Rasmussen (likely voters, 4/22, 3/19 in parens):
Al Franken (D): 43 (46)
Norm Coleman (R-inc): 50 (48)
(MoE: ±4.5%)
Coleman reaches the 50% mark for the first time in Rasmussen’s polling this year. Still, this isn’t a bad place for Franken to start the campaign season with, even if Coleman has the edge for now.
that both Obama and Hillary win Minnesota, Obama pretty big…and in daily tracking polls, Obama is back on top, Hillary is only two down after both trailed McCain by as much as 10 recently.
Maybe the worst is over.
Coleman has been holding at 49% for forever, with a few polls that saw downward blips. He should really be polling around 45%, which is the state’s generic Republican lean. With about 10% of the 2002 voters no longer around, he seems to have made quite a few new supporters in the six years.
I think the thing to do is watch Franken’s numbers. And hope he has a real pro set of campaign managers and pollsters and consultants who figure out how and why Coleman’s holding on to that 5% of voters who lean Democratic otherwise.