We’ve just confirmed the veracity of this poll, which was conducted between Sept. 18 and 24 by Penn, Schoen, Berland Associates. The poll shows conservative Democrat Dan Lipinski vulnerable to a primary challenge. Here are the excerpts from Archpundit (likely primary voters):
Lipinski Re-elect: 35%
Generic Congressional Approval: 37%
±5%82%: Less likely to vote for Lipinski on the issue of choice once they learn that he opposes a woman’s right to choose and supports criminalizing abortion even in cases of rape or incest
83%: Less likely they would vote for Lipinski after they learned that he voted for the Bush energy proposal and voted to allow drilling in the Artic National Wildlife Refuge
76%: Favor a mandate calling for a pull-out of troops from Iraq beginning immediately with all troops out within a year as well as a cap on war funding to ensure the Bush Administration meets that goal
17%: Favor a proposal calling for a complete pullout within five years and no cap on funding.
Dan Lipinski has been one of the most out-of-touch Democrats in the House, consistently voting as if he were in a conservative area while representing a Chicago district with a PVI of D+10. With a credible primary challenger in the race — progressive attorney Mark Pera — Lipinski is roaming in very perilous territory right now.
You can view a copy of the polling memo here.
Not Lipinski’s?
Why didn’t Pera run in the primary last time, before Lipinski Junior was an incumbent?
It seems like Junior is even worse than his pop was… although that might be because the war wasn’t a factor in evaluating the senior Lipinski’s record.