MA-Sen: Map of Special Election Results by Town

With all but five precincts reporting, this is what tonight’s election results look like on a town-by-town basis (click image for larger version):

UPDATE: Jeffmd does some quick number crunching to look at performance by congressional district. The preliminary conclusions:

Coakley Wins: 1st, 7th, 8th

Uncertain, but likely Brown wins: 4th, 9th

Brown Wins: 2nd, 3rd, 5th, 6th, 10th

UPDATE: Dave Wasserman tweets:

Q: Where are the other potential Dem collapse areas this Nov? A: Almost precisely the places Hillary carried in the 08 prez primary

He’s definitely on to something. Below is a map of the 2008 presidential primary results in Massachusetts between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama. Red is Clinton, blue is Obama:

The results between tonight’s race and the presidential primary correlate at a rate of 0.56, which is quite high.

142 thoughts on “MA-Sen: Map of Special Election Results by Town”

  1. Coakley won:

    MA-1 John Olver (Western MA)

    MA-4 Barney Frank (Brookline, Newton)

    MA-7 Edward Markey (Medford/Malden… even though she lost Waltham, she only lost by 1%–this district was probably pretty close)

    MA-8 Michael Capuano (Cambridge/Boston)

    She probably lost the rest.

  2. Here’s one of Coakley v. Baseline:

    She underperformed strongly in Worcester/Central Mass. Boston, Brookline, Cambridge, Somerville, Medford all better than what she needed, as were most of the Berkshires.

    Coakley underperformed in 250 towns by an average of 3.79%, she overperformed in the other 100 (excluding Paxton which has no results) by an average of 3.88%.

  3. The membership of both the United States Senate and House of Representatives is exactly the same now as it was at the very beginning of the 111th Congress.

    Senate: Democratic gain through party switch (Arlen Specter, PA) is neutralized by Republican gain through special election (Scott Brown, MA).

    House: Democratic gain through special election (Bill Owens, NY) is neutralized by Republican gain through party switch (Parker Griffith, AL).

    Think anyone in the media’s going to point that out? I don’t either.

    Also, memo to the DCCC: GET YOUR ASSES ON HI-01, RIGHT NOW.

  4. Guys,

    I’ve been thinking about this for a while and the results last night reaffirm this idea further. I’m more and more open to the idea of a Clinton Primary challenge to Obama in 2012. It’s drastic yes, but so is our situation currently, we lost VA, NJ and now MA, Obama is now one of the most unpopular presidents in modern US history. I no longer believe we can recover with Obama. 2010 will be disastrous, but we can and must salvage 2012.

    There is now doubt in my mind that Hillary can resurrect this party. Rasmussen polls released recently show she has deep popularity among democrats, independents, and even moderate republicans. This popularity isn’t the mile-wide paper thin popularity of some well known faces which evaporate on runnung, she’s been battle tested and people know her.

    On every critical demographic we need, Hillary is massively popular. The white working class, Catholics, Latinos, southern dems, she has made her electoral base on the groups paramount to our success. She would destroy the GOP in every swingstate, and every swing demographic and could regain in 2012 our 2010 losses.

    I was a Hillary supporter in the primary, and supported Obama in the general, but it is clear to me that he is not delivering. My loyalty is to my party and my principles, not Obama. Hillary has made HCR her life’s work and I am confident she can deliver a strong bi-partisan bill, as well as cap&trade, immigration reform etc. that Obama is looking unlikely to pass. Our situation is desperate, we need to take drastic action, draft Hillary 2012

  5. from da internets, MSM news, blogs etc for about 2-3 days, or maybe a week if you can. Do something different.

    I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again: Clinton was to Nixon as Obama is to Reagan (in terms of political fortunes and electoral circumstances). 2010 will be tough but not that bad. Once the economy picks up (it is doing so right now and will do so in a big way soon), all this will be history.

    So if I can channel my late Rabbi’s favorite quote of Moses in the Exodus…”these Egyptians you see today a.k.a. Teabaggers), you shall no more..”


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