GA-Gov: Barnes Crushing the Field

Rasmussen (6/17, likely voters):

Roy Barnes (D): 48

Thurbert Baker (D): 8

DuBose Porter (D): 5

Carl Camon (D): 2

David Poythress (D): 2

Other: 5

Undecided: 31

(MoE: ±6%)

These are the most dominating numbers of the Democratic primary that we’ve seen for ex-Gov. Roy Barnes all year, but we only have a pair of Strategic Vision polls (from April and last week) to compare this one to. Strategic Vision pegged Barnes at a similar level of support, but they found Attorney General Thurbert Baker in “fighting chance” territory around the 30% mark at opposed to his pitiful 8% showing in this poll. Hopefully some other pollsters will start dipping their toes into this primary — note that this Rasmu poll has a rather portly margin of error at 6%.

The GOP:

John Oxendine (R): 35

Karen Handel (R): 11

Nathan Deal (R): 10

Eric Johnson (R): 3

Austin Scott (R): 2

Ray McBerry (R): 1

Other: 5

Undecided: 33

(MoE: ±5%)

Those nums are very, very close to Strategic Vision’s latest effort, which had Oxendine up by 35-13 over Handel, with Deal close behind at 12%. Maybe this will descend into a pretty hot wingnut-on-wingnut-on-wingnut fight, but for now, Oxendine is the man to beat.

RaceTracker: GA-Gov

5 thoughts on “GA-Gov: Barnes Crushing the Field”

  1. We can hopefully avoid a runoff and have our biggest fundraiser running for the general relatively unscathed while the Republicans get bogged down in a runoff after a bitter primary.  I do however, wish Austin Scott’s numbers would improve so he would be more likely to remain in the race.  His seat is ripe for the picking.

    Hopefully, this will cause Porter to drop out and run for re-election to his House seat while Baker runs for the Senate.

  2. With these numbers, Baker needs to get out of this dead-end of a primary and go for the Senate race.

    Johnny Isakson has numbers just as bad as Richard Burr up in NC, he should be weak.  Georgia may not be getting alot of coverage, but its senate race needs to be a top priority for Democrats

    Come on Baker, forgot the governors mansion, and look to the senate

  3. Seriously, Baker would have a good chance at beating Isakson. When Martin(not a strong candidate) ran against Chambliss the first poll was Chambliss 51% Martin 33%. The final result on election day was Chambliss 50% Martin 47% and Chambliss was forced into a runoff. If Jim Martin could go from an 18% to a 3% margin in Georgia, Baker could have a chance at actually winning. In addition, the Georgia senate race didnt even become competitive until September. PPP did a hypothetical matchup poll between Isakson and Baker. The result was Isakson 45% Baker 39%. Isakson is very vulnerable and the polling is showing it very early on. Georgia is also trending democrat and Baker has many advantages including the fact that 30% of Georgia’s electorate is African American. This raise would attract a lot of media attention and could become historic if Georgia were to elect its first African American senator. In addition, Thuebert Baker could campaign along side Roy Barnes rather than getting crushed by him in the democratic gubernatorial primary. RUN FOR THE SENATE BAKER!

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