KY-Sen: Republicans Pull Ahead

America’s favorite pollster, Scott Rasmussen, has some nice news for Republicans (1/6, likely voters, 9/30 in parens):

Jack Conway (D): 35 (40)

Trey Grayson (R): 45 (40)

Undecided: 12 (17)

Jack Conway (D): 38 (42)

Rand Paul (R): 46 (38)

Undecided: 12 (15)

Dan Mongiardo (D): 37 (37)

Trey Grayson (R): 44 (44)

Undecided: 14

Dan Mongiardo (D): 35 (38)

Rand Paul (R): 49 (42)

Undecided: 11 (13)

(MoE: ±4.5%)

That’s some pretty nasty stuff, and I’m sure the Paulistas are dancing on the clouds right now. Despite his surprising strength in the general election match-ups, I still hold that the best result for Democrats would be a Rand Paul nomination. That’s not to say that Paul could be easily beaten, but his freak-wing politics are more vulnerable upon closer examination. For instance: Is Rand Paul a 9/11 Truther? The answer isn’t exactly clear.

RaceTracker Wiki: KY-Sen

3 thoughts on “KY-Sen: Republicans Pull Ahead”

  1. Mongiardo performs slightly better against Grayson, but twice as worse as Conway against Paul?

    I think one of the more frustrating aspects of Rasmussen is its relative opaqueness with its methodology and cross-tabs, unavailable to most unless you dish out monthly premiums. How he comes up with results like these is often still a mystery to me.

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