Elections junkies like us had to suffer through an entire month without a single exciting primary or special election to dissect. (I blame Kay Bailey Hutchison for that one.) But that’s just the will of the calendar. As it turns out, our patience will be rewarded, as May is going to be filled to the brim with a number of extremely exciting contests — primaries of all kinds and special elections alike. We’ve identified as many noteworthy races as we can think of in the following chart, but if there’s anything we’re missing, please let us know in the comments!
Needless to say, May is going to be a busy, busy month.
P.S. SSP’s complete primary calendar is available here.
Wow it really seems to crept up on us. I have seen no primary ads yet. So I really think Hoss could win it, I really do. Also you may want to add the Louisville Mayoral on there. It is a really interesting and fairly important race for sure. Full swing election season has now approached us. Wow.
Saturday, May 22.
I’m somewhat indifferent in Ohio and North Carolina, but I’m very interested in seeing if Paul can pull this thing off (which by all indications he will). I reallllly hope Jack Conway wins… if both happen, I think KY is no doubt a tossup and quite possibly a Dem pickup at the end.
Bennett now seems likely to be booted by coming in third place. And only the top two finishers move on to the GOP primary election.
Bennett on the Brink of Defeat
IN-Sen:
Dan Coats – 46%
John Hostettler – 36%
Martin Stuzman – 13%
Perhaps this is giving Jim DeMint too much credit/perception of influence, but I think his endorsement of Stuzman fatally wounded Hostettler’s chances here. I might be wrong, but it’s looked to me like the rank-and-file would get behind Coats and the teabaggers/libertarians/populists were more partial to Hostettler. Alas, Stuzman now has the seal of approval from King Tea.
NC-Sen:
Elaine Marshall – 45%
Cal Cunningham – 43%
Ken Lewis – 12%
This oughta be a nail-biter. I think Cunningham is probably the better candidate to take on Burr (that Marshall ad is downright atrocious), but Marshall should do very well among women and older voters.
OH-Sen:
Lee Fisher – 58%
Jennifer Brunner – 42%
I’ll be completely floored if Brunner wins this. It could be a closer match, perhaps even a little LESS competitive (I could legit see Brunner in the high-30s), but I see no rationale out there for why/how Brunner will win this, unless there’s some hidden turnout factor around the corner. It almost seems a given Fisher wins this. I’m 95% sure.
Howard Coble in NC-06 and Patrick McHenry in NC-10 both have challengers from the teabagger set.
In KY-03, there’s a five-way contest to face off against John Yarmuth. Pizza baron Jeff Reetz seems to be the favorite.
Virginia will hold municipal elections on May 4, which is probably not of interest to out-of-state people, except that Newport News mayoral candidate McKinley Price is part of the bitchin’ moustache club.
Next week is going to be golden!! (and that is not meant as a lib dem vitory pun)
I can’t wait for June! We will have a million more primaries including in California, and I will be watching them from Arizona!
Getting ahead of Lincoln by the middle of May is going to be a tall order.
It will be interesting to see who wins the repub nomination in OH-18. The NRCC has endorsed state senator Gibbs, and the OH republican party has done a few mail pieces for him, but he hasn’t raised any money and the Tea Party has been very active around a few other candidates.
May 8 is Utah, and it might be fun to throw the British election in there just since it’s gotten some airtime here recently.
This is the most exciting primary season since I’ve started voting (2004). I will be filling out my absentee ballot this weekend. Hoeffel, Sestak, and Lentz are my choices. Hoeffel will not win, but I’d rather Onorato win than Wagner. I do not compromise in primaries – I leave the compromising to the general election. Sestak still has a chance. Lentz apparently is the only Democrat on the PA-07 ballot.
So I can vote for Elaine Marshall.
Basically a GOP primary now that Mike Freeman, the only Democrat, has dropped out but is still on the ballot because he qualified.
Since Election Day will probably be a bit of a kick in balls.