144 thoughts on “Weekly Open Thread: What Races Are You Interested In?”
and make it look like a YouTube Poop.
Also, apparently, the horse supports it.
He looks like it’s a commercial for a high fiber diet.
What does the Alabama Agriculture Commissioner even do? Maybe its me, but I really do not understand the rationale behind electing all these commissioners in some states. I know it has its roots in the Progressive Era and it was suppose to make these agencies independent, but why do we still have them?
This is the greatest ad i’ve seen all week. Equally hilarious in comparison to the ad mocking evolution from the Alabama governor’s race that was out i think last week.
One major factual inaccuracy though… about the thousands of illegals flooding into Alabama.
to be clear.. NO ONE tries to break into Alabama. They all try to get out of Alabama.
I can imagine the rednecks now. “I love that there commercial and how he speaks American and what not, and he got a gun and looks like he just bout ta be goin huntin so he must be just like me, hell I best be gettin out ta vote for this there guy”.
I was thinking of what Joseph Cao should have done instead of sticking to his weary re-election bid. I know he wants another term in the House but I don’t think it’s going to happen. What he should have done is get a conservative as hell voting record, go farther to the right that DeMint, and attend as many Tea Parties as humanly possible. Of course he would not stand a chance in his district but he could have primaried Vitter if he did all of that. I remember polls showing Dardene competitive and if Cao would not have started off moderate he would have been a formidable candidate in the primary. He is likely to lose his seat over his HCR flip-flop and I wonder if he regrets not taking on Vitter.
My favorite comment, from a fantastic week full of great stuff:
“If you can’t win a seat that is trending Republican in a year like this, then where is the wave?”
— Former Rep. Tom Davis (R-VA), quoted by the New York Times, on Democrats winning the PA-12 special election last night.
Davis was NRCC chairman for 2 cycles, so he knows a thing or two about elections.
IIRC, he bailed from running in 2008 because he thought he’d be bounced at the VA GOP nominating convention by the extremely conservative activist GOP delegates. Sort of early teabaggers?
…..
O_o
Sigh.
….that is all.
Ras’ poll suggests that Sestak is starting the contest in a very good place.
If Sestak can pull this off, I wouldn’t be at all surprised to see him in the VP slot on the 2016 ticket (in terms of his political profile, he reminds of a more military Joe Biden).
McMahon led after first ballot. Calling for switches now. Most Schiff delegates switching to her, some Simmons delegates. She could win it after the switches. Simmons would probably drop out, Schiff is gathering sigs.
NRCC favorite Jim Gibbons released a new tv ad today. I don’t see anything compelling about his message, and I continue to believe State Senator Brad Zaun will win the primary.
I live in the Louisville media market and I am loving all of the very negative coverage Paul has been receiving. It’s been in all of the news promos and everything. To the uneducated voter Paul plain and simply sounds like a racist weirdo. I don’t think he’s a racist, just a weirdo. It is amazing how he is imploding. He sounds like a whiney pampered baby wondering why people aren’t just talking about his victory. Why would he wonder why the honeymoon is over? This is a freaking campaign for US Senate. It ain’t meant to be a honeymoon in any way Rand! Canceling Meet The Press over “exhaustion” now that just has Martha Coakley written all over it. Get some sleeping pills or something, how do expect to do those 16+ hour days on Capitol Hill? Meet The Press is a good opportunity to try and back track some more and do damage control. But no he keeps on blabbing with the whole BP thing. Not even DeMint will stick up for him. Wow I sincerely hope I’m not offending any Republican users but Paul is plain and simply an idiot. Congrats Senator Conway!
I think democratic prospects in WI-Gov and NH-Sen are better than last (pro-republican) polls for these races show.
And I hope Djou loses tomorrow for HI-01.
I know it’s rasmussen so all the caveats included but they show a massive surge for Nikki Haley in the South Carolina GOP Governor primary:
I hope SSP has a separate thread on it. Djou has really benefited from a split Democratic vote and I’d say there is a 70% chance he wins the seat. Don’t think the narrative will as strong as with PA-12 because of the split Dem vote and the fact that it will be much harder for the GOP to defend this seat in November than if they had picked up John Murtha’s seat.
I’m kinda worried this will happen with Paul.
I like the message. First, make sure people remember that things were better when Barnes was governor. Second, heal the rift with teachers and remind them that Perdue has been disasterous for them. Three, possibly reach out to suburbanites who may not typically vote Democratic by dealing with foreclosures.
