Market Shares Corp for the Chicago Tribune/WGN (8/28-9/1, likely voters, no trend lines):
Alexi Giannoulias (D): 34
Mark Kirk (R): 34
LeAlan Jones (G): 6
Mike Labno (L): 3
Undecided: 22
(MoE: ±4%)
One area where Giannoulias can gain some ground is among African American voters, who favor him over Kirk by 58-3 margin. This one is shaping up to be a battle of inches, though:
I say the Dem still wins in Illinois. Kirk has really lost traction, and if Giannoulias can shore up the Dem base, he’ll probably be able to build more of a lead.
Giannoulias is not really gaining ground with the Democratic base in Illinois. I don’t want to talk for anyone else then myself, but we (Dems in Illinois) are basically bored with Giannoulias. Kirk had this race won, but then all his lies started coming out again. I’m really worried Giannoulias won’t excite Dems enough to put him over the top.
am not looking forward to seeing the Governor numbers. Oh well if we keep the Senate I’ll live.
Brady going to win by enough in the gov race to pull Kirk over the finish line?
Basically with so many undecided folks dislike both. Alexi is smarmy and phony and Kirk is a liar.
Alexi needs to make it about the Obama agenda. How the Senate GOP enforce strict discipline against the Obama Agenda, Kirk will go to Washington to help kill the Obama Agenda, whereas Giannoulias will go to try and work with the Obama Administration.
Neither Giannoulias or Kirk should get the vote. I was so glad to see the Libertarian, Labno get on the ballot. I always thought that Libs were radicals, but this race forced me to search for a better choice for MY vote. Libertarians want to keep government out of places that should be free choice or guided b y one’s religious leaders and beliefs. After doing my research, I find I am not a monderate republican at all, but a real libertarian. I will gladly vote for Labno and may even vote the entire libertarian slate.
as my name indicates…
My guess right now is that Alexi will beat Kirk. Had Kirk not had the scandals he had, he would have won this. While Brady is a lot more conservative than most Illinois Republicans who win statewide, I think Quinn is just about finished. I wish I was back in Illinois this year, I’d much rather vote for Kirk and Brady than have to vote in the Texas Gov. race…