SurveyUSA (5/2-4, likely and actual voters, 4/25-27 in parens):
Jim Schellinger (D): 41 (36)
Jill Long Thompson (D): 43 (48)
(MoE: ±3.8%)
I still suspect that JLT has the slight edge here, but this one seems up in the air. We’ll be following the returns as they come in tomorrow night.
I’m still casting my vote for Schellinger tomorrow, but will be fine with whoever wins. The primary campaign has gotten a bit negative (especially on Thompson’s side), but nothing that can’t be overcome to put up a united front against Mitch Daniels in the fall.
The Indianapolis Star is reporting that turnout will likely be higher for this primary than for the 2006 General Election (33% of registered) but less than for the 2004 General (54%). They are also reporting a large number of Republicans in Southern Indiana voting in the Democratic primary. Their anecdotal coverage is inclusive, carefully picking out one Obama voter and one Clinton voter for each scenario and ignoring the other races.
The biggest news is that the Star expects that voting results will be very late (8:30 or 9, no new voters after 6).