Ethridge and Associates for Tom Leatherwood (6/28-29, likely voters, 3/28-29 in parens):
Tom Leatherwood (R): 37 (30)
Marsha Blackburn (R-inc): 48 (57)
(MoE: ±5.6%)
Leatherwood, a former state senator, is mounting another disgruntled Jason Chaffetz-style campaign (i.e. running to the right of a very right-wing representative), but his fundraising has been pretty bare bones thus far. Another “pick your poison” campaign? Maybe so, but it’s still fun to see GOP incumbents in peril.
Don’t expect this creatively-drawn R+12 district to come into play if Leatherwood knocks off Blackburn — Bush beat down Kerry by a 66-33 margin in 2004.
Primary: August 7th
(Hat-tip to reader AK)