Quinnipiac (8/3-8, likely voters, 7/28-8/2 in parens):
Tom Foley (R): 38 (41)
Mike Fedele (R): 30 (26)
Oz Griebel (R): 17 (13)
Undecided: 14 (21)
(MoE: 3.8%)Ned Lamont (D): 45 (45)
Dan Malloy (D): 42 (40)
Undecided: 12 (14)
(MoE: 4.6%)
Quinnipiac finds some major movement for both Lt. Gov. Mike Fedele and Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy in the Republican and Democratic gubernatorial primaries, respectively. That’s the power of well-timed attack ads at work, and it should make for an exciting evening tomorrow night.
General election numbers (7/28-8/2, registered voters, 7/7-13 in parens):
Ned Lamont (D): 48 (49)
Michael Fedele (R): 33 (27)
Undecided: 14 (19)Ned Lamont (D): 46 (45)
Tom Foley (R): 33 (33)
Undecided: 17 (17)Ned Lamont (D): 50 (49)
Oz Greibel (R): 27 (25)
Undecided: 19 (21)Dan Malloy (D): 47 (39)
Michael Fedele (R): 30 (26)
Undecided: 18 (20)Dan Malloy (D): 46 (44)
Tom Foley (R): 31 (33)
Undecided: 16 (19)Dan Malloy (D): 50 (51)
Oz Greibel (R): 25 (25)
Undecided: 18 (21)
(MoE: ±2.7%)
The boys in blue still look pretty good, but we’ll see how the shape of this race will change once Quinnipiac adjusts to a likely voter screen.
Finally, we’ve got some numbers from the on again/off again GOP Senate primary (8/3-8, likely voters, 7/28-8/2 in parens). And don’t call it a comeback…
Linda McMahon (R): 50 (47)
Rob Simmons (R): 28 (30)
Peter Schiff (R) : 15 (14)
Undecided: 7 (8)
(MoE: ±3.8%)
…because it ain’t. A Rob Simmons victory tomorrow night would either be an epic polling fail or a spectacular late-game change of heart in the GOP electorate.
The final piece — Senatorial general election numbers (7/28-8/2, registered voters, 7/7-13 in parens):
Richard Blumenthal (D): 50 (54)
Linda McMahon (R): 40 (37)
Undecided: 7 (7)Richard Blumenthal (D): 55 (55)
Rob Simmons (R): 35 (35)
Undecided: 7 (9)Richard Blumenthal (D): 57 (58)
Peter Schiff (R): 30 (31)
Undecided: 9 (9)
(MoE: ±2.7%)