I have to admit the last few months of his non-candidacy (capping with him giving a speech about taking advantage of foreclosures) has me a lot less worried about him.
We all laughed hard at Rasmussen’s KY-Sen post-primary poll that had Rand Paul up 59-34.
But now Rasmussen has topped that with AR-Sen: Boozman 66, Lincoln 28. No, not a typo. They have it 66-28. As in, the kind of numbers Andrew Cuomo gets against all comers in NY-Gov.
And they have Boozman up 60-33 on Halter, which would be laughable by itself if not for the Lincoln match-up.
I’ve lost all remaining respect for Rasmussen, not that I had much left for them anyway. But these numbers are beyond what make sense to anyone at all.
Not sure whether almost means 49k or 35k. Either way, I’m still undecided about who I’m voting for.
On a slightly unrelated topic, I’d appreciate it if someone could help because the RI BoE site is a bit unclear. Do absentee ballots have to be received or postmarked by the date of an election? The primary is September 14, and I’m going to leave the country at the end of August, so I’ll leave too early to vote in person but too late to be sure my ballot would arrive by the primary date.
Leinenkugel has dropped out and endorsed Ron Johnson. Ron Johnson is starting his speech to convention delegates. He is the last to speak. Voting will take place after he is done. He may be able to win the nomination today
to the man without whose sex scandal there would be no John Boehner: Buz Lukens.
Gov. Mitch Daniels seems less than convinced that holding a special election is worth the considerable expense when, at least according to his numbers, the winner would only serve “20 days”, according to “somebody”.
FWIW, Dan Parker, the state Dem chairman, seems to be with Daniels on this.
and make it look like a YouTube Poop.
Also, apparently, the horse supports it.
He looks like it’s a commercial for a high fiber diet.
What does the Alabama Agriculture Commissioner even do? Maybe its me, but I really do not understand the rationale behind electing all these commissioners in some states. I know it has its roots in the Progressive Era and it was suppose to make these agencies independent, but why do we still have them?
This is the greatest ad i’ve seen all week. Equally hilarious in comparison to the ad mocking evolution from the Alabama governor’s race that was out i think last week.
One major factual inaccuracy though… about the thousands of illegals flooding into Alabama.
to be clear.. NO ONE tries to break into Alabama. They all try to get out of Alabama.
I can imagine the rednecks now. “I love that there commercial and how he speaks American and what not, and he got a gun and looks like he just bout ta be goin huntin so he must be just like me, hell I best be gettin out ta vote for this there guy”.
I was thinking of what Joseph Cao should have done instead of sticking to his weary re-election bid. I know he wants another term in the House but I don’t think it’s going to happen. What he should have done is get a conservative as hell voting record, go farther to the right that DeMint, and attend as many Tea Parties as humanly possible. Of course he would not stand a chance in his district but he could have primaried Vitter if he did all of that. I remember polls showing Dardene competitive and if Cao would not have started off moderate he would have been a formidable candidate in the primary. He is likely to lose his seat over his HCR flip-flop and I wonder if he regrets not taking on Vitter.
My favorite comment, from a fantastic week full of great stuff:
http://politicalwire.com/archi…
Davis was NRCC chairman for 2 cycles, so he knows a thing or two about elections.
IIRC, he bailed from running in 2008 because he thought he’d be bounced at the VA GOP nominating convention by the extremely conservative activist GOP delegates. Sort of early teabaggers?
…..
O_o
Sigh.
….that is all.
Ras’ poll suggests that Sestak is starting the contest in a very good place.
If Sestak can pull this off, I wouldn’t be at all surprised to see him in the VP slot on the 2016 ticket (in terms of his political profile, he reminds of a more military Joe Biden).
Dick Blumenthal nominated by acclamation:
http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/ey…
McMahon led after first ballot. Calling for switches now. Most Schiff delegates switching to her, some Simmons delegates. She could win it after the switches. Simmons would probably drop out, Schiff is gathering sigs.
NRCC favorite Jim Gibbons released a new tv ad today. I don’t see anything compelling about his message, and I continue to believe State Senator Brad Zaun will win the primary.
Bottom line: I doubt any of these clowns poses a real threat to Leonard Boswell. We are fortunate that the GOP ran its strongest candidates against him (Jeff Lamberti) in 2006, a great year for Iowa Democrats.
