InsiderAdvantage for the Politico (1/17, likely voters):
Martha Coakley (D): 43
Scott Brown (R): 52
Joe Kennedy (I) 2
(MoE: ±4%)
You know, we’ve picked these polls apart enough already, so how about we all take a page from trowaman and ask: If Scott Brown takes this race tomorrow, who should Democrats run against him in 2012? Not that we’re predicting that he’ll win, but it’s never too early to think through the hypotheticals. Tell us who you think should run in the comments.
Honestly this whole election reminds me of the NH primary in 2008. Obama came out of nowhere after a win in Iowa and the closet poll had Hillary DOWN by only 5 or 3 points. I think while this race will be extremely close all this Brown enthusiasm is being over played.
I really don’t know if this is the best exercise. If Brown wins, let’s play that game late tomorrow night. If Coakley wins, we will all feel stupid playing the hypothetical game.
That title for a website that gets a lot of media attention is somewhat dangerous. It just feeds into the media’s perception of Democrats giving up.
And to answer your question “who should take on Brown in 2012?” A solid Democrat who wants to take his state senate seat.
but I absolutely can’t just take the idea of MA Sen. Brown.
So for the next 36 hours I’m sticking my fingers in my ears and going la-la-la-la I can’t hear you.
After that I’ll be in denial and depression for a couple days.
After that I’ll say anyone but Coakley. No second chances here.
Coakley has proven that she’s not exactly a very capable politician.
I would say someone like John Tierney, but he’s starting to get up there in age and his district is one of the least safe of the MA delegation (he recaptured it in ’98).
I would love the thought of Barney Frank as senator, if only as a big middle finger to all his critics in the libertarian and conservative factions of the country.
A guaranteed winner.
The best candidate in the primary field, and a self-funder who won’t be tainted by the shenanigans in Washington.
Like Rocky he even has his own statue. Course there is the small matter of him previously endorsing Scott Brown. By 2012 can we say it’s a “youthful indiscretion”?
But seriously I’d go with Joe Kennedy.
for 24 of my 25 years on this earth i have lived in massachusetts and consider myself the fairly standard new englander of my age bracket and this is how i am interpreting what will happen tomorrow
i did not vote for coakley in the primary, and even should she win tomorrow, im fairly certain that it will be the last time i check her name. i voted for my current congress man, mike capuano as i felt that he would have fit it teddy shoes much better than ms coakley. in the primaries i felt capuano would be a great senator, i thought coakley would be a decent one
clearly, a lot has changed since december. coakley assumed that she would simply walk right into the seat and there for laid back and did nothing as a young, telegenic conservative came out of nowhere to, for all intents and purposes, be favored to win this seat and she has the gaul to be flaberghasted at what is happening around her. should brown win tomorrow it wont be because he ran a groundbreaking campaign, itll be because coakley dropped the ball. coakley had the arogance to assume that she was the self annointed sucessor to teddy, and in doing so, she lost the image that would have secured her election.
however, with all of that said, i am still voting for her tomorrow. the vote that i cast will have nation wide implications. it will effect people from cambridge to casper, wy and how people cannot take into account the greater good when they enter the ballot box boggles my mind. i know the lesser of two evils isnt exactly the way to get out the vote, but this time it is. scott brown would be a horrid representative for the people of massachusetts. hell, hes not that great of a fit for wrentham (his senate district), and while i think martha would be a good senator, im voting for someone else in the 2012 primary. there are better fits for the commonwealth out there, but between coakley and brown, u bet ur ass im taking coakley
The real one.
They want to prop up a good-looking empty suit? Fine. We’ll give ’em a better looking, even emptier suit!
Hey, he IS from Massachusetts… and as we learned from State of Play, he can walk and talk like a real life congresscritter.
and I have to hope I’m wrong
Brown 49
Coakley 48
I have to go with Nate Silver and his 75 percent chance of a Brown win.
the finger pointing in Washington. This article’s an interesting read, besides mentioning the snub at the Red Sox, the going dark for a month, there are some things Coakley did to screw herself over
http://www.politico.com/news/s…
Today we rally! Tomorrow we look at the results and plan for 2012.
Commenters over at Blue Mass Group seem in general to be reporting very heavy early turnout.
http://www.bluemassgroup.com/d…
As I said in the other thread, he wrote in his memoir his dream exit from politics would be getting chosen to be in Obama’s cabinet and capstone his career by being the first out person in the cabinet.
Hopefully he’ll say that Obama is not taking any chances on us gays and that he should run in 2012, serve a term and go down in history as the first out person to be elected to the US Senate.
And Ive been hesitant to phone bank for Coakley, I dunno, Ive just been too miffed and she doesnt deserve my minutes. Ive also gotten quite lazy when it comes to electoral politics away from my computer. If this is really close and she loses, I’ll be absolutely ticked at myself for not at least doing a call sheet or something. Phone bank for Coakley everyone! Do it for Teddy!