America’s favorite pollster, Scott Rasmussen, has some nice news for Republicans (1/6, likely voters, 9/30 in parens):
Jack Conway (D): 35 (40)
Trey Grayson (R): 45 (40)
Undecided: 12 (17)Jack Conway (D): 38 (42)
Rand Paul (R): 46 (38)
Undecided: 12 (15)Dan Mongiardo (D): 37 (37)
Trey Grayson (R): 44 (44)
Undecided: 14Dan Mongiardo (D): 35 (38)
Rand Paul (R): 49 (42)
Undecided: 11 (13)
(MoE: ±4.5%)
That’s some pretty nasty stuff, and I’m sure the Paulistas are dancing on the clouds right now. Despite his surprising strength in the general election match-ups, I still hold that the best result for Democrats would be a Rand Paul nomination. That’s not to say that Paul could be easily beaten, but his freak-wing politics are more vulnerable upon closer examination. For instance: Is Rand Paul a 9/11 Truther? The answer isn’t exactly clear.
RaceTracker Wiki: KY-Sen
If Rasmussen is predicting that the sky is falling.
Mongiardo performs slightly better against Grayson, but twice as worse as Conway against Paul?
I think one of the more frustrating aspects of Rasmussen is its relative opaqueness with its methodology and cross-tabs, unavailable to most unless you dish out monthly premiums. How he comes up with results like these is often still a mystery to me.
So the race is right on course.