12:56am: The AP calls it for Maynard.
12:03am: With 573 of 613 precincts in, Maynard leads Gearheart by 30-28 (or just 400 votes).
10:28pm: With 75% in, Maynard leads Marty Gearheart by 29-26 in WV-03. None of these guys raised any money for this primary.
10:13pm: I’m engrossed in a wave of NE-02 nostalgia. Who would have guessed that Lee Terry would embrace Barack Obama so hard, yet Jim Esch was the one who slagged Hillary Clinton and ultimately quit the Democratic Party!
10:08pm: Touching base in Nebraska, GOP Rep. Lee Terry is winning his primary with a meek 66% with over 25% of precincts reporting. Obama-Terry voters, anyone?
9:59pm: In WV-01, the AP has also called the GOP race for ex-state Rep. David McKinley. In WV-03, longtime incumbent Nick Rahall is sitting at an underwhelming 66%, while Spike Maynard, a corrupt ex-Democrat leads his closest competitor by 30-28 with just over half of precincts in.
9:54pm: Over in Massachusetts, the GOP held Scott Brown’s seat easily.
9:50pm: The AP just called the race for Mike Oliverio.
9:46pm: Put another way, Mollohan needs 61% of the remaining vote in order to eke out a win. Unless he has some amazing precincts left in his favor, that will be very hard. Meanwhile, on the GOP side, McKinley leads Warner 36-25. There are no runoffs in WV.
9:43pm: Unless Mollohan has a serious rabbit in his hat, it looks like he’s pretty screwed. He trails Oliverio by 56-44 with over two thirds of the vote counted.
9:24pm: Oh, yeah, and in GA-09, Tom Graves and Lee Hawkins, both Republicans, are headed to the runoff with 35% and 20%, respectively. Mike Freeman, the lone Dem in this race, scored a whopping 6%. Wow…
9:18pm: With over a third of precincts reporting, Oliverio is up by 12%.
8:52pm: 16% in now in WV-01 and Oliverio’s up by 11. Yipes.
8:27pm: Over in WV-01, with 5 of 670 precincts in, Oliverio leads Mollohan by 55-45. In the GOP primary, McKinley has 66%.
8:13pm: Well hell – Politico’s results aren’t showing all the candidates in GA-09, so scratch that last update. It’s Graves in front with 33, but Steve Tarvin is in second with 22.
7:59pm: With 20% of precincts reporting in GA-09, Tom Graves is at 33 and Chris Cates is at 18. Lee Hawkins is in third with 13, and the lone Dem, Mike Freeman, has just 8.
Georgia Results: Georgia SoS | Associated Press | Politico
West Virginia: Associated Press | Politico
Nebraska: Associated Press | Politico
Polls close at 7:30pm Eastern for the Republican and Democratic primaries in WV-01, where Alan Mollohan appears to be in the race of his life, and at 7pm in Georgia for the special election to replace GOP Rep. Nathan Deal. One other race worth watching is the special election to replace Scott Brown in the Massachusetts State Senate. Polls close at 8pm for that race. And in Nebraska, GOP Rep. Lee Terry faces a teabagger challenge. Polls there close at 9pm.
We’ll be using this thread to follow the results. If you have any good results links in your pocket, please post ’em in the comments.
What’s everyone think?
Mollohan seems done, and this Oliverio guy sounds more right wing than Shelley Moore Capito, the lone Repub rep in WV.
As for Georgia, no real impact relating to the values of this blog (do they pick the far right Repub or the far-far right Repub), but I’ll make the bold prediciton of a runoff LOL.
As for Scott Brown, I’ll pick Smulowitz the D.
And I’ll probably be wrong about all 3 lol.
Here’s a link to the results of tonight’s GA races:
http://sos.georgia.gov/electio…
mollohan gets around 60% of the vote, the two guys mentioned in the daily digest go to a runoff, and nobody cares about Nebraska’s 2nd…no incumbent republicans in r-leaning districts should be worried this year
33% in and he has 75% of the vote.
http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/f…
I’m predicting a narrow Mollohan victory, around 52-53%. I’m usually wrong on these primary things, though.
He has 22% of the vote.
I saw that it was mentioned earlier that Brown’s former MA Senate district has a name to it. I think it would be interesting if we added names to our numbering system of Congressional districts, although perhaps it would be difficult given the size of some districts and the complex gerrymandering involved in many states. Nevertheless, at least it would provide some kind of community aspect to districts that a number cannot simply provide and hopefully some really interesting names !
Rahall looks like he’s off to a fairly convincing victory, right now at 65% with 9 of 614 precincts in. It would be nice to see that number finish above 70%. Gearheart is leading the three-way battle on the Republican side.
Are from the Northern Panhandle, so it’s not surprising McKinley takes the initial lead on the Republican side.
Mollohan is from Marion county.
