 | 144,010 |
| New % | 51.67% | |
| Old % | 52.33% |
Leans Democratic. (Safe with Etheridge).
Congressional District 3: Jones (R)
| County | Obama Vote | McCain Vote |
|---|---|---|
| Brunswick | 21,331 | 30,753 |
| Onslow | 19,499 | 30,278 |
| Craven | 19,352 | 24,901 |
| Carteret | 11,130 | 23,131 |
| Pamlico | 2,838 | 3,823 |
| Beaufort | 9,454 | 13,460 |
| Hyde | 1,241 | 1,212 |
| Dare | 8,074 | 9,745 |
| Tyrrell | 933 | 960 |
| Washington | 3,748 | 2,670 |
| Chowan | 3,688 | 3,773 |
| Perquimans | 2,772 | 3,678 |
| Camden | 1,597 | 3,140 |
| Pasquotank | 10,272 | 7,778 |
| Currituck | 3,737 | 7,234 |
| Pender* | 9,907 | 13,618 |
| New Hanover* | 49,145 | 50,544 |
| Total* | 119,666 | 166,536 |
| New % | 38.14% | |
| Old % | 41.81% |
District 3 basically gets all the Republican friendly coastal counties in one district. It’s also is the most visually gerrymandered district as it avoids taking Wilmington from the the 7th district. Safe Republican.
Congressional District 4: Price (D)
| County | Obama Vote | McCain Vote |
|---|---|---|
| Alamance | 28,918 | 34,859 |
| Orange | 53,806 | 20,266 |
| Durham | 103,456 | 32,353 |
| Chatham | 17,862 | 14,668 |
| Lee | 10,784 | 12,775 |
| Total | 214,826 | 114,921 |
| New % | 65.15% | |
| Old % | 63.32% |
District consists of Durham, Chapel Hill, and Burlington. Looses parts of Wake, gains the entirety of Almanace, Chatham and Lee counties. It’s a very compact district and keeps all the counties together, but I think that there are a bit too many Democrats in this district (I’d aim for more around 60%). Safe Democratic.
Congressional District 5: Foxx (R)
| County | Obama Vote | McCain Vote |
|---|---|---|
| Mitchell | 2,238 | 5,499 |
| Avery | 2,178 | 5,681 |
| Watauga | 14,558 | 13,344 |
| Caldwell | 12,081 | 22,526 |
| Alexander | 5,167 | 11,790 |
| Iredell | 27,318 | 45,148 |
| Wilkes | 8,934 | 20,288 |
| Ashe | 4,872 | 7,916 |
| Alleghany | 2,021 | 3,124 |
| Surry | 10,475 | 18,730 |
| Yadkin | 4,527 | 12,409 |
| Davie | 6,178 | 13,981 |
| Stokes | 6,875 | 14,488 |
| Total | 107,422 | 194,924 |
| New % | 35.53% | |
| Old % | 39.37% |
Ugh. So this one really hurt as I passionately hate Virginia Foxx. So that’s probably the best news about this map being ruined with North Carolina only getting 13 districts. Hopefully more Republican areas can get eaten up by 10th district and Winston-Salem can be incorporated into the 5th to make at least a 45%+ area where Foxx shouldn’t be able to win. As it stands, this Northwestern congressional district is Obama’s worst district aptly home to batshit insane Foxx. Safe Republcian.
Congressional District 6: Coble(R)
| County | Obama Vote | McCain Vote |
|---|---|---|
| Rowan | 23,391 | 37,451 |
| Davidson | 22,433 | 45,419 |
| Randolph | 16,414 | 40,998 |
| Rockingham* | 17,255 | 23,899 |
| Guilford* | 45,000 | 45,000 |
| Guilford* | 142,101 | 97,718 |
| Total* | 124,493 | 192,767 |
| New % | 39.24% | |
| Old % | 36.52% |
Without the 14th district, this too probably will get more Democratic as it will get Greensboro and cede some Republican area to the too Democratic 4th district. But as it stands it is Safe Republican.
Congressional District 7: McIntyre(D)
| County | Obama Vote | McCain Vote |
|---|---|---|
| Columbus | 11,076 | 12,994 |
| Bladen | 7,853 | 7,532 |
| Duplin | 8,958 | 10,834 |
| Sampson | 11,836 | 14,038 |
| Lenoir | 13,378 | 13,401 |
| Wayne | 22,671 | 26,952 |
| Jones | 2,378 | 2,817 |
| Pender* | 9,907 | 13,618 |
| New Hanover* | 49,145 | 50,544 |
| Cumberland* | 15,400 | 10,000 |
| Total | 152,602 | 162,730 |
| New % | 48.39% | |
| Old % | 47.20% |
Considering that this is a McCain district, I made sure that I kept all of McIntyre’s base intact I gave most of Robeson County to the 8th to strengthen Kissell, though I attempted to snake McIntyre’s home (Lumberton) into the district. This district is a percentage better than before. My reason for adding the rest of Sampson, all of Lenoir and Wayne is because while the counties are all either Republican or Tossup, they all seem like McIntyre can do well and build a Democratic base in.
Since from what I can see Generic Democrat did about 3% better than Obama this district is Tossup Democratic. (Safe for McIntyre).
Congressional District 8: Kissell(D)
| County | Obama Vote | McCain Vote |
|---|---|---|
| Total | 138,448 | 118,982 |
| Anson | 6,456 | 4,207 |
| Montgomery | 4,926 | 6,155 |
| Richmond | 9,713 | 9,424 |
| Moore | 17,624 | 27,314 |
| Scotland | 8,151 | 6,005 |
| Hoke | 9,227 | 6,293 |
| Robeson | 23,058 | 17,433 |
| Cumberland* | 59,293 | 42,151 |
| Total | 138,448 | 118,982 |
| New % | 53.78% | |
| Old % | 52.96% |
I made Kissell’s district a bit more Democratic by grabbing more of Fayetteville and Robeson and Republican Moore, but loosing all the Republican territory in Cabarrus, Stanly, and Union and Republican part of Mecklenburg (Charlotte) which he lost 34.7k to 46.4k. This is now Leans to Likely Democratic.
Congressional District 9: Myrick (R)
| County | Obama Vote | McCain Vote |
|---|---|---|
| Union | 31,189 | 54,123 |
| Stanly | 8,878 | 19,329 |
| Cabarrus | 31,546 | 45,924 |
| Mecklenburg* | 76,958 | 30,848 |
| Total | 148,571 | 150,224 |
| New % | 49.72% | |
| Old % | 45.11% |
This is a pretty spiteful gerrymander specifically to get rid of Myrick