Sorry for the inactivity here, folks. I’m currently working on a campaign that is consuming nearly every waking second of my life. But the good news for SSP is that this will all be over in the first week of March. I’ll have more to say on this subject later.
In the meantime, feel free to use this as an open thread to discuss any of the recent retirements (OR-05), announcements (Joe Garcia in FL-25) or presidential caucuses and primaries today (LA, NE, and WA on the Dem side).
I’ll be watching a 3-way race in my area between Wayne Gilchrest, Andy Harris, and E.J. Pipkin for the Republican nomination in MD-01. Gilchrest is the incumbent and both the challengers have raised close to a million dollars. There has also been a lot of negative attack ads aimed at everyone so it’ll be interesting to see how the voters respond. Hopefully, the Republicans have beaten each other up enough to let 39 year old state’s attorney Frank Kratovil to win the general.
says that Obama supporters are far more likely to caucus, and thus the 5% margin Obama has among registered voters is likely to turn into a far larger victory. I seriously have to wonder the Clinton campaign managed to cede the organization advantage, given that she should have had assets available to her that delivered victory in 1992.
Watch some video from the announcement rally. Supporters were really excited.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v…
Also, check out the official campaign website. It’s pretty cool he’s using “courage” as one of his main themes. Very rarely do we see that from Democratic campaigns.
http://joegarcia08.com/home/
VERY sorry that you have abandoned this most valuable website for now. I have been reading it daily for over a year and now???? Could you PLEASE update us as to which delegates won the primaries that have been held recently and what this means for the Democrats chances?
I assume some of the presidential primaries were also electing candidates for the House of Representatives. If so, who won?
Is there anyone you could delegate this project to until you come back? We miss you.
Alyce J. Bowers — I’d vote for Vladimir the Impaler before I’d voter for a Republican.
So, which state is it, Ohio or Texas? 😉
This isn’t big news and he had already announced that he would not seek reelection. Of course this means Arnie can appoint a temporary replacement. I don’t understand why the Democrats of California has shot themselves in the foot by allowing a Republican governor. It hurts them a lot in situations like this one.
Interesting news. CQ moves the race from No Clear Favorite to Leans Democratic.
http://cqpolitics.com/wmspage….
“Democratic hopes for a gain of at least one Senate seat in 2008 are growing, buoyed by new campaign finance reports and polls in New Mexico. Despite retiring Republican Sen. Pete V. Domenici ‘s long tenure, popularity and strong reputation in the state, Democratic Rep. Tom Udall already dominates his two Republican challengers.”
I happen to agree. I think the margin even ends up close to what Mark Warner gets in Virginia.
i’m starting to keep score.
Shaheen leads 54-37
http://www.unh.edu/survey-cent…
I know that the race has gone mostly overlooked has a new republican challenger for Congressman John Hall:
George Oros
http://polhudson.lohudblogs.co…
Uber-rightie and potential sleazeball John Shadegg. AZ-3, has an opponent already: Bob Lord.
The Eastern Shore is a pocket of Deep South in the Mid-Atlantic. They’ll vote for the Republican no matter who’s on the ticket. We can just hope that Gilchrest wins the primary, so at least it’ll be a sane Republican.
And don’t forget MD-04, where Donna Edwards is running against Al Wynn.
I find it fun just to look at these general election polls. It is way too early to mean anything, but here is what Rasmussen has:
Democrat – 270 and McCain 216
Safe Republican 178
Likely Republican 11
Leans Republican 27
Toss-Up 38
Leans Democrat 36
Likely Democrat 94
Safe Democrat 154
Safely Democratic: California (55), Connecticut (7), District of Columbia (3), Hawaii (4), Illinois (21), Maine (4), Maryland (10), Massachusetts (12), New York (31), Rhode Island (4), and Vermont (3).
Likely Democratic: Delaware (3), Michigan (17), Minnesota (10), New Jersey (15), Oregon (7), Pennsylvania (21), Washington (11), and Wisconsin (10).
Leans Democratic: Iowa (7), New Hampshire (4), New Mexico (5), and Ohio (20).
Toss-Up: Colorado (9), Missouri (11), Nevada (5), and Virginia (13).
Leans Republican: Florida (27)
Likely Republican: Arkansas (6), West Virginia (5)
Safely Republican: Alabama (9), Alaska (3), Arizona (10), Georgia (15), Idaho (4), Indiana (11), Kansas (6), Kentucky (8), Louisiana (9), Mississippi (6), Montana (3), Nebraska (5), North Carolina (15), North Dakota (3), Oklahoma (7), South Carolina (8), South Dakota (3), Tennessee (11), Texas (34), Utah (5), and Wyoming (3).
Basically, they have a 2004 result with Iowa (7), New Mexico (5), and Ohio (20) switching from Republican to Democrat.