SurveyUSA (8/31-9/1, likely voters, no trend lines):
John Yarmuth (D-inc): 47
Todd Lally (R): 45
Ed Martin (L): 1
Michael Hansen (I): 1
Let’s take stock of the polling situation:
- In early August, Braun Research, polling for local cable news kings cn|2, gave Yarmuth a 52-29 lead over Lally in early August.
- A Yarmuth internal by Cooper & Secrest conducted in late June showed Yarmuth up by 58-32.
- A Lally internal by the obscure Rivercity Polling group, which was conducted over a period of nine days in late June, found Yarmuth up by only 44-43.
Let’s take a look at how SUSA’s estimation of the LV universe has shifted over the past three cycles:
I’m not saying that’s right, but I am saying that’s scary!