AZ-Sen: Glassman Beats Hayworth, McCain Under 50

Public Policy Polling (4/23-25, Arizona voters, 9/18-21/2009 in parens):

Rodney Glassman (D): 33 (25)

John McCain (R-inc): 49 (55)

Undecided: 18 (20)

Rodney Glassman (D): 42

J.D. Hayworth (R): 39

Undecided: 19

(MoE: ±3.4%)

Is nothing sacred? It seems that even John McCain is in the doghouse with voters back in his home state, where is approval rating has fallen to an abysmal 34-55 (down from 42-48 in September). Perhaps not coincidentally, PPP also finds that, by a margin of 55% to 28%, voters consider him to be more of a “partisan voice for national Republicans” than an “independent voice for Arizona”. That might actually help John Sidney in the GOP primary, where his job approval is 48-39, but where a plurality of voters still consider him to be “too liberal”.

We’ll have to wait until tomorrow to see where Hayworth stands in the primary.

31 thoughts on “AZ-Sen: Glassman Beats Hayworth, McCain Under 50”

  1. If open, Democrats should cross-over for Hayworth.  Not only is he more beatable, but the stances Hawyorth would take would have quite like the ones McCain has been taking and it least then it would be masked by faux-moderation.  In other words, force-feed the cat fud.

  2. A lot of people, including myself, speculated Janet Napolitano would run for Senate in 2012.  That seems a bit unlikely looking at her approvals: 41%-48%.  That’s not awful but not really the formula for a winning candidate.  

    Jon Kyl’s not doing great either, though: 35%-39% approvals.  And this (I assume) is among the 2010 electorate: in 2012 it could be more Democratic and ant-Kyl.

    Also, PPP has Obama at 45%-51%.  If he recovers his popularity a bit I could see him possibly pulling in Arizona in 2012.  

  3. Maybe it’s just me, but it seems that incumbents in Utah, Nevada, and Arizona are more disliked than incumbents in the nation as a whole.

    Utah:  Bennett should never be endangered, but the whackos on the right are after him.  Hatch should be worried should he decide to run again in 2012.

    Nevada:  Reid is in major trouble, and so is John Ensign (in 2012).  The Governor is majorally disliked.

    Arizona:  Brewer is not liked much except by the wackos who are happy with her for signing the racial profiling bill.  Kyl is under water, and now McCain is having to fight with a nutjob.

  4. Republicans are going to turn Hispanic Voters Into reliable

    Democratic Voters.Obama In 2008 here got 45 percent of the

    vote and didn’t campagin here expect for ad In the last week.Come 2012 with the economy recorving even more,Seniros

    seeing Health Care reform wasn’t what the right wing

    said it was,with troops out of Iraq and hopefully some troops coming out of afghanstain and with Mitt Romney as

    the likely Republican nominee It along with Missouri

    could be flipped.  

  5. It shows what should have been apparent all along, that a unknown minor officeholder can beat a rightwing Republican in Arizona (and Nevada).  Whether Hayworth will damage McCain enough (or McCain damage McCain enough) for Glassman to be able to beat him is more unlikely, but still possible.

    Especially since that immigration bill works out to a very positive electoral benefit for Team Blue.

  6. those numbers are NOT GOOD NEWS for john mccain; i am beginning to think that this race might become a dem pickup that NO ONE was thinking about six months ago

  7. There is no way in hell Obama approval in AZ is 45-41, he only got 45 percent of the vote in 08 and the political climate is much much worse now. No wonder this poll is screwy, having Glassman beating Hayworth is extremely unlikely. Hayworth is a nut, but there is no way he is loosing to an unknown city councilman from Tucson.

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