Looks bad for the Dem, if reports from multiple MA sources are true. Supposedly Ross (R) won Smulowitz hometown of Needham, by a pretty big margin. Needham is the biggest liberal center in the district.
Smulowitz is telling the press that Ross won. Ross outperformed Scott Brown here. He won Needham by 200 votes, a town Obama carried with 66% and Coakley carried with 52%.
No link yet.
Mollohan is losing too many counties.
Spike Maynard, the former judge who was in the back pocket of Massey Coal CEO, Chairman and President Don Blakenship is ahead by 4 points (32-28-28)
That Gilmer County, home of my ancestral roots, is coming in
strong for Mollohan.
Judging by what’s left, I think Hawkins will secure a spot in the runoff.
Freeman gets just 6%.
Ok seems like Oliverio is gonna take this… and he’s obviously to the right. However, what does this do for our general election prospects. Truth is i was never comfortable with Mollohan, he had all these ethics issues that where going to burn us in Nov.
I dont know much about West Virgina politics… but don’t we stand a chance of holding this seat with a less ethically-tainted Oliverio?
Considering his challenger only raised $25k or so, that’s not very inspiring.
If Oliverio wins in November, it seems that he would be a highly likely candidate for a party change, especially if Republicans have a majority or are close to it. Essentially, Mollohan’s ethics have really cost us here, as I do not think it was policies that made the difference. Perhaps it would have been wise to run a moderate and ethical, as opposed to Oliverio, primary candidate against Mollohan. And unfortunately the district is quite conservative, which could present challenges for retaking the seat in 2012.
http://timeswv.com/local/x9934…
I definitely see it as highly unlikely that Oliverio will remain in the Democratic Party, even if he wins in November. And if he does remain in our party, he will certainly be a Bobby Bright.
the number of D vs. R voting in WV-3
http://www.mikeoliverio.com/is…
Debt clock and all!!!
While your there check out his education page. Almost compete state and local control of education, why West Virgina is the academic champion of the Western World!!
We saw this even in IN and NC. Now even those safe in the primaries like Nick Rahall and Lee Terry lose at least 1/3 of the vote.
just called it for Oliverio.
Looks like another open red seat for the DEMS to defend. With no other major races for WV DEMS to come out for Oliverio better hope he can turn out the vote. A GOP vs a DINO in a low turnout election…
WV Democrats are a different breed.
Mollohan’s ethic problems, his vote for HCR and his initial support for Cap & Trade and anti-incumbancy mood doomed Mollohan.
Can just see the drumbeat and narrative…incumbents in trouble = DEMS in trouble. Better win Murtha’s seat since Abercrombie’s is all but gone. Will any wobblely DEMS in states with upcoming filing deadlines opt out?
With Oliverio being considerably to the right of Mollohan, what do Mollohan’s supporters do in November? I wonder what percent of them will sit out the House race in November because they don’t want to choose between a true Republican and a Republican-Lite.
I the only one who thinks Oliverio will actually do better than Mollohan in the general? Don’t get me wrong, I’m pissed he won, because he is soooo far to the right. However he is scandal free and a good old school dem to boot and the district has many old school dems who would be more likely to vote for him rather than more liberal Mollohan. Also I would say he will do very well with conservative leaning independents. He may even get some Republican support as well. I don’t know why anyone would write this race off, I would put it at tossup tilts D for now. How does an Oliverio victory affect SSP’s rating?
Between that and the wasted Hawaii monies how much has been wasted? I know the Dems are flush but geez…
The only Gearhart stronghold left is 9 precincts in Mercer, and he’s down by over 400 votes. Unless the Lincoln County people come in from their jenga break to discover Gearhart won in a landslide.
That’s certainly good news for Democrats. I remember Clinton helping Niki Tsongas in Massachusetts win her seat a few years back, which seemed to give her a final boost in an underwhelming campaign. My guess would be that Clinton is equally well liked in this district, and his endorsement could make some difference.
Why/When did he quit the party?
Just as Dems controlled Arkansas for generations, and many of their top pols historically are Dems, Arkansas has been moving away from the Democratic party in recent years even though they dominate at the state level. There is only so long a state will vote Hard right in presidential elections and then for Dems in state elections.
With the Lincoln seat going to the Repubs almost assuredly, its the beginning of the end for Dems in Arkansas. It won’t be overnight, but Arkansas will probably see 2 Repub Senators once Pryor resigns. We’re probably not far from Arkansas having a Repub governor too. And from there some of the in-state mvoes will begin in their state houses with party switching.
I think WV will follow this trend almost identically, but we’ll see. WV tried the Repub governor a few times (Underwood twice even) but I think the evolution is definitely underway in WV to be the next Arkansas.
Its why Dems need to make Maine the next Massachusetts (prior to Brown winning Massachusetts lol).