Public Policy Polling (6/10-13, likely voters, 1/9-11 in parens):
Larry Kissell (D-inc): 48 (54)
Tim D’Annunzio (R): 26 (38)
Undecided: 26 (7)Larry Kissell (D-inc): 41 (53)
Harold Johnson (R): 35 (39)
Undecided: 23 (8)Larry Kissell (D-inc): 40
Harold Johnson (R): 30
Wendell Fant (I): 14
Undecided: 16
(MoE: ±4.9%)
Interestingly, ex-Kissell staffer Wendell Fant, whom the SEIU is trying to push into the race on an independent ballot line, actually seems to help Kissell by pulling more votes away from Johnson. Fant draws a nearly equal share of liberals, moderates, and conservatives, and 12% of Republican votes compared to 11% of Democrats. However, that would probably change after his positions become more obvious over the course of a campaign, I’d bet. As it is right now, it seems that the presence of another protest option on the ballot helps Kissell’s top lines.
In any case, it’s clear that Kissell’s position has become much more dangerous since PPP’s last look at this race at the height of HCR-mania in January.
I’m surprised that the number of undecided voters jumped up as much as they did. Going from single digits to the 20’s is interesting.
the controversy surrounding Mark Kirk’s military record has hurt him down in Illinois: Alexi leads Kirk 31-30
http://www.publicpolicypolling…
about this race until after the runoff between Johnson and D’Annunzio. If the latter wins the runoff this race moves to Solid D I think, but if the former wins, it’s probably a Lean. That’s what I’ve thought all along, and the poll pretty much confirms that.