I live in the Louisville media market and I am loving all of the very negative coverage Paul has been receiving. It’s been in all of the news promos and everything. To the uneducated voter Paul plain and simply sounds like a racist weirdo. I don’t think he’s a racist, just a weirdo. It is amazing how he is imploding. He sounds like a whiney pampered baby wondering why people aren’t just talking about his victory. Why would he wonder why the honeymoon is over? This is a freaking campaign for US Senate. It ain’t meant to be a honeymoon in any way Rand! Canceling Meet The Press over “exhaustion” now that just has Martha Coakley written all over it. Get some sleeping pills or something, how do expect to do those 16+ hour days on Capitol Hill? Meet The Press is a good opportunity to try and back track some more and do damage control. But no he keeps on blabbing with the whole BP thing. Not even DeMint will stick up for him. Wow I sincerely hope I’m not offending any Republican users but Paul is plain and simply an idiot. Congrats Senator Conway!
I think democratic prospects in WI-Gov and NH-Sen are better than last (pro-republican) polls for these races show.
And I hope Djou loses tomorrow for HI-01.
I know it’s rasmussen so all the caveats included but they show a massive surge for Nikki Haley in the South Carolina GOP Governor primary:
http://www.rasmussenreports.co…
This could well be the Tea Party’s third big victory of this election cycle so far.
It took him about a year to finally say it but we know what job he wants.
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/201…
I hope SSP has a separate thread on it. Djou has really benefited from a split Democratic vote and I’d say there is a 70% chance he wins the seat. Don’t think the narrative will as strong as with PA-12 because of the split Dem vote and the fact that it will be much harder for the GOP to defend this seat in November than if they had picked up John Murtha’s seat.
I’m kinda worried this will happen with Paul.
I like the message. First, make sure people remember that things were better when Barnes was governor. Second, heal the rift with teachers and remind them that Perdue has been disasterous for them. Three, possibly reach out to suburbanites who may not typically vote Democratic by dealing with foreclosures.
http://senatus.wordpress.com/2…
I have to admit the last few months of his non-candidacy (capping with him giving a speech about taking advantage of foreclosures) has me a lot less worried about him.
I can’t find a link- its just stated on the front page of http://www.lapolitics.com
We all laughed hard at Rasmussen’s KY-Sen post-primary poll that had Rand Paul up 59-34.
But now Rasmussen has topped that with AR-Sen: Boozman 66, Lincoln 28. No, not a typo. They have it 66-28. As in, the kind of numbers Andrew Cuomo gets against all comers in NY-Gov.
And they have Boozman up 60-33 on Halter, which would be laughable by itself if not for the Lincoln match-up.
I’ve lost all remaining respect for Rasmussen, not that I had much left for them anyway. But these numbers are beyond what make sense to anyone at all.
http://www.rifuture.org/david-…
Not sure whether almost means 49k or 35k. Either way, I’m still undecided about who I’m voting for.
On a slightly unrelated topic, I’d appreciate it if someone could help because the RI BoE site is a bit unclear. Do absentee ballots have to be received or postmarked by the date of an election? The primary is September 14, and I’m going to leave the country at the end of August, so I’ll leave too early to vote in person but too late to be sure my ballot would arrive by the primary date.
via the Denver Post…
Senate (D)
Romanoff – 60.4%
Bennet – 39.6%
Senate (R)
Ken Buck – 77%
Cleve Tidwell – 15%
Others – 3%
Norton and Wiens didn’t participate.
Governor (R)
Dan Maes – 49.35%
Scott McInnis – 48.89%
some other guy – 1%
http://azstarnet.com/news/loca…
She ran the state Department of Health Services under Govs Hull and Napolitano, so she may have some connections beyond her time in the legislature.
Rasmussen’s outdone themselves this time!!
http://www.rasmussenreports.co…
Leinenkugel has dropped out and endorsed Ron Johnson. Ron Johnson is starting his speech to convention delegates. He is the last to speak. Voting will take place after he is done. He may be able to win the nomination today
to the man without whose sex scandal there would be no John Boehner: Buz Lukens.
Gov. Mitch Daniels seems less than convinced that holding a special election is worth the considerable expense when, at least according to his numbers, the winner would only serve “20 days”, according to “somebody”.
FWIW, Dan Parker, the state Dem chairman, seems to be with Daniels on this.