Tag: Mike Bloomberg

Baruch College Survey Research for New York 1 (1/25-30, NYC residents, no trendlines):

Anthony Weiner (D): 36

Mike Bloomberg (R-inc): 43

Undecided: 16

Won’t Vote: 4

Bill Thompson (D): 32

Mike Bloomberg (R-inc): 45

Undecided: 19

Won’t Vote: 4

(MoE: ±4.3%)

Nice to see Bloombleberry dithering this far under 50, and the Weiner numbers are especially heartening. I think Thompson might be suffering from a little name-rec lag – his favorables are a nifty 48-10, but some 41% of people have no opinion of him. The poll didn’t ask Weiner’s favorables, but he’s probably better-known because of his 2005 mayoral run.

Interestingly, despite a still-lofty 64-29 approval rating, Bloomhauer doesn’t have much of an advantage in the top-lines horserace nums. Could people be growing sick of Bloombleberry even while they think he’s doing a good job? I can only hope.

P.S. The poll also tested the Dem primary:

Anthony Weiner: 31

Bill Thompson: 22

Tony Avella: 4

Won’t Vote: 6

Avella is a City Councilman. It’s not clear what the D sub-sample was. It’s also not clear to me why Baruch used city residents rather than registered voters, though they say there were 535 RVs out of a total sample of 705.

UPDATE: Quinnipiac also has a poll out today (1/20-25, registered voters, Nov. 2008 in parens):

Weiner: 35 (34)

Bloomberg: 50 (5)

Undecided: 12 (13)

Thompson: 34 (34)

Bloomberg: 50 (49)

Undecided: 13 (14)

(MoE: ±2.8%)

And for the Dem primary:

Weiner: 30

Thompson: 23

Undecided: 47

(MoE: ±3.5%)

The Dems’ numbers are the same, but I’m not sure what explains the Bloomster discrepancy. Could be wording, could be the sample, could be who knows.

(H/t Conspiracy):

A Rasmussen report has shown that NYC mayor Mike Bloomberg, widely thought to be a potential third party candidate, would be a GOP spoiler in the 2008 election.  Their poll shows that when Bloomberg is thrown into the mix, Clinton (only dem. they’ve polled so far) only loses one percentage point, opposed to Giuliani and McCain who drop to 37%.  With a year and a half to go, Bloomberg already has 9% support, which could easily be built on.  This comes with another Rasmussen report that shows 19% of the population would be “somewhat likely” to go third party.  Should Bloomberg jump in and spend ½ billion as expected he could get enough to secure 2008.  hell he might even win, or at the very least get a few electoral votes.  Either way, as a scholar of both presidential elections and a third party advocate, I’d LOVE to see this.