Rasmussen Reports, You Decide, Vol. 17

AK-Gov (5/6, likely voters):

Sean Parnell (R-inc): 58

Ethan Berkowitz (D): 30

Sean Parnell (R-inc): 62

Hollis French (D): 24

Sean Parnell (R-inc): 62

Bob Poe (D): 21

Ralph Samuels (R): 43

Ethan Berkowitz (D): 36

Ralph Samuels (R): 48

Hollis French (D): 26

Ralph Samuels (R): 47

Bob Poe (D): 23

(MoE: ±4.5%)

CA-Sen (5/12, likely voters, 4/12 in parens):

Barbara Boxer (D-inc): 42 (43)

Tom Campbell (R): 41 (41)

Barbara Boxer (D-inc): 45 (42)

Carly Fiorina (R): 38 (38)

Barbara Boxer (D-inc): 46 (42)

Chuck DeVore (R): 40 (39)

(MoE: ±4.5%)

CO-Gov (5/11, likely voters, 5/14 in parens):

John Hickenlooper (D): 41 (42)

Scott McInnis (R): 47 (48)

(MoE: ±3%)

ID-Sen (5/11, likely voters):

Tom Sullivan (D): 22

Mike Crapo (R-inc): 66

(MoE: ±4.5%)

ID-Gov (5/11, likely voters, 3/23 in parens):

Keith Allred (D): 32 (28)

Butch Otter (R-inc): 54 (60)

(MoE: ±4.5%)

KS-Gov (5/11, likely voters, 2/24 in parens):

Tom Holland (D): 27 (33)

Sam Brownback (R): 58 (55)

(MoE: ±4.5%)

KS-Sen (5/11, likely voters):

David Haley (D): 25

Jerry Moran (R): 60

Lisa Johnston (D): 25

Jerry Moran (R): 61

Charles Schollenberger (D): 25

Jerry Moran (R): 59

David Haley (D): 27

Todd Tiahrt (R): 58

Lisa Johnston (D): 29

Todd Tiahrt (R): 57

Charles Schollenberger (D): 30

Todd Tiahrt (R): 55

(MoE: ±4.5%)

MA-Gov (5/10, likely voters, 4/5 in parens):

Deval Patrick (D): 45 (35)

Charlie Baker (R): 31 (27)

Tim Cahill (I): 14 (23)

Grace Ross (D): 27

Charlie Baker (R): 32

Tim Cahill (I): 16

(MoE: ±4.5%)

NH-Sen (5/11, likely voters, 4/7 parens):

Paul Hodes (D): 38 (35)

Kelly Ayotte (R): 50 (50)

Paul Hodes (D): 37 (37)

Bill Binnie (R): 49 (49)

Paul Hodes (D): 43 (39)

Ovide Lamontagne (R): 38 (44)

(MoE: ±4.5%)

31 thoughts on “Rasmussen Reports, You Decide, Vol. 17”

  3. How come even spammy Rasmussen hasn’t released a poll of the IA-Gov GOP primary?

    We still have not had a single public poll by anyone of this primary contest. Branstad formed an exploratory committee in October and formally announced his candidacy in January. The primary is on June 8.

    I expect Selzer will poll the race sometime this month, but come on–it’s ridiculous considering how many other primaries around the country have been regularly polled.

  4. California and New Hampshire are concerning. I don’t see California going to a Republican – eventually the votes in LA and San Francisco will be enough to push Boxer. New Hampshire? I’m not so sure.

    What’s that poll about in Idaho? Is Otter in any sort of trouble? Is there some sort of ethics investigation I haven’t been caught up on?

  5. Interesting that among the Senate candidates, the sitting state senator (Haley) does worst. Probably because Haley is kinda nuts….and he’s the least known, apparently, despite two previous statewide campaigns, which is weird….

    Also, Lisa Johnston, who just announced her candidacy two weeks before the poll was taken and is basically a no-name who’s something like an assistant dean at a small university in Johnson County…she’s best-known? …Even though Schollenberger has been running for months? Do they think she’s someone else? And only 30% of people don’t know who she is? Dude, I follow Kansas pretty closely and I barely know who she is. Weird.

    The gubernatorial numbers are also weird. Holland should be going up, not down. Meh, Rasmussen. Oh, wait, duh. The sample is super-conservative … Obama’s at 35/64 (with 48% strongly disapproving). That’s a conservative sample, even for Kansas. I’d guess he’s probably actually between 40/60 and 45/55. It’s even more conservative than the last sample….which I guess accounts for the movements…whatever, Rasmussen. I don’t even know why I even bother with you.  

  6. why did Rasmussen poll the California Senate race, but not our Governor’s race at the same time?  Did the numbers look good for Brown, and therefore ran against Fox News’s prime directive?

  7. I’ll only be enthusiastic once the three ultra-conservative third party candidates (including Marvin Richardson, whose legal name [on the ballot] is Pro-Life) start getting double digits when you add them together. Hopefully that can pull Walt through.

    Downballot hardly looks good for us this year.  There are 15 senate districts and 29 house races with only GOP, while there are 3 House races with only Dems. And there’s even more that only have Constitution and Libertarian whackos with the GOP. That means we have to win about half of the seats we’re contesting to keep our numbers where they are right now (just above 1/3).

    And we’ve left one of the biggest combinations of bigotry, corruption, insanity and nonsense that ever stalked our planet uppoposed: our treasurer, Ron Crane.

    But I am hopeful that Vaugn Ward will win out a week from Tuesday, as his internal problems never come to an end; Raul Labrador or Allan Salzberg would be better bets for the GOP. I would definitely love it if Harley Brown or Mike Chadwick won, though (they don’t have a chance in primary or general). One good thing is that the Liberts have a sort of bigwig running in the form of Mike Washburn, though his sight is indistinguishable from a three-year-old’s.

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