Quinnipiac University (4/28-5/4, “Ohio voters”, March in parens).
Republican gubernatorial primary:
Mike DeWine (R): 35 (32)
John Kasich (R): 23 (27)
Kevin Coughlin (R): 2 (2)
Undecided: 37 (37)
(MoE: ±4.9%)
Democratic & Republican Senate primaries:
Lee Fisher (D): 20 (18)
Jennifer Brunner (D): 16 (14)
Tyrone Yates (D): 4 (6)
Undecided: 59 (46)
(MoE: ±4.7%)Rob Portman (R): 29 (31)
Mary Taylor (R): 8 (14)
Tom Ganley (R): 8 (n/a)
Undecided: 54 (52)
(MoE: ±4.9%)
Gubernatorial general election matchups:
Ted Strickland (D-inc): 51 (51)
John Kasich (R): 32 (31)
Undecided: 16 (15)Ted Strickland (D-inc): 48 (50)
Mike DeWine (R): 36 (34)
Undecided: 14 (12)
(MoE: ±3%)
Senate general election matchups:
Lee Fisher (D): 42 (41)
Rob Portman (R): 31 (33)
Undecided: 26 (24)Lee Fisher (D): 41 (41)
Mary Taylor (R): 29 (31)
Undecided: 28 (25)Jennifer Brunner (D): 40 (39)
Rob Portman (R): 32 (34)
Undecided: 27 (25)Jennifer Brunner (D): 38 (38)
Mary Taylor (R): 29 (31)
Undecided: 31 (28)
(MoE: ±3%)
Not a whole lot of motion in the ocean, but nice to see the Dems doing well. One caveat: Fisher and Brunner are both unknown to about 50% of the population, but Portman is unrecognized by two-thirds.
Is there any way that the democrats lose this race? I can’t see it… with a popular democratic governor anchoring the ticket and with his former Lt. Gov or SoS can the GOP money buy this race? I don’t think so. Esp. given that he was a bushy…
Good news. Hopefully Brunner drops out and runs again as SOS.
is that Brunner and Fisher are on fairly even footing in the primary, despite Brunner’s poor first quarter totals. She’s got to raise more money to be sure, but these polls are reassuring in that Fisher hasn’t got it locked up in the least at this point. If Brunner can significantly improve her fundraising (she doesn’t have to surpass him, just do much, much better than last time) and excel in the areas of grassroots organization and messaging, she can still come from behind to win this one in the primary and will be on solid footing for the general.
Missouri next, then New Hampshire. Assuming Bunning runs. I think New Hampshire will be a more difficult climb than people expect.
he buckled down and carried the Democrats banner many times in the 1990s. He finally deserves his shot at a big seat and he’s a reliable liberal, though a bit more moderate than Brunner and i’d rather have at SoS and avoid a primary.