Public Policy Polling (9/18-21, registered voters):
Terry Goddard (D): 46
Jan Brewer (R-inc): 36
Terry Goddard (D): 45
Dean Martin (R): 37
Terry Goddard (D): 52
Fife Symington (R): 29
We haven’t seen any public polling of Arizona’s gubernatorial race this year, so this poll is greatly appreciated. State AG Terry Goddard, the presumptive Democratic nominee here (even though he hasn’t formally announced anything yet due to Arizona’s strict resign-to-run laws), is in pretty good shape. PPP finds his favorables at 44-22, which is almost the mirror image of Brewer’s:
Only 26% of Arizona voters approve of the job Brewer is doing with 43% expressing disapproval and 31% unsure. Her numbers are remarkably consistent along party lines with 28% of Republicans, 26% of Democrats, and 24% of independents giving her good marks. Of all the Governors and Senators PPP has polled on across the country so far in 2009 Brewer is the least popular within her own party, taking that mantle from Illinois Senator Roland Burris who is at just 29% with Democrats.
If we continue to see numbers this bad for Brewer, I wouldn’t be surprised if GOP leaders begin to pressure her to not seek a full term in 2010. While an unknown like state Treasurer Dean Martin polls about as well as she does, he doesn’t have Brewer’s high unfavorables to deal with. At this point, a guy like Martin — or someone else of similar stature — could be their better option, if you believe this poll.
SSP currently rates this race as Lean Republican, but we’ll be re-evaluating that rating soon in light of these numbers.