SSP Daily Digest: 8/5 (Afternoon Edition)

IL-Sen: Barack Obama’s in Chicago today to help get Alexi Giannoulias across the finish line, at least on the fundraising front, where he’s faltered lately. The fundraiser he’s appearing at today is projected to raise $1 million for Giannoulias’s coffers. Meanwhile, this is a little gossipier than we usually like to get into, but you might check out Chicago Magazine’s interview with Mark Kirk‘s ex-wife, which, jaw-dropping as it is, seems to raise even more questions than it answers, especially regarding Kirk’s former aide and Svengali-figure Dodie McCracken.

NH-Sen: Here’s an indication that Bill Binnie still has to be taken seriously in the GOP Senate primary in New Hampshire: a conservative group called Cornerstone Action (affiliated with the Family Research Council and Focus on the Family) has launched a $125K ad buy attacking Binnie on his socially moderate stances (he’s pro-choice and apparently pro-gay marriage). While Cornerstone hasn’t specifically backed Kelly Ayotte, Binnie’s camp is trying to link them together.

CO-Gov: Democratic candidate John Hickenlooper announced his pick for a running mate today: the president of CSU-Pueblo and former Director of the state Dept. of Regulatory Agencies, Joe Garcia (no, not the FL-25 one). Meanwhile, Dan Maes — who was a Some Dude until Scott McInnis imploded — is starting to rival Sharron Angle in terms of his ability to get into the digest every single day for having said something dumb or having some terrible detail from his past revealed. Today, the Denver Post is out with a comprehensive list of his delinquent filings over the years, ranging from annual reports to the state’s SoS office for his credit reporting business for the years 2007-2010, to a lien against his house for not paying his homeowners’ association dues for seven months.

FL-Gov: Ex-Gov. Jeb Bush is throwing a lifeline to Bill McCollum. He’ll join McCollum on the stump for appearances around the state on Monday. Meanwhile, the spotlight is starting to swing over from Columbia/HCA, Rick Scott’s old healthcare company, to his new one, Solantic. The Miami Herald looks at various lawsuits that Solantic has racked up, ranging from filing false medical information with the state to discrimination lawsuits.

GA-Gov: Breaking with Sarah Palin and Mitt Romney (who’ve endorsed suburban Karen Handel), Mike Huckabee announced his support today for the more southern-fried Nathan Deal in the GOP gubernatorial runoff.

MI-Gov: Looks like Rep. Peter Hoekstra, douchebag to the bitter end, may need some time to pout/mourn after his sizable loss in the GOP gubernatorial primary to Rick Snyder. He sent an e-mail to supporters yesterday thanking them but making no mention of support for Snyder. A Hoekstra endorsement, of course, would go a long way toward helping consolidate conservatives behind Snyder, whose moderation may leave them cold.

SC-Gov: Nikki Haley has liked to emphasize her accounting background on the campaign trail, but she filed her federal income taxes more than a year late in both 2005 and 2006, and has accrued more than $4,000 in late-payment penalties since then.

CT-05: Justin Bernier has filed a complaint with the state’s SoS against GOP primary rival state Sen. Sam Caligiuri. Caligiuri sent out a mailer calling himself the “Republican nominee,” not the “Republican-endorsed candidate” (which he is, thanks to the convention). Of course, the mailer then asks for the recipients’ votes in the Republican primary, which according to elementary logic would mean that he is not yet the Republican nominee, but, then again, Republican usually =/= logic.

MI-02: Jay Riemersma, who finished 2nd in the open seat GOP primary in MI-02 by a margin of about 700 votes to ex-state Rep. Wayne Huizenga, has said he won’t seek a recount. Not that a protracted battle would have been any aid to Democrats, who aren’t expected to be a factor in November in this dark-red district. (A recount, of course, may still loom in MI-01, where there’s either a 1-point or 14-point gap, depending on your source, and both GOPers have claimed victory.)

Washington: PPP looked at a whole lot of miscellany in their Washington Senate poll, too. They look ahead to both the 2012 Senate and gubernatorial races, finding Maria Cantwell in fine shape for now: she’s at 46/38 approval, and she leads Rep. Dave Reichert (not likely to run) 47-41 and Rep. Cathy McMorris Rodgers (who’s largely unknown statewide) 49-37. The gubernatorial numbers for now favor the likely GOP nominee, AG Rob McKenna, though. He leads Democratic state Sen. majority leader Lisa Brown 47-29 (although her problem is that she’s completely unknown, with 81% with no opinion, though she as Generic D is probably also weighed down by Chris Gregoire’s approvals, currently at 39/52… I’d have been more interested in seeing how Rep. Jay Inslee matches up, although he may be just as unknown statewide). Finally, they find a 41-41 tie in support for I-1098, which is on the November ballot and would create an income tax for high earners. SurveyUSA, of all people, has given a big lead to “yes” on this initiative, so it’ll be interesting to see how that shakes out.

