Quinnipiac (7/7-13, likely primary voters, no trend lines):
Tom Foley (R): 48
Mike Fedele (R): 13
Oz Griebel (R): 7
Undecided: 32
(MoE: 3.4%)Ned Lamont (D): 46
Dan Malloy (D): 37
Undecided: 16
(MoE: 3.8%)
Since Quinnipiac has shifted for the first time to a likely primary voter model away from merely registered voters, I’m leaving out any trend lines (though you can see their last primary poll here). However, Quinnipiac also tested the primaries without a likely voter screen, which resulted in a 43-9 lead for Foley over Fedele and a 46-26 lead for Ned Lamont over Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy.
Lamont is also looking pretty good in the general election — and so is Dan Malloy (registered voters, 1/14-19 in parens):
Ned Lamont (D): 49 (41)
Michael Fedele (R): 27 (32)
Undecided: 19 (23)Ned Lamont (D): 45 (38)
Tom Foley (R): 33 (36)
Undecided: 17 (21)Ned Lamont (D): 49
Oz Greibel (R): 25
Undecided: 21Dan Malloy (D): 49 (37)
Michael Fedele (R): 26 (31)
Undecided: 20 (27)Dan Malloy (D): 44 (37)
Tom Foley (R): 33 (33)
Undecided: 19 (24)Dan Malloy (D): 51
Oz Greibel (R): 25
Undecided: 21
(MoE: ±2.7%)
The Republicans in this race are still generally very unknown (nearly 60% of registered voters haven’t heard enough about Foley, a former US Ambassador, to form an opinion of him, and nearly 80% feel the same about Fedele, the current Lt. Governor), but Lamont and Malloy are starting off in fairly good shape, approval-wise. Lamont has a 49-21 favorable rating, indicating he’s been able to shake off any baggage he may have accumulated from his big-spending ’06 campaign, and Malloy is looking sharp, too, at 41-11. Not a bad place to be at all.
I want Lamont to win, just for the effect it would have for Lieberman to see his hated opponent become Governor.
if Lamont wins in CT and Dems lost in DC?
in 2006 and still can’t take him too seriously. So i will probably root for Malloy. Foley is, probably, the only Republican who can give both a race, but in absence of Jodi Rell Republican bench looks very unconvincing…
Reid is ahead 44-37! http://politicalwire.com/archi…
A mix of luck and a great campaign staff made Reid the comeback kid.