State legislatures: You may recall Louis Jacobson’s piece at Governing Magazine from last month where he handicapped the most competitive state legislative chambers this year. He’s out with an expanded version, with every state legislature included and with more detailed writeups. Well worth a read (and maybe even a bookmark). Another similar piece worth checking out today is from Taniel, writing at Open Left, with a comprehensive rundown of who is likely to control the redistricting process in all the states that don’t have independent commissions (or only one CD).

Rasmussen:

CA-Sen: Barbara Boxer (D-inc) 45%, Carly Fiorina (R) 40%

KS-Sen: Lisa Johnston (D) 28%, Jerry Moran (R) 61%

OH-Gov: Ted Strickland (D-inc) 42%, John Kasich (R) 45%

97 thoughts on “SSP Daily Digest: 8/5 (Afternoon Edition)”

  1. for how donation played out.  Not much of an apology and I think the CEO simply felt the need to issue an apology only because the downtown office is widely known for having many LGBTers working there.  They create many a power gay.

  2. Does GA have a sore loser law?  Given how acrimonious the runoff seems to be getting, could Deal run as a 3rd party candidate if he loses the runoff?

  3. vaguely politically relevant, so I’m throwing it out there. I can’t help but wonder if Scott Brown even wants to get reelected in 2012; he doesn’t seem to be trying. First he voted against a ridiculously moderate and compromised Don’t Ask Don’t Tell repel that was actually a TRIGGER dependent on the Defense Departments ultimate recommendation, and then he grandstanded on Financial Reform, (after getting special exceptions just for MA banks), and now, today, he voted against Elena Kagan, right as every other New England Republican voted for her. MA voters can’t seriously think this guy is a moderate still.

    Oh, and I know this is against the normal rules, but I’m flat out going to pull a bit of DKos purity trolling and say I’m looking forward to Heineman defeating Ben Nelson in 2012. Ben Nelson has hurt Democrats this entire session. It was him and Collins, (more so than Specter and Snowe), who got the stimulus slashed into a smaller bill. He set Democrats back continuously on healthcare reform, he refused to back bipartisan Financial reform, and now he’s voted against Kagan’s confirmation. I think there are limits, and electorally I don’t see how having a Senator like Nelson helps Democrats, (and recall that senior Democratic Senators  admitted they’d stopped trying to negotiate with Nelson on Financial reform and were instead pursuing Republican votes).

  4. said it was down to them and Mason Dixon. Picked PPP cause they release more transparency.

    Kudos to PPP, hope they double the releases with their normal work AND with what ever Kos hires them to do.

    Says someone else is getting hired for weekly state of the nation polling.

  5. If Chris Gregoire is nominated and confirmed as Solicitor General after Oct. 3, a special election would be held in 2011. This would be in addition to regularly scheduled elections in MS, KY, and LA. http://blog.thenewstribune.com

    There is another potential 2011 election, if Manhcin is elected to the senate, and if state law is interpreted as saying a 2011 special is needed. Thats not really certain, just like the Sen law.  

  6. Since Jay Inslee has held elective offices on both sides of the mountains, he is probably better known statewide than McMorris Rogers who is a relative unknown to westside voters.

  7. how many senators (current and past) have openly declared their support for gay marriage? the only ones I can think of are Russ Feingold, Barbara Boxer, Lincoln Chafee, Sheldon Whitehouse, Chris Dodd, Ted Kennedy, Kirsten Gillibrand, I think also Dianne Feinstein? Any others?

  8. Indiana Senate Poll

    Coats-50

    Ellsworth-35

    Yeah I know it’s not great, not at all but Ellsworth is still unkown. Once voters get to know him it will tighten. The race has really not begun yet. Do you know how many comercials I have seen from either canidate. Zero. Coats has the upper hand and stands a good chance of winning but it will be by a closer margin. If Coats wins it will be because of the R by his name, that means a lot. However if Ellsworth wins it will be despite the D by his name. This poll is not horrible news, it is what I expect for the time being.  

    Donnelly-52

    Wacky Jakie-35

    No surprises here.

    Chabot-51

    Driehaus-41

    Closer than I expected

    Dahlkemper-46

    Kelly-42

    http://voices.washingtonpost.c

  9. http://tpmdc.talkingpointsmemo

    The new survey, conducted August 2-4, is in agreement with an internal poll  released Thursday by the Meek campaign, which also showed Meek and Greene in a statistical dead heat. Both polls are at odds with a July 27 Quinnipiac survey, which put Greene ahead by 10 points.

    The M-D datapoint suggests that at least that one Meek internal poll is credible.

    Or perhaps Meek’s campaign is actually running a significant number of ads now.

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